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  <front>
    <journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">WCD</journal-id><journal-title-group>
    <journal-title>Weather and Climate Dynamics</journal-title>
    <abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">WCD</abbrev-journal-title><abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Weather Clim. Dynam.</abbrev-journal-title>
  </journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">2698-4016</issn><publisher>
    <publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
    <publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
  </publisher></journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/wcd-4-399-2023</article-id><title-group><article-title>Towards a holistic understanding of blocked regime dynamics through a combination of complementary diagnostic perspectives</article-title><alt-title>Unifying perspectives on blocked regime dynamics</alt-title>
      </title-group><?xmltex \runningtitle{Unifying perspectives on blocked regime dynamics}?><?xmltex \runningauthor{S.~Hauser~et~al.}?>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Hauser</surname><given-names>Seraphine</given-names></name>
          <email>seraphine.hauser@kit.edu</email>
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3538-270X</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff2">
          <name><surname>Teubler</surname><given-names>Franziska</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9107-7959</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff2">
          <name><surname>Riemer</surname><given-names>Michael</given-names></name>
          
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Knippertz</surname><given-names>Peter</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9856-619X</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Grams</surname><given-names>Christian M.</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3466-9389</ext-link></contrib>
        <aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><institution>Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research (IMK-TRO), Department Troposphere Research, <?xmltex \hack{\break}?>Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Karlsruhe, Germany</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2"><label>2</label><institution>Institute for Atmospheric Physics, Johannes Gutenberg-University Mainz, Mainz, Germany</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <author-notes><corresp id="corr1">Seraphine Hauser (seraphine.hauser@kit.edu)</corresp></author-notes><pub-date><day>11</day><month>May</month><year>2023</year></pub-date>
      
      <volume>4</volume>
      <issue>2</issue>
      <fpage>399</fpage><lpage>425</lpage>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received"><day>29</day><month>July</month><year>2022</year></date>
           <date date-type="accepted"><day>9</day><month>April</month><year>2023</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-recd"><day>24</day><month>March</month><year>2023</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-request"><day>8</day><month>August</month><year>2022</year></date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
        <copyright-statement>Copyright: © 2023 </copyright-statement>
        <copyright-year>2023</copyright-year>
      <license license-type="open-access"><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://wcd.copernicus.org/articles/.html">This article is available from https://wcd.copernicus.org/articles/.html</self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="https://wcd.copernicus.org/articles/.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://wcd.copernicus.org/articles/.pdf</self-uri>
      <abstract><title>Abstract</title>

      <p id="d1e126">Atmospheric blocking describes a situation in which a stationary and persistent anticyclone blocks the eastward propagation of weather systems in
the midlatitudes and can lead to extreme weather events. In the North Atlantic–European region, blocking contributes to life cycles of weather
regimes which are recurrent, quasi-stationary, and persistent patterns of the large-scale circulation. Despite progress in blocking theory over the
last decades, we are still lacking a comprehensive, process-based conceptual understanding of blocking dynamics. Here we combine three different
perspectives on so-called “blocked” weather regimes, namely the commonly used Eulerian and Lagrangian perspectives, complemented by a novel
quasi-Lagrangian perspective. Within the established framework of midlatitude potential vorticity (PV) thinking, the joint consideration of the
three perspectives enables a comprehensive picture of the dynamics and quantifies the importance of dry and moist processes during a blocked weather
regime life cycle.</p>

      <p id="d1e129">We apply the diagnostic framework to a European blocking weather regime life cycle in March 2016, which was associated with a severe forecast bust
in the North Atlantic–European region. The three perspectives highlight the importance of moist processes during the onset or maintenance of the
blocked weather regime. The Eulerian perspective, which identifies the processes contributing to the onset and decay of the regime, indicates that
dry quasi-barotropic wave dynamics and especially the eastward advection of PV anomalies (PVAs) into the North Atlantic–European region dominate the
onset of the regime pattern. By tracking the negative upper-tropospheric PVA associated with the “block”, the quasi-Lagrangian view reveals, for
the same period, abrupt amplification due to moist processes. This is in good agreement with the Lagrangian perspective indicating that a large
fraction of air parcels that end up in the negative PVA experience diabatic heating. Overall, the study shows that important contributions to the
development take place outside of the region in which the blocked weather regime eventually establishes, and that a joint consideration of different
perspectives is important in order not to miss processes, in particular moist-baroclinic dynamics, contributing to a blocked regime life cycle.</p>
  </abstract>
    
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft</funding-source>
<award-id>Transregional Collaborative Research Center SFB / TRR 16</award-id>
</award-group>
<award-group id="gs2">
<funding-source>Helmholtz-Gemeinschaft</funding-source>
<award-id>VH-NG-1243</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
  </front>
<body>
      

<sec id="Ch1.S1" sec-type="intro">
  <label>1</label><title>Introduction</title>
      <p id="d1e141">Atmospheric blocking is a phenomenon in the mid and high latitudes where stationary, long-lived high-pressure systems disrupt the mean westerly flow
and “block” the propagation of weather systems <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx50 bib1.bibx57" id="paren.1"><named-content content-type="pre">e.g.,</named-content></xref>. Thereby, blocking does not only mean the block itself but
also the circulation pattern in which the block forms the dominant part, such that blocking can be considered from the perspective of so-called
weather regimes. These large-scale, quasi-stationary, and recurrent atmospheric circulation states make up an important part of the extratropical
atmospheric variability in intraseasonal timescales <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx61 bib1.bibx40 bib1.bibx5" id="paren.2"/>. Low-frequency circulation regimes affect
continent-size regions for several days and modulate the location and intensity of synoptic-scale weather systems that determine surface weather
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx67" id="paren.3"/>. The weather regimes that are dominated by an anticyclonic circulation anomaly,<?pagebreak page400?> which essentially is also identified as atmospheric
blocking, are here referred to as “blocked” regimes. Due to their stationarity, these regimes can regionally lead to extreme weather events
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx30" id="paren.4"/>, such as flooding <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx28 bib1.bibx25" id="paren.5"/>, heat waves and associated droughts <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx47 bib1.bibx31 bib1.bibx1" id="paren.6"/>, cold spells <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx55 bib1.bibx4 bib1.bibx17" id="paren.7"/>, and storms <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx12 bib1.bibx19" id="paren.8"/>. In terms of
predictability, weather regimes have an undisputed importance in forecasting, as they shape the sub-seasonal “predictability desert” between
medium-range and seasonal forecasts <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx62 bib1.bibx9" id="paren.9"/>.  Enhanced predictability may be expected for regimes that feature prominent
anticyclonic circulation anomalies because, once established, anticyclonic anomalies exhibit slower decay rates than cyclonic anomalies, suggesting a
self-sustaining nature of anticyclonic anomalies <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx54" id="paren.10"><named-content content-type="pre">e.g.,</named-content></xref>.  However, state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction models struggle
with the correct representation of regimes dominated by anticyclonic anomalies where especially the onset and maintenance of the blocked
circulation pattern pose difficulty <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx16 bib1.bibx37 bib1.bibx20" id="paren.11"/>.</p>
      <p id="d1e182">Existing studies on the dynamics of blocked circulation patterns address various aspects of a blocking life cycle using different approaches and
addressing different spatial and temporal scales: important processes on large scales are wave dynamics <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx2" id="paren.12"/>, wave resonance to a given
forcing <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx46" id="paren.13"/>, the role of topography in the initiation of blocking on the planetary scale <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx8 bib1.bibx21" id="paren.14"/>, and the impact of tropical heating <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx22" id="paren.15"/>. A notable study in this context by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx45" id="text.16"/> discusses
the onset of a block by the convergence and the subsequent constrained zonal propagation of wave activity as a jet stream “traffic jam”. On smaller
spatial scales, studies have found an effect of enhanced transient activity <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx42" id="paren.17"/> and especially the role of upstream cyclones in the transfer of vorticity and momentum to the block <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx43" id="paren.18"/>. However, it is not only the individual mechanisms at different
scales but the scale interaction that is of importance for the onset and the blocking maintenance stage
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx54 bib1.bibx44 bib1.bibx32 bib1.bibx41" id="paren.19"><named-content content-type="pre">e.g.,</named-content></xref>. For example, one theory for maintaining a block by the interplay of different scales is
based on the idea that an existing mature block absorbs smaller-scale eddies of the same polarity and thus re-enforces itself
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx66" id="paren.20"/>. While the theories described above are more related to the “dry” dynamics, studies in recent years emphasize the importance of
moist-diabatic processes in modifying the midlatitude flow in the upper troposphere <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx18 bib1.bibx48 bib1.bibx57 bib1.bibx59" id="paren.21"/>. Warm conveyor belts (WCBs) – rapidly ascending airstreams in the vicinity of extratropical cyclones – play an important role
here because latent heat release in the midlatitudes occurs mostly within WCBs, and WCBs transport low-tropospheric air to the upper troposphere,
leading to divergent outflow near the tropopause <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx63 bib1.bibx34 bib1.bibx48 bib1.bibx57" id="paren.22"/>. All the studies mentioned above
handle different mechanisms of blocking dynamics and contribute to significant progress in diverse blocking dynamic theories. However, so far the
individual mechanisms have not been considered together to get a complete, comprehensive picture of the blocking dynamics <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx33" id="paren.23"/>.</p>
      <p id="d1e225">In this study, we make use of potential vorticity <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx51 bib1.bibx27" id="paren.24"><named-content content-type="pre">PV;</named-content></xref> as a key variable in atmospheric dynamics to capture the
balanced dynamics of regimes. Low-PV air masses are advected poleward during blocking, leading to anticyclonic anomalies in the upper troposphere
associated with a meridional amplification of Rossby waves. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx58 bib1.bibx59" id="text.25"/> have developed a quantitative framework based
on Ertel PV <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx14" id="paren.26"/> that allows the decomposition of the total change in PV into different processes that contribute to the evolution of
upper-tropospheric PV anomalies (PVAs) associated with Rossby wave packets <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx64" id="paren.27"/>. A piecewise PV inversion is performed by
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx59" id="text.28"/> in order to separately consider the influence of baroclinic interaction and quasi-baroclinic propagation. The consequent
distinction between quasi-barotropic, baroclinic, divergent, and non-conservative PV tendencies allows the quantification of the effects associated
with dry and moist dynamics on the amplitude evolution of troughs and ridges. <italic>Quasi-barotropic</italic> PV tendencies are associated with
upper-tropospheric linear wave dynamics and describe the advection of PVAs by the background flow and the advection of background PV by the flow
associated with PVAs (intrinsic wave propagation). The impact of lower-tropospheric PVAs on upper-tropospheric PVAs is described by
<italic>baroclinic</italic> PV tendencies. <italic>Divergent</italic> PV tendencies are due to PV advection by the divergent wind, which incorporates the impact of
WCB outflow on upper-tropospheric PV. The direct impact of diabatic processes on the PV distribution is represented by <italic>non-conservative</italic> PV
tendencies.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F1" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{1}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 1</label><caption><p id="d1e261">Schematic overview of the three perspectives on the PV dynamics of blocked weather regime life cycles. <bold>(a)</bold> The Eulerian perspective quantifies the PV dynamics by projecting different upper-tropospheric PV tendency terms onto the mean regime pattern. Solid (dashed) black contours schematically show the PV pattern for the European blocking (EuBL) regime and therefore the location of positive and negative upper-tropospheric PVAs. Red and blue shading shows exemplary positive and negative PVAs at a fixed point in time, respectively. <bold>(b)</bold> The quasi-Lagrangian perspective follows negative upper-tropospheric PVAs, assigns them to active regime life cycles, and investigates the PVA amplitude evolution. The solid black line connects the center of mass positions of PVA objects (shown as dashed blue contours for different times) and points to the negative PVA track. Note that the tracked negative PVA is part of a Rossby wave packet as displayed by the sequence of negative (blue shading) and positive (red shading) PVAs. The thin black line on the map schematically shows the position of the waveguide. <bold>(c)</bold> The Lagrangian perspective calculates backward trajectories out of the negative PVA defined in the quasi-Lagrangian perspective in panel <bold>(b)</bold> and focuses on the diabatic and non-diabatic history of air parcels that end up in the negative PVA. The black lines represent schematically backward trajectories from a negative PVA (starting points marked with a black cross).</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=426.791339pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://wcd.copernicus.org/articles/4/399/2023/wcd-4-399-2023-f01.png"/>

      </fig>

      <p id="d1e282">The setup of diagnostics in this study consists of three complementary approaches to look at blocking dynamics from various perspectives and to
distinguish between identified mechanisms from previous studies on different temporal and spatial scales (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F1"/>). Most importantly,
we here consider blocking from the viewpoint of blocked weather regimes, i.e., regime patterns with dominating anticyclonic circulation
anomalies. Therefore, we use a year-round weather regime classification in the North Atlantic–European region by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx19" id="text.29"/>. The first
perspective – referred to as the “Eulerian” perspective in the following – is methodologically related to the well-known weather regime thinking, in
which projections of a current field onto a mean regime field are used to obtain life cycles of weather regimes <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx39 bib1.bibx19" id="paren.30"/>.<?pagebreak page401?> Several
studies in the past have looked at regime dynamics and especially the transition phases with a low-frequency stream function budget to quantify the
processes involved <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx3 bib1.bibx15 bib1.bibx39" id="paren.31"/>.  We here translate this Eulerian approach to PV by considering the projection of
low-frequency PVAs and PV tendencies onto a mean regime pattern. The projection of the anomaly's tendency is equivalent to the tendency of the
projection of the anomaly and thus enables the quantification of processes leading to the onset and decay of the full regime pattern
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F1"/>a). Next, we exclusively trace the anticyclonic, upper-tropospheric PVAs associated with the dominant anticyclonic circulation
anomaly of a blocked weather regime pattern. This “quasi-Lagrangian” approach is strongly leaning on the blocking identification method of
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx53" id="text.32"/> based on upper-tropospheric anticyclonic PV anomalies. A new objective tracking algorithm, which detects and quantifies the
effect of the splitting and merging of PVAs, enables an integrated investigation of the selective absorption mechanism by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx66" id="text.33"/>, mentioned
above. The PV framework of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx58" id="text.34"/> was originally used for ridges and troughs (identified as negative and positive PVAs) within a
Rossby wave packet and is here applied to upper-tropospheric negative PVAs to quantify the processes associated with the PVA amplitude change
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F1"/>b). The quasi-Lagrangian perspective allows us to determine the origin of PVAs that evolve into blocking anticyclones and, for
the first time, to determine the contribution of dry and moist dynamics to the amplitude evolution of PVAs using piecewise PV tendencies. The third
perspective is Lagrangian in nature and is based on trajectory thinking, which has been used in studies by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx48" id="text.35"/> and
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx57" id="text.36"/> to investigate the air masses associated with blocking. By calculating backward trajectories of air parcels from blocking
anticyclones, it is possible to investigate how these negative upper-tropospheric PVAs have been created and if diabatic heating and therefore
“moist” dynamics have played an important role (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F1"/>c).</p>
      <p id="d1e319">The purpose of this study is to demonstrate how, by combining the three perspectives, a holistic view of the dynamical evolution of a blocked regime
life cycle can be achieved. We use a European blocking (EuBL) regime life cycle in March 2016, which was sensitive to moist-baroclinic development
during the onset stage <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx35 bib1.bibx20" id="paren.37"/>, as an illustrative case study. The paper is organized as follows: Sect. 2 introduces the data
sets  and provides a detailed overview of the three different perspectives that are combined in this study. The EuBL life cycle in March 2016 is
presented in Sect. 3, with a brief description of the evolution of the larger-scale flow. Section 4 presents the PV dynamics from the three different
perspectives (Eulerian, quasi-Lagrangian, and Lagrangian) applied to the case study from Sect. 3. The discussion of the complementary perspectives and
a comparison with previous literature constitutes the contents of Sect. 5. The study closes with the main conclusions and an outlook in Sect. 6.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2">
  <label>2</label><title>Data and methods</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS1">
  <label>2.1</label><title>Data</title>
      <p id="d1e340">This study is based on the reanalysis data set ERA5 of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), which is available from 1950 to
the present <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx24" id="paren.38"/>.  We use data for the period of 1 January 1979–31 December 2019, remapped from the<?pagebreak page402?> original T639 spectral
resolution to a regular latitude–longitude grid. For the identification of upper-tropospheric PVAs in the quasi-Lagrangian approach, we select ERA5
model-level data for maximum possible vertical resolution, with a temporal resolution of 3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M1" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and a horizontal grid spacing of 0.5<inline-formula><mml:math id="M2" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>.
We use spatially coarser data (1.0<inline-formula><mml:math id="M3" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) for the PV inversion, also with 3-hourly resolution and with 17 pressure levels (1000, 950, 925, 900,
850, 800, 700, 600, 500, 400, 300, 250, 200, 150, 100, 70, and 50 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M4" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">hPa</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>).  Mean temperature and wind tendencies at model levels from ERA5
short-range forecasts serve to estimate non-conservative processes, with a spatial resolution of 0.5<inline-formula><mml:math id="M5" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> in the horizontal and a temporal
resolution of 1 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M6" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.  ERA5 provides these tendencies accumulated over the previous hour, from which we calculate a 3-hourly mean around the analysis
time (e.g., taking the mean of data valid at 02:00, 03:00, and 04:00 UTC for the analysis at 03:00 UTC). We distinguish here between tendencies from
all parameterizations and non-radiative parameterizations.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2">
  <label>2.2</label><title>PV framework: quantification of individual processes</title>
      <p id="d1e406">This work uses Ertel's PV as <inline-formula><mml:math id="M7" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ζ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx14" id="paren.39"/> in its hydrostatic approximation on isentropic levels, where
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M8" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ζ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the component of relative vorticity perpendicular to an isentropic surface, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M9" display="inline"><mml:mi>f</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> the Coriolis parameter, and
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M10" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>g</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> the isentropic layer density with gravity <inline-formula><mml:math id="M11" display="inline"><mml:mi>g</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, pressure <inline-formula><mml:math id="M12" display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, and potential temperature <inline-formula><mml:math id="M13" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>.  The PV
tendency equation is given by isentropic advection and non-conservative PV modification (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M14" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="script">N</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>):
            <disp-formula id="Ch1.E1" content-type="numbered"><label>1</label><mml:math id="M15" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>q</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:msub><mml:mi mathsize="1.5em" mathvariant="normal">|</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">∇</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="script">N</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
          with <inline-formula><mml:math id="M16" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>u</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> the horizontal isentropic wind vector  and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M17" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">∇</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> the gradient operator along an isentropic surface.  The non-conservative PV
modification is given by
            <disp-formula id="Ch1.E2" content-type="numbered"><label>2</label><mml:math id="M18" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="script">N</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">˙</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>q</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mfenced open="[" close="]"><mml:mrow><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">∇</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi>f</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">k</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">∇</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">˙</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">k</mml:mi><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mfenced close=")" open="("><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">∇</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>×</mml:mo><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">˙</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
          with <inline-formula><mml:math id="M19" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">k</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> the unit vector perpendicular to an isentropic surface, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M20" display="inline"><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">˙</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:math></inline-formula> the non-conservative heating rate, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M21" display="inline"><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">˙</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:math></inline-formula> values the
sources and sinks of non-conservative momentum (e.g., friction or gravity wave drag).  We estimate the non-conservative PV modification
term <inline-formula><mml:math id="M22" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="script">N</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> with the mean 3-hourly temperature and wind tendencies introduced in Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S2.SS1"/>.</p>
      <p id="d1e748">The advection term in Eq. (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E1"/>) is further separated into different processes <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx27 bib1.bibx59" id="paren.40"/>.
PVAs (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M23" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) are defined as deviations from a climatological background state <inline-formula><mml:math id="M24" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> such that <inline-formula><mml:math id="M25" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>=<inline-formula><mml:math id="M26" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is valid. For each
time step within the year (recall <inline-formula><mml:math id="M27" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M28" display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M29" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>), averages are constructed based on the period of 1980–2019. This is used for the
climatological background state <inline-formula><mml:math id="M30" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> defined as a 30 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M31" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> running mean climatology centered on the respective time to ensure smooth
transitions in <inline-formula><mml:math id="M32" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> between consecutive time steps.  Following the basics of PV thinking, the three-dimensional distribution of PVAs can be further
separated into upper-tropospheric and lower-tropospheric PV (and temperature) anomalies. Here, the separation level of upper-tropospheric and
lower-tropospheric PV anomalies lies between 600 and 650 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M33" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">hPa</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Piecewise PV inversion with the nondivergent wind field under nonlinear balance
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx7 bib1.bibx11 bib1.bibx10" id="paren.41"/> is performed on pressure levels between 25 and 80<inline-formula><mml:math id="M34" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N and yields the wind fields
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M35" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>up</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M36" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>low</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> associated with the upper-tropospheric and lower-tropospheric PV anomalies,
respectively.  It is important to note that our quantitative analysis is performed for the evolution of upper-tropospheric anomalies.  From the PV
perspective of midlatitude dynamics, we may thus consider the impact of the upper-tropospheric anomalies on themselves (mediated by
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M37" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>up</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) as quasi-barotropic dynamics and the impact of the lower-tropospheric anomalies on the upper-tropospheric anomalies
(mediated by <inline-formula><mml:math id="M38" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>low</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) as baroclinic dynamics.  The piecewise PV inversion thus provides the possibility to consider the
influence of the dynamics in the lower troposphere and the influence of the wave on itself separately from each other. The background wind
field <inline-formula><mml:math id="M39" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is obtained in the same way as the background PV field <inline-formula><mml:math id="M40" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> as a 30 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M41" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> running mean climatology (1980–2019) centered on
the respective calendar day and is approximately balanced. Per definition, the wind fields <inline-formula><mml:math id="M42" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>up</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M43" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>low</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> from piecewise PV inversions are nondivergent and will hence be further complemented by the divergent flow
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M44" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>div</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. All wind fields are interpolated to isentropic levels. Following <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx52" id="text.42"/>, we select an isentropic
level average around 320 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M45" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">K</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (namely 315, 320, and 325 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M46" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">K</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) for the EuBL in March 2016. The full wind field can finally be divided into
            <disp-formula id="Ch1.E3" content-type="numbered"><label>3</label><mml:math id="M47" display="block"><mml:mtable class="split" rowspacing="0.2ex" displaystyle="true" columnalign="right left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>div</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>rot</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>div</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>up</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>low</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>res</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula></p>
      <p id="d1e1125">We introduce here the residual <inline-formula><mml:math id="M48" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>res</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, which arises due to (i) characteristics inherent in piecewise PV inversion, e.g.,
nonlinearities and imperfect knowledge of boundary conditions; (ii) numerical inaccuracies; and (iii) the interpolation of wind fields from pressure to
isentropic levels.  A more detailed discussion of the PV partitioning, the piecewise PV inversion technique, and the residual is given in
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx59" id="text.43"/>.</p>
      <?pagebreak page403?><p id="d1e1144">With the partitioning of PV into a background state and anomalies thereof, and the associated partitioning of the wind field, a PV-anomaly tendency
equation can be written following Eq. (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E1"/>) as<?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
            <disp-formula id="Ch1.E4" content-type="numbered"><label>4</label><mml:math id="M49" display="block"><mml:mtable rowspacing="0.2ex" class="split" displaystyle="true" columnalign="right left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>q</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.25em"/><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:msub><mml:mi mathsize="2.0em" mathvariant="normal">|</mml:mi><mml:mtext>qb</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:msub><mml:mi mathsize="2.0em" mathvariant="normal">|</mml:mi><mml:mtext>bc</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal" mathsize="2.0em">|</mml:mi><mml:mtext>div</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal" mathsize="2.0em">|</mml:mi><mml:mtext>eddy</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal" mathsize="2.0em">|</mml:mi><mml:mtext>noncons</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:msub><mml:mi mathsize="2.0em" mathvariant="normal">|</mml:mi><mml:mtext>res</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.25em"/><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mfenced close="]" open="["><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>up</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">∇</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">∇</mml:mi><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>low</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">∇</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>div</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">∇</mml:mi><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">∇</mml:mi><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>rot</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="script">N</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mfenced open="[" close="]"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>res</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">∇</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">∇</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
          where we have included in the residual term the (very small) tendencies due to our use of a slowly varying background state.</p>
      <p id="d1e1519">The first term (in square brackets) describes the PV thinking of (upper-tropospheric, linear) barotropic Rossby waves
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx27 bib1.bibx64" id="paren.44"/>, hereafter referred to as quasi-barotropic PV tendency.  For a linear wave in uniform background flow, both
individual contributions to this tendency are in quadrature with the PVAs but with opposite signs.  The first contribution
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M50" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>up</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">∇</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) represents intrinsic (phase and group) propagation, including the downstream
development and amplification of anomalies at the leading edge of a Rossby wave packet.  The second contribution (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M51" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">∇</mml:mi><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) represents the Doppler shift, i.e., the advection of the wave pattern by the background flow.  In a background flow with horizontal
shear, this term contributes to the deformation of PVAs.  The second term in Eq. (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E4"/>) (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M52" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>low</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">∇</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) describes baroclinic interaction with lower-tropospheric PVAs, which leads on average to baroclinic growth, i.e., the
amplification of upper-tropospheric ridge and trough anomalies <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx59" id="paren.45"><named-content content-type="pre">e.g.,</named-content></xref>.  This term will hereafter be referred to as
baroclinic PV tendency.  The third term describes the impact of the divergent flow (hereafter referred to as divergent PV tendency).  It is difficult
to accurately attribute this divergent flow to individual processes, e.g., dry balanced dynamics vs. moist processes.  It is usually most reasonable,
however, to attribute large values of the divergent PV tendency near the tropopause to latent heat release, which invigorates mid-tropospheric ascent
and hence divergent outflow aloft.  A more detailed discussion of this issue can be found in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx64" id="text.46"/> and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx59" id="text.47"/>.  In the
current study, we verify this relationship explicitly using trajectory calculations.  The fourth term in Eq. (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E4"/>) describes the
nonlinear redistribution of PVAs in terms of the convergence of PVA flux by the (anomalous) rotational wind
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M53" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">∇</mml:mi><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>rot</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>), hereafter referred to simply as eddy flux convergence.  Note that eddy flux
convergence may change PVAs locally but may neither generate new nor amplify existing PVAs in a globally averaged sense (because the flux vanishes at
the boundary of the global domain).  Furthermore, eddy flux convergence may not change the area-integrated amplitude of PVAs that are defined by a
boundary at which <inline-formula><mml:math id="M54" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx58" id="paren.48"/>.  The fifth term (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M55" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="script">N</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>) depicts the direct non-conservative PV modification and
contains all non-conservative processes, like latent heat release, friction, and radiation.</p>
      <p id="d1e1657">In the later Sects. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S2.SS4"/> and <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S2.SS5"/>, our description of the evolution of PVAs associated with the dynamics of blocked weather regimes in
the Eulerian and quasi-Lagrangian perspectives will build on the tendency in Eq. (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E4"/>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS3">
  <label>2.3</label><title>Weather regimes in the North Atlantic–European region</title>
      <p id="d1e1674">In this study, we use the year-round definition of seven weather regimes in the North Atlantic–European region (NAE;
80<inline-formula><mml:math id="M56" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> W–40<inline-formula><mml:math id="M57" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> E, 30–90<inline-formula><mml:math id="M58" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N; dashed gray in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/>a) by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx19" id="text.49"/> adapted to
ERA5. Geopotential height anomalies are calculated based on a 90 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M59" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> running mean climatology from 1979–2019 at 500 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M60" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">hPa</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> with a temporal
resolution of 6 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M61" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.  Anomalies are additionally filtered by a 10 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M62" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> low-pass filter <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx13" id="paren.50"><named-content content-type="pre">Lanczos filter;</named-content></xref> to exclude
high-frequency signals.  After normalization of the anomalies for a year-round definition, <italic>k</italic>-means clustering is performed for the expanded phase
space of the leading seven empirical orthogonal functions that describe 74.4 % of the variability.  A weather regime is then defined as the
cluster mean of one of seven clusters, which was shown to be the optimal number in the year-round definition.  The seven weather regimes consist of
three cyclonic regime types (zonal regime – ZO, Scandinavian trough – ScTr, Atlantic trough – AT) and four anticyclonic regime types (Atlantic
ridge – AR, European blocking – EuBL, Scandinavian blocking – ScBL, Greenland blocking – GL).</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F2" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{2}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 2</label><caption><p id="d1e1752">Year-round weather regime composite of EuBL after <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx19" id="text.51"/> based on geopotential height at 500 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M63" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">hPa</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and upper-tropospheric PV. <bold>(a)</bold> Lanczos-filtered (10 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M64" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) geopotential height anomalies at 500 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M65" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">hPa</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (shading, in <inline-formula><mml:math id="M66" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">gpm</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>), absolute geopotential height at 500 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M67" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">hPa</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (black lines every 40 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M68" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">gpm</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>), and vertically averaged PVAs between 500–150 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M69" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">hPa</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for negative (positive) values in dashed white (solid dark red) lines between 0.3 and 0.7 every 0.1 for all time steps attributed to the EuBL regime type (in <inline-formula><mml:math id="M70" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVU</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). The box (dashed gray) shows the area used to define the year-round weather regimes. <bold>(b)</bold> Lanczos-filtered (10 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M71" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) vertically averaged PVAs between 500–150 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M72" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">hPa</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (shading) and vertically averaged PV for all time steps attributed to the EuBL regime type (contours, in PVU, from 1.5 to 3.5 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M73" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVU</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in steps of 0.25 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M74" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVU</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). The solid bright green line illustrates the regime mask for the EuBL regime type, defined by the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M75" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M76" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVU</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> PVA contour.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=455.244094pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://wcd.copernicus.org/articles/4/399/2023/wcd-4-399-2023-f02.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e1883">In this study, we apply different methods to quantify weather regime dynamics to a EuBL regime life cycle. The mean year-round regime pattern for EuBL
is shown in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/>a.  A positive geopotential height anomaly over the eastern North Atlantic and Europe dominates the regime
pattern and is flanked by two areas of negative geopotential height anomalies upstream over Greenland and downstream over the Mediterranean and East
Asia.</p>
      <?pagebreak page404?><p id="d1e1889">To make a quantitative statement about the similarity of an instantaneous pattern to the seven weather regimes, we use the weather regime index
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M77" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mtext>WR</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx39 bib1.bibx19" id="paren.52"/>, defined as
            <disp-formula id="Ch1.E5" content-type="numbered"><label>5</label><mml:math id="M78" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mtable class="split" rowspacing="0.2ex" displaystyle="true" columnalign="right left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mtext>WR</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mtext>WR</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mtext>WR</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:mrow><mml:msqrt><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mfrac style="text"><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NT</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:msubsup><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NT</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>[</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mtext>WR</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mtext>WR</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:msup><mml:mo>]</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:msqrt></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mspace width="0.25em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.25em"/><mml:mspace width="0.25em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.25em"/><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.25em"/><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.25em"/><mml:mtext>, with</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mtext>WR</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">λ</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>∈</mml:mo><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NH</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Φ</mml:mi><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">λ</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Φ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>WR</mml:mtext><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">λ</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mi>cos⁡</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">λ</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>∈</mml:mo><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NH</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mi>cos⁡</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
          where <inline-formula><mml:math id="M79" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NT</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the total number of time steps within a climatological sample (all times in 1979–2019), <inline-formula><mml:math id="M80" display="inline"><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mtext>WR</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:math></inline-formula> the climatological mean
of the projection <inline-formula><mml:math id="M81" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mtext>WR</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M82" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Φ</mml:mi><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">λ</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> the low-frequency geopotential height anomaly at 500 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M83" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">hPa</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>,
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M84" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Φ</mml:mi><mml:mtext>WR</mml:mtext><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> the low-frequency geopotential height pattern that defines the weather regime, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M85" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">λ</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> the respective
latitude–longitude in the Northern Hemisphere (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M86" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NH</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>).</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F3" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{3}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 3</label><caption><p id="d1e2227">Weather regime index (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M87" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mtext>WR</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) for all seven weather regimes around the EuBL life cycle in March 2016 shown for the year-round weather regime definition from 24 February, 00:00 UTC–27 March, 00:00 UTC for all seven Euro–Atlantic regimes: Atlantic trough (AT), zonal (ZO), Scandinavian trough (ScTr), Atlantic ridge (AR), European blocking (EuBL), Scandinavian blocking (ScBL), and Greenland blocking (GL). Thick lines represent active regime life cycles. Gray shading indicates the period of the active EuBL regime life cycle from 9 March, 18:00 UTC–18 March, 00:00 UTC.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=426.791339pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://wcd.copernicus.org/articles/4/399/2023/wcd-4-399-2023-f03.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e2247">Objective weather regime life cycles are derived based on the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M88" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mtext>WR</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for each regime and time step. Following <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx19" id="text.53"/>, a regime life
cycle is defined as a persistent <inline-formula><mml:math id="M89" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mtext>WR</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> above 1.0 for more than 5 consecutive days that shows for at least one time step the
highest <inline-formula><mml:math id="M90" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mtext>WR</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in all seven regimes. A weather regime life cycle is called active if the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M91" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mtext>WR</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> lies above 1.0, and the first time step
at which <inline-formula><mml:math id="M92" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mtext>WR</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M93" display="inline"><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1.0 is defined as the onset of the life cycle. The decay is then set as the first time at which the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M94" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mtext>WR</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is
below 1.0 again. The course of the weather regime index around the EuBL life cycle in March 2016 is shown in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F3"/>.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F4" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{4}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 4</label><caption><p id="d1e2331">Difference between the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M95" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mtext>WR</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> evolution and the evolution of the projected low-frequency PVAs to the EuBL regime pattern <inline-formula><mml:math id="M96" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">q</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Projection of 10 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M97" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> low-pass-filtered PVAs (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M98" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">q</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, dark green) and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M99" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mtext>WR</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in terms of geopotential height anomalies at 500 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M100" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">hPa</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (light green, see Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F3"/>) on the right <inline-formula><mml:math id="M101" display="inline"><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> axes. The gray and black solid lines represent the projection of the observed (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M102" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) and the diagnosed (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M103" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">DIAG</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M104" display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M105" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal" mathsize="1.1em">|</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) evolution of the PVAs, respectively (left <inline-formula><mml:math id="M106" display="inline"><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> axis). The gray shaded area denotes the period of the active life cycle defined by <inline-formula><mml:math id="M107" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mtext>WR</mml:mtext></mml:msub><mml:mo>≥</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=398.338583pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://wcd.copernicus.org/articles/4/399/2023/wcd-4-399-2023-f04.png"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS4">
  <label>2.4</label><title>Eulerian PV perspective on the weather regime evolution</title>
      <p id="d1e2512">We are interested in the processes governing the dynamics of the EuBL in March 2016 from a PV perspective.  Because EuBL is defined in terms of a
low-frequency anomaly pattern (Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S2.SS3"/>), we here apply the same 10 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M108" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> low-pass filter to the PVAs, hence considering
low-frequency PVAs <inline-formula><mml:math id="M109" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Following, e.g., <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx15" id="text.54"/> and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx39" id="text.55"/>, who studied the stream function evolution of
low-frequency modes like the North Atlantic Oscillation, we define a normalized projection of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M110" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and its tendencies onto the
low-frequency PV pattern of the weather regime, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M111" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mtext>W R</mml:mtext><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, as<?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?><?xmltex \hack{\noindent}?>
            <disp-formula id="Ch1.E6" content-type="numbered"><label>6</label><mml:math id="M112" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mtable class="split" rowspacing="0.2ex" displaystyle="true" columnalign="right left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">λ</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">λ</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mtext>W R</mml:mtext><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">λ</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mtext>cos</mml:mtext><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">λ</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msup><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mtext>W R</mml:mtext><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">λ</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mtext>cos</mml:mtext><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.25em"/><mml:mspace width="0.25em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mspace width="0.25em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mspace width="0.25em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.25em"/><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.25em"/><mml:mtext>and</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">λ</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">λ</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mtext>W R</mml:mtext><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">λ</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mtext>cos</mml:mtext><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">λ</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msup><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mtext>W R</mml:mtext><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">λ</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mtext>cos</mml:mtext><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p>
      <p id="d1e2839">Note that the projection of the tendency is equivalent to the tendency of the projection <inline-formula><mml:math id="M113" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> because <inline-formula><mml:math id="M114" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mtext>W R</mml:mtext><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is
constant with time, and the operator <inline-formula><mml:math id="M115" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> commutes with the summation operator. The normalized projection is performed over the
Northern Hemisphere in the latitudinal band between 25 and 80<inline-formula><mml:math id="M116" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N, since the PV tendencies are limited to this domain. The low-pass-filtered
anomaly <inline-formula><mml:math id="M117" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is averaged between 315 and 325 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M118" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">K</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S2.SS2"/>).  The weather regime PV pattern
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M119" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mtext>W R</mml:mtext><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is defined as the mean of the low-frequency PVAs vertically averaged between 500 and 150 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M120" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">hPa</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> on active life-cycle
days (shown for EuBL in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/>b), consistent with the definition used in the quasi-Lagrangian perspective to track PVAs
(Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S2.SS5"/>). Analogous to the definition of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M121" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mtext>W R</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S2.SS3"/>, we subtract the climatological background value
and do a standardization.  <inline-formula><mml:math id="M122" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> then closely resembles the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M123" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mtext>W R</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and describes how similar a certain PV pattern is to one of
the weather regimes (Eq. <xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E5"/>).  The similarity of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M124" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M125" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mtext>W R</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is shown for the EuBL regime life cycle in
March 2016 in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F4"/>. Due to the large qualitative agreement, we conclude that the dynamics underlying the evolution
of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M126" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mtext>W R</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> can be interpreted in terms of the dynamics of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M127" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p>
      <p id="d1e3037">The individual contributions governing the evolution of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M128" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (namely the quasi-barotropic term – QB, the baroclinic term – BC, the
divergent term – DIV, the convergence of the eddy flux term – EDDY, the non-conservative term – NON-CONS, and the residual term – RES) are obtained by
applying our 10 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M129" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> low-pass filter to each term in Eq. (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E4"/>) and inserting that term into the RHS (right-hand side) of Eq. (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E6"/>). This
leads to the projection defined as
            <disp-formula id="Ch1.E7" content-type="numbered"><label>7</label><mml:math id="M130" display="block"><mml:mtable class="split" rowspacing="0.2ex" displaystyle="true" columnalign="right left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathsize="1.1em" mathvariant="normal">|</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">λ</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>∈</mml:mo><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NH</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mstyle displaystyle="false"><mml:mfrac style="text"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">λ</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:msub><mml:mi mathsize="1.1em" mathvariant="normal">|</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mtext>W R</mml:mtext><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">λ</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mtext>cos</mml:mtext><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">λ</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>∈</mml:mo><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">NH</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msup><mml:msubsup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mtext>W R</mml:mtext><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msubsup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">λ</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mtext>cos</mml:mtext><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">φ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>∈</mml:mo><mml:mtext>QB, BC, DIV, EDDY, NON-CONS, RES</mml:mtext><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>
          which describes a normalized pattern correlation between the low-frequency PV tendencies and the regime pattern. If a projection is positive, the
associated process favors a given regime pattern. If a projection is negative, the associated process works against a regime pattern. The observed
temporal evolution of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M131" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> agrees very well with the diagnosed evolution, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M132" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mo>∑</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msup><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:msub><mml:mi mathsize="1.1em" mathvariant="normal">|</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F4"/>). There is a near-constant difference of 0.07 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M133" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> between the diagnosed and observed evolution (a
relative difference of 12 % at onset time), which increases during the decay stage of the regime. However,<?pagebreak page406?> the diagnosed tendencies still capture
the overall evolution of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M134" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>P</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">L</mml:mi></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> very well. In combination with the relative smallness of the difference, we thus assert that the
assessment of the relative importance of individual processes is not compromised.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS5">
  <label>2.5</label><title>Quasi-Lagrangian perspective on the amplitude evolution of negative PVAs contributing to a weather regime</title>
      <p id="d1e3331">We complement the Eulerian perspective with a quasi-Lagrangian perspective that follows upper-tropospheric anticyclonic PVAs in blocked weather regime
life cycles and quantifies the processes in their PVA amplitude evolution.  To identify contributing PVAs, we first identify and track negative
upper-tropospheric PVAs as the vertical average between 500 and 150 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M135" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">hPa</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> based on ERA5 model-level data and then define the spatial overlap of
each of the identified PVAs with the defining weather regime PV pattern.  The identification and tracking of negative PVAs closely follow the blocking
diagnostics of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx53" id="text.56"/>, with the following modifications: (i) PVAs are calculated as deviations from a 30 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M136" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> running mean
climatology (1980–2019) centered on the respective calendar day, (ii) PVAs are not smoothed in time but smoothed spatially over a scale of
150 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M137" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, (iii) a weaker threshold of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M138" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.8 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M139" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVU</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is used which enables early detection, and (iv) the spatial overlap criterion for the
tracking of the PVAs is reduced to a minimum (overlap <inline-formula><mml:math id="M140" display="inline"><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0 %) to enable the tracking of fast-moving, transient PVAs (compared to
quasi-stationary PVAs in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx53" id="altparen.57"/>).  The fixed threshold of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M141" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.8 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M142" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVU</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is used exclusively in this case study and captures
approximately the 35 % strongest negative PVAs in the Northern Hemisphere in terms of area for the period of 1980–2019. In this context, the
threshold value fulfills both conditions required: (1) it is close enough to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M143" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M144" display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0 such that the budget of the integrated PVA amplitude
of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx58" id="text.58"/> can be closed as well as possible, and (2) it is far enough away from <inline-formula><mml:math id="M145" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M146" display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0 such that the grouping of PVAs
over the entire Northern Hemisphere by single thin filaments is avoided, which enables the investigation of single distinct PVAs.  Furthermore, the
algorithm is modified to identify splitting and merging events.  For further details about the identification and tracking the interested reader is
referred to the Appendix (Appendix <xref ref-type="sec" rid="App1.Ch1.S1"/>, Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="App1.Ch1.S1.F14"/>). In the remainder of this study, the negative upper-tropospheric
PVAs identified and tracked in the quasi-Lagrangian perspective are referred to as <inline-formula><mml:math id="M147" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>'s in the following. The assignment of
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M148" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>'s to active weather regime life cycles is based on the spatial overlap with a predefined regime mask. The regime mask is defined
as the area encapsulated by the area where the values of the weather regime pattern are smaller than <inline-formula><mml:math id="M149" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M150" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVU</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (bright green contour line in
Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/>b). <inline-formula><mml:math id="M151" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>'s that exhibit at least a 10 % overlap with the regime mask at the time of an active regime
are attributed to that specific regime life cycle. In general, more than one <inline-formula><mml:math id="M152" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> may contribute to a given regime life cycle.</p>
      <p id="d1e3521">We apply the PV framework of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx58" id="text.59"/> to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M153" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> tracks and consider the importance of processes that contribute
to the amplitude evolution. This allows for deeper insights into the associated dynamics. Our amplitude metric is the spatial integral of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M154" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
over the area <inline-formula><mml:math id="M155" display="inline"><mml:mi>A</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M156" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, i.e., <inline-formula><mml:math id="M157" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mo>∫</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="script">A</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>A</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Using the Leibniz integral rule, the tendency equation
for this amplitude metric following <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx59" id="text.60"><named-content content-type="post">their Eq. 6</named-content></xref> is given by
            <disp-formula id="Ch1.E8" content-type="numbered"><label>8</label><mml:math id="M158" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:munder><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∫</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="script">A</mml:mi></mml:munder><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:munder><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∫</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="script">A</mml:mi></mml:munder><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:munder><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∮</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="script">S</mml:mi></mml:munder><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">n</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>
          with the normal vector <inline-formula><mml:math id="M159" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> in outward direction of the boundary <inline-formula><mml:math id="M160" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="script">S</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M161" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="script">A</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M162" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is the motion
of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M163" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="script">S</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>. The first term on the right describes the contributions to the amplitude strength, whereas the second term represents the
contribution to the area change. We expand the first term of the RHS according to the partitioning introduced in Eq. (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E3"/>), which yields

                <disp-formula id="Ch1.E9" content-type="numbered"><label>9</label><mml:math id="M164" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle class="stylechange" displaystyle="true"/><mml:mtable class="split" rowspacing="0.2ex" displaystyle="true" columnalign="right left"><mml:mtr><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:munder><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∫</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="script">A</mml:mi></mml:munder><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.25em"/><mml:munder><mml:munder class="underbrace"><mml:mrow><mml:munder><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∫</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="script">A</mml:mi></mml:munder><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>up</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">∇</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:mi>A</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">︸</mml:mo></mml:munder><mml:mstyle scriptlevel="+1"><mml:mtext>QB</mml:mtext></mml:mstyle></mml:munder><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:munder><mml:munder class="underbrace"><mml:mrow><mml:munder><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∫</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="script">A</mml:mi></mml:munder><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>low</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">∇</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:mi>A</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">︸</mml:mo></mml:munder><mml:mstyle scriptlevel="+1"><mml:mtext>BC</mml:mtext></mml:mstyle></mml:munder></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:munder><mml:munder class="underbrace"><mml:mrow><mml:munder><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∫</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="script">A</mml:mi></mml:munder><mml:mfenced close="]" open="["><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>div</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">∇</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">∇</mml:mi><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>div</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:mfenced><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:mi>A</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">︸</mml:mo></mml:munder><mml:mstyle scriptlevel="+1"><mml:mtext>DIV</mml:mtext></mml:mstyle></mml:munder></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:munder><mml:munder class="underbrace"><mml:mrow><mml:munder><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∫</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="script">A</mml:mi></mml:munder><mml:mi mathvariant="script">N</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:mi>A</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">︸</mml:mo></mml:munder><mml:mstyle scriptlevel="+1"><mml:mtext>NON-CONS</mml:mtext></mml:mstyle></mml:munder><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:munder><mml:munder class="underbrace"><mml:mrow><mml:munder><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∫</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="script">A</mml:mi></mml:munder><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">∇</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:mi>A</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">︸</mml:mo></mml:munder><mml:mstyle scriptlevel="+1"><mml:mtext>BGA</mml:mtext></mml:mstyle></mml:munder></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:munder><mml:munder class="underbrace"><mml:mrow><mml:munder><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∫</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="script">A</mml:mi></mml:munder><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>res</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">∇</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:mi>A</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">︸</mml:mo></mml:munder><mml:mstyle scriptlevel="+1"><mml:mtext>RES</mml:mtext></mml:mstyle></mml:munder><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:munder><mml:munder class="underbrace"><mml:mrow><mml:munder><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∫</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="script">A</mml:mi></mml:munder><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:mi>A</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">︸</mml:mo></mml:munder><mml:mstyle scriptlevel="+1"><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mstyle></mml:munder></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr><mml:mtr><mml:mtd/><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:munder><mml:munder class="underbrace"><mml:mrow><mml:munder><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∫</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="script">A</mml:mi></mml:munder><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">∇</mml:mi><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:munder><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∮</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>S</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:munder><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">n</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:mi>S</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">︸</mml:mo></mml:munder><mml:mstyle scriptlevel="+1"><mml:mtext>BND</mml:mtext></mml:mstyle></mml:munder></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mtr></mml:mtable><mml:mo>,</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>

          where we have rearranged terms, used the nondivergence of the balanced flow (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M165" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M166" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>up</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>,
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M167" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>low</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>), and assumed the residual wind <inline-formula><mml:math id="M168" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>res</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to be nondivergent too<fn id="Ch1.Footn1"><p id="d1e4183">Nonlinearly balanced
flow is nondivergent, and we consider the residual wind to largely stem from the decomposition of the nondivergent flow by piecewise PV inversion. We
find, however, that the individual balanced flow components exhibit small but non-negligible values of horizontal divergence when evaluating on
isentropic levels. We attribute this spurious divergence to numerical inaccuracies when interpolating from pressure to isentropic levels and the
simplification of using the horizontal wind only for the interpolation and when evaluating divergence. For the sum of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M169" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> +
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M170" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>up</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> + <inline-formula><mml:math id="M171" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>low</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> + <inline-formula><mml:math id="M172" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>res</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, however, the divergence vanishes. Therefore, we
now<?pagebreak page407?> do not further consider the spurious individual terms in our PV budget.</p></fn>. The abbreviations that are introduced in
Eq. (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E9"/>) to denote the different PV tendency terms appear in the figures in the quasi-Lagrangian perspective
(Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S4.SS2"/>) and are used for an easier reference. The (very small) term <inline-formula><mml:math id="M173" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">∇</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is not attributed to the quasi-barotropic term of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx59" id="text.61"/> for the sake of consistency with the Eulerian perspective above. The major contribution to the
amplitude change of the anomaly (Eq. <xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E9"/>) is due to terms of the form <inline-formula><mml:math id="M174" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">v</mml:mi><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">∇</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> that describe that air
masses cross the gradient of background PV.</p>
      <p id="d1e4284">The boundary term <inline-formula><mml:math id="M175" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">BND</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is introduced, which describes the change in the integration area <inline-formula><mml:math id="M176" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="script">A</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> by (i) the net divergence of the PVA flux
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M177" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) through the boundary and (ii) the movement of the boundary <inline-formula><mml:math id="M178" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Note that the eddy term in
Eq. (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E4"/>) is completely absorbed into the first term of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M179" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">BND</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (Eq. <xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E9"/>). <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx58" id="text.62"/>
considered anomalies that were bounded, in general, by <inline-formula><mml:math id="M180" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> on the respective isentropic level. In this case, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M181" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">BND</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is sufficiently
small so that it can be neglected. In this study, the identification and tracking of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M182" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is performed on pressure levels. We
hence define the integration area <inline-formula><mml:math id="M183" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="script">A</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> by the overlap of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M184" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> with the negative PVA on isentropic levels (315, 320, and
325 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M185" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">K</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). As a consequence, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M186" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">BND</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> no longer cancels out during integration. Generally, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M187" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">BND</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is difficult to determine since the
motion of the boundary of the anomaly <inline-formula><mml:math id="M188" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>v</mml:mi><mml:mi>s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is required. Section <xref ref-type="sec" rid="App1.Ch1.S2"/> in the Appendix discusses inherent limitations to the evaluation of
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M189" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">BND</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.  Evaluating <inline-formula><mml:math id="M190" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">BND</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> by using observed changes <inline-formula><mml:math id="M191" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>A</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> of the area <inline-formula><mml:math id="M192" display="inline"><mml:mi>A</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> of the PVA on isentropic levels, we find very good
agreement between the observed and the diagnosed tendency of the amplitude (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="App1.Ch1.S2.F15"/>a).</p>
      <p id="d1e4476">In the following, we will in particular focus on the first four terms in Eq. (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E9"/>) (QB, BC, DIV, and NON-CONS), i.e., on
those that yield amplitude changes in the globally integrated sense. This focus implies the assumption that the relative importance of the processes
diagnosed <italic>within</italic> the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M193" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> – defined by a finite threshold – is similar to that <italic>in the vicinity</italic> of the
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M194" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. <italic>Vicinity</italic> is here defined as the area between the contour line of the finite <inline-formula><mml:math id="M195" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> threshold and a
neighboring <inline-formula><mml:math id="M196" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> contour line. However, for completeness, the temporal evolution of the terms contained in the second row of
Eq. (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E9"/>) is presented in the Appendix (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="App1.Ch1.S2.F15"/>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS6">
  <label>2.6</label><?xmltex \opttitle{Lagrangian perspective on the diabatic history of air parcels ending up in the ${\protect\chem{PVA}}^{{-}}_{\text{qL}}$}?><title>Lagrangian perspective on the diabatic history of air parcels ending up in the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M197" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></title>
      <p id="d1e4571">We complement the Eulerian and quasi-Lagrangian perspectives with a Lagrangian perspective that focuses on the diabatic history of air parcels that end
up in the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M198" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> associated with a blocked regime. We employ the Lagrangian analysis tool LAGRANTO <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx56" id="paren.63"/>, using
three-dimensional wind fields from ERA5 model-level data.  The diabatic history of air parcels is investigated with a set of 3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M199" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> backward
trajectories that end up in the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M200" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> defined in the quasi-Lagrangian perspective (Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S2.SS5"/>). Following
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx48" id="text.64"/>, trajectory calculations are launched for each grid point within a <inline-formula><mml:math id="M201" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M202" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M203" display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.5<inline-formula><mml:math id="M204" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) on
nine pressure levels between 500 and 150 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M205" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">hPa</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M206" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M207" display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 50 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M208" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">hPa</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) for each time step. In accordance with <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx48" id="text.65"/> and
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx57" id="text.66"/>, we trace potential temperature <inline-formula><mml:math id="M209" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> along the trajectories, and the 3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M210" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> backward trajectories are classified
based on their net change of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M211" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> along the trajectory. Trajectories are classified as diabatically “heated” if <inline-formula><mml:math id="M212" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>h</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mtext>max</mml:mtext></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M213" display="inline"><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 2 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M214" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">K</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is fulfilled.</p>
      <p id="d1e4755">In addition, we create an additional set of trajectories to detect WCBs as trajectories that ascend by at least 600 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M215" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">hPa</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in 48 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M216" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, based
on a similar methodology to <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx34" id="text.67"/>. Analogous to <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx49" id="text.68"/>, we distinguish different stages of the WCB and assign all WCB
trajectory parcels that are located above 400 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M217" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">hPa</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to the WCB outflow stage. For this purpose, 2 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M218" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> backward trajectories are started
3-hourly in the Northern Hemisphere at an equidistant grid of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M219" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>x</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M220" display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 100 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M221" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">km</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and at 13 equidistant vertical levels between 400 and
100 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M222" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">hPa</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. This is not the traditional way to determine WCB outflow by forward trajectories, but it offers the advantage of calculating trajectories
directly from the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M223" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>'s. The filtering of trajectories is omitted here to avoid double counting as well as the criterion that
the ascent must take place in the vicinity of an extratropical cyclone.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F5" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{5}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 5</label><caption><p id="d1e4846">Synoptic evolution of the EuBL regime life cycle in March 2016. Upper-tropospheric PVAs (315–325 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M224" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">K</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> isentropic layer mean, shading) and the 2 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M225" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVU</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> contour (solid black) for selected time lags relative to the EuBL regime life cycle onset (9 March, 18:00 UTC): <bold>(a)</bold> 5 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M226" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> before onset, <bold>(b)</bold> the day before onset, <bold>(c)</bold> onset, and <bold>(d)</bold> 4 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M227" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> after onset. The negative PV anomaly that is later identified in the quasi-Lagrangian perspective in Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S4.SS2"/> (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M228" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) as the main contributing negative PVA is shown in a light-green contour line (corresponds to the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M229" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.8 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M230" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVU</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> anomaly contour). Solid orange and dark-purple contour lines point to negative and positive divergent PV tendencies (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M231" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:msubsup><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mtext>div</mml:mtext><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msubsup><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">∇</mml:mi><mml:mi>q</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>), likewise shown as the isentropic mean between 315–325 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M232" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">K</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (in steps of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M233" display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.5, 1.5, 2.5 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M234" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVU</mml:mi><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>). Note that divergent PV tendencies are smoothed by a Gaussian filter. Black crosses mark every 30 intersection points of WCB trajectories in the 317.5–322.5 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M235" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">K</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> isentropic layer. The thin dark-gray contours indicate the regime pattern of EuBL (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M236" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> (0.2, 0.4, 0.6, 0.8) <inline-formula><mml:math id="M237" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVU</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, negative dashed).</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=369.885827pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://wcd.copernicus.org/articles/4/399/2023/wcd-4-399-2023-f05.jpg"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3">
  <label>3</label><title>PV evolution of the EuBL regime life cycle in March 2016</title>
      <p id="d1e5018">This section introduces the synoptic and large-scale evolution of the EuBL weather regime life cycle in March 2016. Based on the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M238" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">WR</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, the life cycle
occurred from 9 March, 18:00 UTC to 18 March, 00:00 UTC (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>). We first discuss the PV-based evolution of the large-scale flow
features in the North Atlantic–European region. This is complemented by a first overview of the potential influence of moist processes in the
development of the blocked regime pattern, based on divergent PV tendencies and WCB intersection points with the 320 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M239" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">K</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> isentropic surface in
the upper troposphere.</p>
      <p id="d1e5042">The large-scale circulation pattern is characterized by a high-amplitude ridge over the North Atlantic 5 d prior to regime onset
(black 2 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M240" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVU</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> contour and strong negative PVA in blue shading, Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>a). This ridge is flanked by broad troughs upstream over
eastern North America and downstream over western Europe (positive PVAs in gray shading). An incipient negative upper-tropospheric PVA develops at the
southern flank of the trough upstream near the US East Coast (light-green contour in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>a). This negative PV anomaly is identified later in
this study as the main contributing <inline-formula><mml:math id="M241" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> from a quasi-Lagrangian perspective.  The broad trough over western Europe
occupies the region where a quasi-stationary ridge is expected later during the EuBL life cycle (see thin dashed lines in black,
Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>a). Over the next<?pagebreak page408?> 4 d, the incipient ridge over the North Atlantic dramatically amplifies ahead of a narrowed and
elongated trough along the US East Coast and extends to the east, where it replaces the high-amplitude ridge over the North Atlantic
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>b). During the same period, the large-amplitude trough downstream slowly moved from western to central Europe
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>a and b). Around 1 d prior to the EuBL onset, the trough upstream reaches far to the south, exhibits a cut-off character,
and wraps up cyclonically. At the time of the EuBL onset, 1 d later, the ridge is centered over the eastern North Atlantic, upstream of the region
of the climatological mean negative PVA during EuBL (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>c). The troughs upstream and downstream of the ridge also strengthen, as
manifested by the increasing PV anomaly magnitude within these areas. A further intensification of the negative PVA occurs during the 4 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M242" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> of
the active regime life cycle, resulting in a highly amplified ridge at the time of the maximum manifestation of the blocked regime (defined as maximum
in <inline-formula><mml:math id="M243" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>I</mml:mi><mml:mtext>W R</mml:mtext></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F3"/>). At that time, the ridge covers a large area over the eastern North Atlantic and northwestern
Europe and starts breaking anticyclonically towards central Europe (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>d). The trough downstream is displaced to the southeast and
has weakened, but the trough upstream continues to strengthen and still reaches far to the south.</p>
      <?pagebreak page409?><p id="d1e5104">To understand the impact of moist processes for the development and maintenance of the EuBL regime life cycle, we look at divergent PV tendencies and
WCB air parcels at 320 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M244" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">K</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. High WCB activity prevails over the US East Coast at the time when the incipient negative PVA develops and suggests
a moist contribution to the formation of the PVA (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>a). Simultaneously, divergent PV tendencies centered at the northwestern
corner of the anomaly strengthen the negative PVA (red contours). On the day before the EuBL onset, again strong negative divergent PV tendencies
co-occur with WCB air parcels, especially on the northwestern flank of the ridge associated with the upstream trough
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>b). Studies by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx35" id="text.69"/> and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx20" id="text.70"/> have shown that synoptic-scale WCB activity associated with this
upper-level trough contributed to the subsequent amplification and poleward extension of the ridge. This has further been demonstrated to largely
amplify forecast errors, leading to a particularly poor medium-range forecast over Europe. At the time of the regime onset, high WCB activity is
observed on the eastern and western flanks of the large-amplitude ridge around the EuBL onset, with a clear center of action located at the northern
tip (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>c). Here we see again that this is accompanied by strong divergent PV tendencies that are associated with an amplification
of the ridge. At the same time, positive divergent PV tendencies are now appearing on the flanks of the ridge, indicating a narrowing. During the life
cycle, it becomes clear that the maintenance of the regime involves a diabatic contribution implied by strong negative divergent PV tendencies in the
northern corner of the ridge (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>d). Ongoing WCB activity is observed ahead of the high-amplitude cyclonically breaking trough
upstream.</p>
      <p id="d1e5130">In summary, the development and maintenance of the EuBL life cycle in March 2016 are related to the propagation and amplification of a negative PVA
reaching Europe around the time of regime onset. The amplification of this negative PVA and its maintenance over Europe is associated with
intermittent synoptic activity that points to a non-negligible moist-dynamical contribution. Fair agreement is seen in the spatial occurrence of WCB
air parcels and ridge-amplifying divergent PV tendencies so that the consideration of the divergent PV tendency term as an indirectly diabatic term is
justified. It is important to note that the negative PVA is not generated locally over Europe but quite far upstream. Likewise, the synoptic
activity, which seems to be an important contributor to the buildup of the regime, takes place upstream of where the block is expected. In the
following, we will quantify the contributions of different processes to the EuBL regime life cycles from the Eulerian, quasi-Lagrangian, and
Lagrangian perspectives.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4">
  <label>4</label><title>Three perspectives on the PV dynamics of the EuBL regime life cycle in March 2016</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS1">
  <label>4.1</label><title>Eulerian PV perspective</title>
      <p id="d1e5148">We consider the onset, maintenance, and decay of the EuBL regime over the North Atlantic–European region from the Eulerian perspective by focusing on
the processes that locally contribute to a certain regime pattern. Low-pass-filtered PV tendencies are projected onto the regime pattern to
quantitatively determine the mechanisms that govern the evolution of the regime pattern. Further insight into the dynamics of the pattern evolution
can be gained by considering the positive and negative PVAs separately, i.e., by projecting the individual tendencies only onto the positive (trough)
and negative (ridge) parts of the pattern, respectively. The individual contributions of different processes to the evolution of the EuBL regime
pattern are shown as tendencies in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F6"/>. Positive values indicate that an individual mechanism contributes to the onset of the
regime pattern, and negative values imply that a particular process contributes to the decay of the regime pattern. The time series of the tendencies
is complemented with spatial information on PV and PV tendencies for selected times in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F7"/>.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F6"><?xmltex \currentcnt{6}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 6</label><caption><p id="d1e5157">Quantified PV dynamics of the EuBL regime life cycle in March 2016 from an Eulerian perspective. Projection of low-frequency PV tendencies (in <inline-formula><mml:math id="M245" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) onto <bold>(a)</bold> the full regime pattern consisting of positive and negative PVAs, <bold>(b)</bold> only the positive PVAs, and <bold>(c)</bold> only the negative PVAs of the regime pattern. The colored curves represent the different PV tendencies: divergent (DIV, red), quasi-barotropic (QB, blue), baroclinic (BC, yellow), and the convergence of eddy fluxes (EDDY, gray). The contribution due to direct diabatic modification is separated into radiation (RAD, turquoise) and non-radiative processes (NotRAD, pink). The full diagnosed tendency (DIAG) is displayed as the sum of all the terms included in Eq. (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E7"/>) (black curve). The gray shaded area denotes the time of the active EuBL regime life cycle. Gray vertical lines refer to the times for which spatial fields of PVAs and PV tendencies are shown in Fig. 7.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=227.622047pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://wcd.copernicus.org/articles/4/399/2023/wcd-4-399-2023-f06.png"/>

        </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{p}?><fig id="Ch1.F7" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{7}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 7</label><caption><p id="d1e5193">Snapshots of the low-frequency PV evolution around the EuBL regime life cycle. Low-frequency PVAs (315–325 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M246" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">K</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> averages) are shown in shading (in <inline-formula><mml:math id="M247" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVU</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>), the 2 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M248" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVU</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> contour is shown as a thick black line, and the thin dark-gray lines show the EuBL regime pattern used to project the PV tendencies and PVAs into (dashed for negative and solid for positive). Divergent PV tendencies are smoothed by a Gaussian filter and shown by contour lines in the left column (see lower left color bar). Blue contour lines point to quasi-barotropic PV tendencies and yellow contour lines to baroclinic PV tendencies in the right column (see color bar in the lower right). For the quasi-barotropic and baroclinic tendencies, solid (dashed) contour lines display positive (negative) PV tendencies. The snapshots are shown for 5 d before onset <bold>(a, b)</bold>, the day before onset (panels <bold>c</bold> and <bold>d</bold>), onset <bold>(e, f)</bold>, and 4 d after onset <bold>(g, h)</bold>. The selected time steps are marked as vertical gray lines in the projection timeline in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F6"/>.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=426.791339pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://wcd.copernicus.org/articles/4/399/2023/wcd-4-399-2023-f07.jpg"/>

        </fig>

      <?pagebreak page411?><p id="d1e5245">The most dominant contribution to the regime pattern evolution around the onset arises from linear wave dynamics as described by the quasi-barotropic
PV tendency (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F6"/>a). As discussed in Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S2.SS2"/>, this PV tendency term describes the residual of the
(westward) intrinsic phase propagation and the eastward advection of PVAs by the background flow. During the considered period, the latter term
dominates, and thus the downstream advection of PVAs is of crucial importance for the onset of the regime pattern. We have already shown in
Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S3"/> that the negative PVA (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M249" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>), which later represents the block over Europe, forms upstream. Considering
negative and positive PVAs separately, the propagation of this <inline-formula><mml:math id="M250" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> from upstream to the target region is reflected in large
values of the quasi-barotropic tendency in the projection (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F6"/>c) and amplifying quasi-barotropic tendencies in the ridge of
the regime pattern (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F7"/>d, f). A consistently positive contribution from the quasi-barotropic term for the cyclonic part of the
regime pattern underlines the propagation of positive PVAs, but the contribution is much smaller (Figs. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F6"/>b
and <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F7"/>d, f).  Baroclinic PV tendencies are predominantly associated with the maintenance of the regime pattern but do not play a
leading role in its onset (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F6"/>a). However, they become important in counteracting other PV tendency terms towards the end of
the life cycle. The contributions to the full regime pattern arise predominantly from the anticyclonic part of the regime pattern, suggesting a
contribution to the amplification of the ridge over Europe (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F6"/>c). However, a closer look at the spatial pattern reveals that
the baroclinic term contributes to the secondary anticyclonic part of the regime pattern located over the US East Coast and not to that related to the
block itself (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F7"/>f and h).  The divergent PV tendencies are of further importance in the onset stage of the EuBL regime
pattern and show their maximum positive contribution to the onset of the pattern around 9 March, 18:00 UTC (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F6"/>a). Divided
into the anticyclonic and cyclonic parts of the regime pattern, the divergent term almost exclusively contributes to the former and weakens the latter,
with a large contribution to the regime decay in the second half of the regime life cycle (Figs. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F6"/>b, c
and <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F7"/>c, e, g). Negative divergent PV tendencies overlap with the cyclonic regime pattern over the central North Atlantic at
that time (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F7"/>g), which could be related to the onset of the subsequently established Atlantic ridge regime pattern
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F3"/>).</p>
      <p id="d1e5308">Nonlinear processes as diagnosed by the convergence of nondivergent eddy fluxes have been the focus of many previous studies. In this case, they are
negative, such that they support neither the onset nor the maintenance of the pattern in the current case and are consistently associated with the
decay of the regime pattern (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F6"/>a). A clear minimum is visible in the separate consideration of the anticyclonic part of the
pattern around the onset, where nonlinear processes such as wave breaking are associated with a decay of the regime pattern
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F6"/>c).  Note, however, that the eddy fluxes may still help to maintain the regime pattern by reducing the strength of the
westerly flow upstream <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx29" id="paren.71"/>. A dipole pattern associated with the eddy fluxes that indicates such a reduction is found in the average
over many cases of Greenland blocking <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx60" id="paren.72"/>.</p>
      <p id="d1e5321">When the two diabatic PV tendency terms – radiative and non-radiative tendencies – are considered together, their effect on the regime onset and
decay cancels out almost completely (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F6"/>a). The radiative tendency strengthens the cyclonic part of the regime pattern and
weakens the anticyclonic part (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F6"/>b and c). Thereby, the projected tendency is almost constant and changes only slowly,
indicating that the radiative diabatic tendency is not closely linked to the mechanisms governing the regime evolution. While non-radiative diabatic
tendencies are associated with a decay of the cyclonic regime part, they strengthen the anticyclonic part of the regime, suggesting that these
tendencies are dominated by latent heat release.</p>
      <p id="d1e5328">The Eulerian perspective elaborates on the importance of the advection of existing PVAs by the background flow in the onset stage of the EuBL regime
pattern. From this perspective, divergent PV tendencies have a non-negligible effect in building up the anticyclonic part of the regime. However, the
Eulerian perspective misses the processes associated with the development of PVAs advected into the region. Further insights into the evolution of
these PVAs can be gained by tracing the PVAs that are advected into the region, especially the negative PVAs associated with the anticyclonic part of
the pattern over northern Europe (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M251" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>'s).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS2">
  <label>4.2</label><title>Quasi-Lagrangian PV perspective</title>
      <p id="d1e5353">The quasi-Lagrangian perspective focuses on traced anticyclonic PVAs in the Northern Hemisphere (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M252" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>'s) that contribute to a
blocked regime life cycle and their amplitude evolution.  In contrast with the low-frequency Eulerian perspective above, here we consider the
instantaneous PV evolution.  We will first discuss the track of the main <inline-formula><mml:math id="M253" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (already indicated in light-green contours in
Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>), based on the center of mass coordinates and the splitting and merging events. Subsequently, we quantify the individual
contributions to the amplitude evolution of the main <inline-formula><mml:math id="M254" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, consider direct diabatic impacts separately, and finally conclude
with a summary.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F8" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{8}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 8</label><caption><p id="d1e5402">Track of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M255" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> that contributed to the EuBL in March 2016 and detected splitting and merging events along the tracks. <bold>(a)</bold> The colored line shows the track of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M256" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> based on the center of mass from 4 March, 15:00 UTC–25 March, 00:00 UTC. The time information is given in color shades (green: before regime onset, red: active regime life cycle, blue: after regime decay). Jumps in the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M257" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> track can be attributed to abrupt changes in the center of mass due to splitting and merging events. The mean frequency of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M258" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> during the time of the track (which is the percentage of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M259" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> lifetime on which the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M260" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> overlaps a grid point) is shown in gray shading (in %). The black dotted contour highlights the regime mask of EuBL (same as in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F2"/>b). <bold>(b)</bold> Scatter plot that shows the association between the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M261" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> amplitude effect of a splitting (triangle) or a merging (dot) event (in 10<inline-formula><mml:math id="M262" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">12</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M263" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVU</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">m</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) and the area proportion of the splitting/merging <inline-formula><mml:math id="M264" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and the main <inline-formula><mml:math id="M265" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (in %). Each marker (triangle, dot) represents a splitting or merging event, and the marker color indicates the time of the event. Particular events mentioned in the text are labeled with capital letters (and numbers).</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=483.69685pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://wcd.copernicus.org/articles/4/399/2023/wcd-4-399-2023-f08.png"/>

        </fig>

<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS2.SSS1">
  <label>4.2.1</label><title>Anomaly track and splitting and merging events</title>
      <?pagebreak page412?><p id="d1e5577">From a quasi-Lagrangian perspective, the EuBL life cycle in March 2016 was dominated by a single <inline-formula><mml:math id="M266" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, which we identified from
4–25 March. The <inline-formula><mml:math id="M267" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> was first identified over the US East Coast 5 d before regime onset and propagated northeastwards
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F8"/>a). With the start of the EuBL life cycle on 9 March, the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M268" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> settled into a quasi-stationary position
over northern Europe (illustrated by the maximum in frequency, Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F8"/>a). At the time of the regime decay, the
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M269" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> started to migrate further to the northeast. The end of the anomaly's life cycle was reached 7 d after the regime
decay.</p>
      <p id="d1e5641">Abrupt changes in the track of the main <inline-formula><mml:math id="M270" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are evident in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F8"/>a, which are mainly due to splitting and
merging events.  These events cause sudden changes of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M271" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> amplitude and area, which in turn may prominently impact the
position of the anomaly's center of mass. Our novel tracking algorithm in the quasi-Lagrangian perspective (Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S2.SS5"/>,
Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="App1.Ch1.S1.F14"/>) is designed to detect and quantify the effect of these events.  An overview of all splitting and merging events is
provided in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F8"/>b.  For approximately half of the events, the impact on the area and area-integrated amplitude of the main  <inline-formula><mml:math id="M272" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>'s is small (relative area change <inline-formula><mml:math id="M273" display="inline"><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 15 %).  Other
events, however, are accompanied by a significant change in area and amplitude and lead to jumps in the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M274" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> track.  For
example, the prominent southward jump in the track around 7 March can be attributed to a splitting event, in which the northern part of the
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M275" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> area that makes up approximately 50 % of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M276" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> splits off (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F8"/>a and b;
light-green triangle with the label “A”) and propagates towards the north (not shown). Another example is the merging event on 19 March
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F8"/>b; light-blue dot with the label “E”) when a negative PVA of remarkable size (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M277" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">&gt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 60 % of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M278" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> area)
was fed into the existing <inline-formula><mml:math id="M279" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F9" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{9}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 9</label><caption><p id="d1e5786">Occurrence frequency (in %) of <bold>(a)</bold> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M280" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>'s that merge into the main contributing <inline-formula><mml:math id="M281" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <bold>(b)</bold> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M282" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>'s that separate from the main contributing <inline-formula><mml:math id="M283" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. We consider all splitting and merging events that take place along the life cycle of the main <inline-formula><mml:math id="M284" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mrow><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mi>L</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. For the calculation per event, the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M285" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is traced back 3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M286" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in the case of merging or from the splitting event to 3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M287" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> later if possible. Crosses show the position (based on the center of mass) of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M288" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> before they merge into the main <inline-formula><mml:math id="M289" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <bold>(a)</bold> or at the time of splitting from the main <inline-formula><mml:math id="M290" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <bold>(b)</bold>. Points mark the position of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M291" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>'s at most 3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M292" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> before the merging event or at most 3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M293" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> after the splitting event. In case of a shorter lifetime of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M294" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, the last possible (splitting) or first possible (merging) position is shown. The color indicates the time in the life cycle at which the respective event occurs.</p></caption>
            <?xmltex \igopts{width=483.69685pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://wcd.copernicus.org/articles/4/399/2023/wcd-4-399-2023-f09.png"/>

          </fig>

      <p id="d1e6000">The majority of the anomalies that merge into the main <inline-formula><mml:math id="M295" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> originate (up to 3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M296" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> prior to the merging event) from
upstream and migrate into the main <inline-formula><mml:math id="M297" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> from the southwest (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F9"/>a).  In contrast, the anomalies that split
from the main <inline-formula><mml:math id="M298" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> tend to move to the east of the main anomaly downstream into northern Asia (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F9"/>b).
Overall, splitting and merging events can have a substantial impact on the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M299" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> amplitude evolution.  For the first time, we can
quantify this impact and compare the role of these events with other processes that impact the amplitude evolution.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F10" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{10}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 10</label><caption><p id="d1e6074">Process contributions to the amplitude evolution of the main <inline-formula><mml:math id="M300" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> associated with the EuBL episode in March 2016. <bold>(a)</bold> Integrated <inline-formula><mml:math id="M301" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> amplitude in terms of isentropic layer average (315–325 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M302" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">K</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, dashed gray) and pressure layer average (500–150 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M303" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">hPa</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, solid black) for the lifetime of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M304" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Colored symbols along the two horizontal lines in the lower half of the panel mark the occurrence of splitting (triangles) and merging (dots) events. The color of the markers points to the timing of these events (see color bar in Figs. 8 or 9). <bold>(b)</bold> Integrated PV tendency terms for <inline-formula><mml:math id="M305" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> that contribute to the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M306" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> amplitude evolution: quasi-barotropic term (QB, blue), baroclinic term (BC, yellow), divergent term (DIV, red), non-conservative term (NON-CONS, green), and the sum of all terms mentioned before (SUM <inline-formula><mml:math id="M307" display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> QB <inline-formula><mml:math id="M308" display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> BC <inline-formula><mml:math id="M309" display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> DIV <inline-formula><mml:math id="M310" display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> NON-CONS, gray). <bold>(c)</bold> Division of the non-conservative PV tendency term (NON-CONS, solid dark green) into its various components: non-radiative part (NotRAD, solid turquoise) and radiative part (RAD, solid light green). The radiative term is further partitioned into the non-conservative PV tendency by shortwave radiation (RAD: SWR, dotted light green) and by longwave radiation (RAD: LWR, dashed light green). Note the sign convention here is that positive tendencies signify a strengthening of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M311" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> amplitude. The period of the active EuBL life cycle is shown in all panels in gray shading, and the vertical black line in panels <bold>(b)</bold> and <bold>(c)</bold> marks the date used to split up the EuBL life cycle in two episodes for the analysis presented in Fig. 11. Note the different <inline-formula><mml:math id="M312" display="inline"><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-axis ranges between panels <bold>(b)</bold> and <bold>(c)</bold>.</p></caption>
            <?xmltex \igopts{width=483.69685pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://wcd.copernicus.org/articles/4/399/2023/wcd-4-399-2023-f10.png"/>

          </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F11" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{11}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 11</label><caption><p id="d1e6244">Net effect of PV tendencies on the amplitude evolution of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M313" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> for different periods within the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M314" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> lifetime. All contributing PV tendency terms from Eq. (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E9"/>) (except <inline-formula><mml:math id="M315" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) are summed up over four different periods (from left to right): <bold>(a)</bold> before EuBL onset (4 March, 15:00 UTC–9 March, 15:00 UTC), <bold>(b)</bold> active EuBL life cycle part I (9 March, 18:00 UTC–14 March, 21:00 UTC), <bold>(c)</bold> active EuBL life cycle part II (15 March, 00:00 UTC–18 March, 00:00 UTC), and <bold>(d)</bold> after EuBL decay (18 March, 03:00 UTC–25 March, 00:00 UTC). To account for the different lengths of the periods, we divide the sums by the number of time steps in the period. Note that the PV tendency term <inline-formula><mml:math id="M316" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> of Eq. (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E9"/>) is not shown here because it is so small that it does not affect the amplitude change.</p></caption>
            <?xmltex \igopts{width=483.69685pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://wcd.copernicus.org/articles/4/399/2023/wcd-4-399-2023-f11.png"/>

          </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS2.SSS2">
  <label>4.2.2</label><title>Amplitude evolution</title>
      <p id="d1e6345">To quantify the processes that govern the amplitude evolution of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M317" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, Eq. (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E9"/>) is evaluated on
isentropic levels. Following <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx58 bib1.bibx59" id="text.73"/>, we will particularly focus on the four PV tendency terms on the first row in
Eq. (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E9"/>) when we discuss the temporal evolution in the following. However, for the sake of completeness, the temporal
evolution of the remaining terms in Eq. (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E9"/>) (second row) is shown in the Appendix (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="App1.Ch1.S2.F15"/>). The
net effect of all individual PV tendency terms on the amplitude evolution for different phases is illustrated in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F11"/>.</p>
      <?pagebreak page413?><p id="d1e6376">Overall, the quantitative agreement between the amplitude evolution of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M318" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> evaluated on the pressure levels between 500 and
150 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M319" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">hPa</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and the isentropic levels between 315 and 325 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M320" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">K</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is very good (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F10"/>a). The amplitude increases from
4–16 March, with a peak in the amplitude in the last third of the EuBL regime life cycle.  Subsequently, the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M321" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> amplitude
weakens until the end of its life cycle on 25 March. Abrupt changes in the amplitude are due to splitting and merging events (marked at the bottom of
Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F10"/>a).  Small qualitative differences in the evolution occur around 7–12 March, when the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M322" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is
located far north of the higher latitudes. These differences occur because the data set used for isentropic <inline-formula><mml:math id="M323" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> amplitude evolution
is limited to 80<inline-formula><mml:math id="M324" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N (see Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S2.SS2"/>), whereas the data set used for the pressure-level-based <inline-formula><mml:math id="M325" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
amplitude evolution does not face these limitations. Around peak amplitude and early during the decay (14–20 March), the isentropic-based
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M326" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> amplitude is more pronounced than the pressure-based <inline-formula><mml:math id="M327" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, which suggests that the chosen isentropic
layer encloses (in particular) the strong core of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M328" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> more accurately than the layer based on pressure levels.</p>
      <p id="d1e6524">We define the first phase of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M329" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>'s life cycle as the period before the onset of the blocked regime, i.e., from
4–9 March.  A net amplification is evident during this phase (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F10"/>b), which is by and large dominated by divergent PV tendencies
(Figs. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F10"/>b and <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F11"/>a). Two distinct episodes of intensification due to the divergent tendency occur on 4–6 and
7–9 March (see WCB intersection points in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F5"/>a and b), both associated additionally with local maxima in the baroclinic
tendencies. This signature indicates moist-baroclinic coupling <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx59" id="paren.74"/>. As further discussed in Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S4.SS3"/>, both
episodes are associated with prominent WCB activity of an extratropical cyclone upstream, providing some evidence that the pronounced amplification
due to the divergent tendency is in this case indeed coupled with latent heat release and can thus be considered as an indirect diabatic impact.
Quasi-barotropic PV tendencies govern the very early amplification of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M330" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F10"/>b), suggesting that
the trough sitting over the eastern part of the US makes an important contribution to the formation of the incipient <inline-formula><mml:math id="M331" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
through northward advection of low-PV air into the downstream region.  The net impact of the quasi-barotropic tendencies during the first phase,
however, is small and negative (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F11"/>a), which is due to the period of negative tendencies around 7 March
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F10"/>b).  The net impact of the boundary term <inline-formula><mml:math id="M332" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">BND</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> during the first phase is slightly negative
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F11"/>a). Although the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M333" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> area is growing and experiences various merging events from its first detection
until the EuBL onset, the aforementioned splitting event on 7 March (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F8"/>b, green triangle with the label “A”) seems to dominate the
net effect (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F11"/>a).</p>
      <p id="d1e6618">We define the second phase of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M334" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> life cycle as the first part of the active EuBL life cycle from 9 March,
18:00 UTC–14 March, 21:00 UTC. Our motivation to define 14 March, 21:00 UTC as the end of this period is that (i) there is still an amplification of
the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M335" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> amplitude, (ii) the sum of diagnosed processes in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F10"/>b turns generally negative after that
time, and (iii) this choice delineates two periods with several splitting and merging events within the active regime life cycle. In general, this
first part of the active regime life cycle is associated with a further general amplification of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M336" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
(Figs. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F10"/>b and <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F11"/>b).  Same as before the onset, two major episodes occur, during which the<?pagebreak page415?> sum of the
diagnosed processes indicates prominent amplification.  The first episode occurs just after the onset of the regime life cycle (10–11 March) and the
other from 13–15 March (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F10"/>b).  Again, the divergent PV tendency term highly dominates both amplification
episodes. However, the quasi-barotropic PV tendency makes an important additional contribution to the already strongly pronounced divergent PV
tendencies in the second episode (13–15 March). Throughout the entire <inline-formula><mml:math id="M337" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> life cycle, both tendency terms show a clear maximum
contribution from 13–15 March. The net effect of both divergent and quasi-barotropic PV tendencies is positive, with a distinct stronger net effect
in the divergent PV tendencies pointing to the importance of moist processes in the first part of the active EuBL regime life cycle
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F11"/>b).  The baroclinic PV tendency has a negligible impact in this phase with no net effect at all. The net effect of
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M338" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">BND</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is again negative and rather small as for the first phase prior to the onset. A variety of splitting and merging events take place
(Figs. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F8"/>b and <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F10"/>a) that lead to huge values in the second term within <inline-formula><mml:math id="M339" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">BND</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> that describes the
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M340" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> area change by the movement of the boundary. The major splitting event on 13 March (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F8"/>b, the orange
triangle with the label “B”) is most probably responsible for the net weakening effect of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M341" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">BND</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Note that the rather high signal of RES might
be attributed to the fact that the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M342" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> area extends north of the PV inversion region, where marginal effects of the piecewise
PV inversion arise (Figs. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F11"/>b and <xref ref-type="fig" rid="App1.Ch1.S2.F15"/>b).</p>
      <p id="d1e6753">The second part of the active blocked regime life cycle (15–18 March) is characterized by a negative net impact of the diagnosed tendencies
(Figs. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F10"/>b and <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F11"/>c).  This net impact heralds the eventual decay of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M343" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. In
contrast with the first part of the active life cycle, the quasi-barotropic tendency now makes a major contribution to the weakening of the
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M344" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.  The baroclinic tendency, negligible during the first part of the active life cycle, turns persistently positive after the
quasi-barotropic tendency turns negative on 15 March and thus constitutes the main contribution to counteracting the weakening of the
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M345" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F10"/>b) in the second part of the regime life cycle. This positive contribution of baroclinic PV
tendencies leading to the amplification of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M346" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> indicates incipient downstream moist-baroclinic development (more on this in
Sects. 5.1 and 5.2 in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx59" id="altparen.75"/>).  The divergent PV tendency is of less importance than before but still shows a small positive net
impact (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F11"/>c). The term that describes the advection of background PV with the background wind (labeled as BGA) has a negligible but consistently positive effect on the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M347" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> amplitude (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="App1.Ch1.S2.F15"/>b), resulting in an overall positive net effect
on the strengthening of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M348" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> amplitude. In contrast with the two phases before, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M349" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">BND</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> has a strong negative net effect
on the second part of the active regime life cycle (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F11"/>c).  Generally, strong deformation of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M350" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
that is accompanied by several splitting and merging events, which contribute to sudden noticeable changes in
amplitude but also to substantial relative changes in the area of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M351" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> between 30 % and 50 % (in particular the two
splitting events C1 and C2 and the merging event D in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F8"/>b), occurs during this phase (not shown).</p>
      <?pagebreak page416?><p id="d1e6895">In the final decay phase of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M352" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (18–25 March), most of the tendencies exhibit similar characteristics as during
the second part of the active life cycle. The quasi-barotropic tendency contributes strongly to the weakening, most probably because of the beginning
deformation of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M353" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> after the regime decay. The divergent and, in particular, the baroclinic tendencies make positive
contributions, which decay strongly in the last days before the end of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M354" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> life cycle (Figs. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F10"/>b
 <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F11"/>d). The <inline-formula><mml:math id="M355" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">BND</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> term again exhibits a strong negative net effect after regime decay, pointing to a degrading contribution as
the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M356" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> decreases in size towards the end of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M357" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> life cycle (not shown). Several splitting and
merging events take place, with the number of splitting events being predominant (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F8"/>b).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS2.SSS3">
  <label>4.2.3</label><title>Direct diabatic impact</title>
      <p id="d1e6991">The direct diabatic tendency, i.e., the direct impact of non-conservative processes, is predominately negative, and the absolute value is in general
smaller than that of the advective PV tendencies throughout the life cycle (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F10"/>b).  Longwave radiation dominates this direct
diabatic weakening of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M358" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F10"/>c), as expected from idealized considerations
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx68" id="paren.76"/> and consistent with the impact of longwave radiative cooling on ridges within Rossby wave packets <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx59" id="paren.77"/>.
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx59" id="text.78"/> provided a rough estimate that one-third of the longwave radiative tendencies may be associated with cloud-radiative
effects, whereas the majority of the signal was interpreted as a large-scale “background” signal. In addition, these authors demonstrated that the
longwave radiative tendency roughly scales with the amplitude of the PVA, which is consistent with the observed minimum of the tendencies at the peak
time of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M359" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> during the second part of the active EuBL regime life cycle. Shortwave radiation counteracts the weakening and,
unsurprisingly, exhibits a distinct diurnal cycle.</p>
      <p id="d1e7036">The non-radiative diabatic tendencies are mostly positive. The dominant amplifying diabatic tendencies within the ridges are due to latent heat release
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx6 bib1.bibx59" id="paren.79"><named-content content-type="pre">e.g.,</named-content></xref>, suggesting that latent heat release also has a (small) positive <italic>direct</italic> impact on the onset of the
EuBL regime life cycle in March 2016.  The overall net impact of all direct diabatic tendencies on the amplitude evolution is, however, negative
and smaller than the net impact of the advective tendencies (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F11"/>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS2.SSS4">
  <label>4.2.4</label><title>Synopsis of the quasi-Lagrangian perspective</title>
      <p id="d1e7057">The main <inline-formula><mml:math id="M360" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> associated with the EuBL regime life cycle in March 2016 was first identified by our tracking algorithm off the US
East Coast 5 d before regime onset.  Moving towards northern Europe, the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M361" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> underwent several splitting and merging
events.  The net impact of these events was to weaken the amplitude of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M362" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.  The divergent PV tendency term dominated all
amplification episodes of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M363" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, with a further substantial contribution by the quasi-barotropic tendency within the active
regime life cycle. The quasi-barotropic tendency later dominates the weakening of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M364" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, counteracted by the baroclinic
tendency, which becomes most relevant during the second half of the life cycle.</p>
      <p id="d1e7130">The by far dominant role of the divergent PV tendency in the amplification of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M365" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> before the EuBL onset quantitatively
supports the findings by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx35" id="text.80"/> and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx20" id="text.81"/>, who argued more qualitatively that divergent WCB outflow was crucial for the
onset of the block. The next section will focus in more detail on the link between the divergent PV tendency and latent heat release in WCBs from the
Lagrangian perspective.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F12" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{12}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 12</label><caption><p id="d1e7155">Results of the Lagrangian perspective on the PV dynamics of the EuBL regime life cycle in March 2016. <bold>(a)</bold> Evolution of divergent PV tendencies from Fig. 10b (red line), the fraction of heated (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M366" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M367" display="inline"><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 2 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M368" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">K</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) 3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M369" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> backward trajectories starting in <inline-formula><mml:math id="M370" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (black), and the fraction of WCB outflow within the in <inline-formula><mml:math id="M371" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> area (red shading, horizontal bar). Note that the divergent PV tendencies are integrated within the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M372" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> area for grid points with PVA <inline-formula><mml:math id="M373" display="inline"><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M374" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVU</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> on the respective isentropic surfaces, while WCB outflow and the backward trajectories are included for all grid points within the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M375" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> area and latitudes <inline-formula><mml:math id="M376" display="inline"><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 80<inline-formula><mml:math id="M377" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M378" display="inline"><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 25<inline-formula><mml:math id="M379" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N. The gray shaded area denotes the time of the active EuBL regime life cycle. See the text for the explanation of the thin gray horizontal line. <bold>(b)</bold> Frequency distribution of maximum heating and cooling rates along 3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M380" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> backward trajectories starting in <inline-formula><mml:math id="M381" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M382" display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1 d around the onset (dark turquoise) and decay (light turquoise) of the EuBL. The vertical line (black, dashed) corresponds to the 2 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M383" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">K</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> value. The table provides information on the proportion of heated (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M384" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M385" display="inline"><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 2 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M386" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">K</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) and non-heated (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M387" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M388" display="inline"><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 2 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M389" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">K</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) trajectories.</p></caption>
            <?xmltex \igopts{width=497.923228pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://wcd.copernicus.org/articles/4/399/2023/wcd-4-399-2023-f12.png"/>

          </fig>

</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS3">
  <label>4.3</label><title>Lagrangian perspective</title>
      <p id="d1e7406">Here we investigate (i) the importance of WCB outflow and, more generally, (ii) the importance of latent heat release by backward trajectories
starting in the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M390" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> from the quasi-Lagrangian perspective, following <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx48" id="text.82"/> and
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx57" id="text.83"/>. Importance is assessed by the fraction of backward trajectories that fulfill specified criteria. The criteria that define
WCB outflow are given in Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S2.SS6"/>.  For (ii), diabatically heated trajectories are defined as trajectories that
experience a <inline-formula><mml:math id="M391" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M392" display="inline"><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 2 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M393" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">K</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.  Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F12"/>a compares the divergent PV tendencies from the quasi-Lagrangian perspective,
integrated over the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M394" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> area (red) with the fraction of heated trajectories (black) and the fraction of WCB outflow (shading).</p>
      <p id="d1e7473">All three quantities are positively correlated over the lifetime of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M395" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, with a correlation factor between divergent PV
tendencies and the fraction of heated trajectories of 0.44, between divergent tendencies and the fraction of WCB outflow of 0.57, and between the
fraction of heated trajectories and the fraction of WCB outflow of 0.73. These positive correlations support the common expectation that the
modification of the tropopause by upper-tropospheric divergent flow is enhanced by latent heat release in WCBs and represent a direct quantitative
link between WCBs and reinforcing divergent PV tendencies within the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M396" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.  Most importantly, all prominent peaks of the
divergent PV tendency (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M397" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">&gt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M398" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">3</mml:mn><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">10</mml:mn><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">7</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M399" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVU</mml:mi><mml:mspace width="0.125em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">m</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup><mml:mspace linebreak="nobreak" width="0.125em"/><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, gray horizontal line in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F12"/>a) are associated with a WCB
outflow fraction of at least 20 %, and vice versa.  For the presented case, we can thus demonstrate with a high degree of certainty that the
divergent PV tendencies are indeed an indirect moist impact and that the WCB outflow dynamically modifies the tropopause. In some periods within the
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M400" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> life cycle (e.g., 21–23 March), we find a high fraction of heated trajectories, but the divergent PV tendency is
relatively low or even contributes to amplitude weakening (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F12"/>a). One explanation is that the timing and, in particular, the exact
location where diabatic heating occurs along the 3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M401" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> trajectory is essential, as this ultimately shapes the effect on the PV distribution
within the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M402" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Thus, if the trajectory experiences the ascent and thus the period of maximum heating so early that it reaches
the upper troposphere outside of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M403" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and migrates nearly horizontally into the PV anomaly, the effect on the amplitude
amplification is much smaller than if the trajectory experiences its ascent directly in the immediate vicinity of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M404" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F13" specific-use="star"><?xmltex \currentcnt{13}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure 13</label><caption><p id="d1e7621">Origin of air parcels that end up in the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M405" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> around the EuBL onset (upper row) and the decay (lower row). The origin of air masses is shown separately for diabatically heated trajectories (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M406" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M407" display="inline"><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 2 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M408" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">K</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) and non-heated trajectories. We take into account all 3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M409" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> backward trajectories out of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M410" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in the time window <inline-formula><mml:math id="M411" display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1 d (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M412" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M413" display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M414" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) around the EuBL onset and decay. The pressure of the air parcels associated with the trajectory (in <inline-formula><mml:math id="M415" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">hPa</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) is shown at time <inline-formula><mml:math id="M416" display="inline"><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M417" display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M418" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M419" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in green shading. If there are several air parcels at the same grid point (by considering several times), we display the mean pressure. The occurrence frequency is shown in black contours for the heated trajectories in steps of 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M420" display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 10<inline-formula><mml:math id="M421" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> and for the non-heated trajectories in steps of 1.0, 1.5, 2.0, and 2.5 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M422" display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 10<inline-formula><mml:math id="M423" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. For a clearer visualization, the field has been Gaussian filtered with <inline-formula><mml:math id="M424" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">σ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M425" display="inline"><mml:mo>=</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 4. See Sect. 2.6 for more information on the backward trajectory calculations.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://wcd.copernicus.org/articles/4/399/2023/wcd-4-399-2023-f13.png"/>

        </fig>

      <?pagebreak page418?><p id="d1e7816"><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>We further follow <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx57" id="text.84"/> and investigate the distribution of the maximum heating and cooling rates along the 3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M426" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> backward
trajectories that are started from the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M427" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M428" display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1 d around the onset and decay of the EuBL
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F12"/>b). Additionally, we analyze the spatial origin of the diabatically heated and non-heated backward trajectories separately
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F13"/>).  As in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx57" id="text.85"/>, we see a broad heating regime with values as high as <inline-formula><mml:math id="M429" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M430" display="inline"><mml:mo>&gt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 20 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M431" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">K</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> within 3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M432" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and a narrow non-heated regime with values as low as <inline-formula><mml:math id="M433" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">θ</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M434" display="inline"><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M435" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>5 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M436" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">K</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.  Most
3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M437" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> backward trajectories (53 % around the onset and 76 % around the decay) experience diabatic cooling before they arrive in the
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M438" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, most probably due to longwave radiative cooling. Around the EuBL onset, a high fraction of these air parcels are located
upstream of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M439" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in the mid or upper troposphere and probably reach the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M440" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> by adiabatic advection
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F13"/>b). In comparison, we see in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F13"/>d in addition to the adiabatic advection of air parcels from
upstream some recirculating air parcels in the upper troposphere that are already located within or near the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M441" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p>
      <p id="d1e7995">The substantially increased fraction of heated trajectories around onset (47 %) compared to around decay (24 %) in
Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F12"/>b demonstrates the importance of diabatic heating for the development and strengthening of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M442" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in
an earlier stage of the life cycle from the Lagrangian perspective. Concerning the spatial origin of the heated trajectories, we identify the southern
North Atlantic as a key source region around the EuBL onset and decay (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F13"/>a and c). The position of air parcels upstream of the
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M443" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in the lower troposphere suggests that air parcels will most probably experience latent heat release on their ascent to the
upper-tropospheric <inline-formula><mml:math id="M444" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in the following 3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M445" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">d</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p>
      <p id="d1e8053">The Lagrangian perspective thus complements what was learned from the quasi-Lagrangian perspective and links the amplitude-enhancing divergent PV
tendency contribution from the quasi-Lagrangian perspective to the occurrence of latent heating (mostly) associated with the occurrence of WCBs, which
represents an important contribution, especially around the EuBL onset.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5">
  <label>5</label><title>Synopsis and discussion</title>
      <p id="d1e8066">Here we discuss the three perspectives' different insights into the dynamics of the EuBL regime life cycle in March 2016 and compare our findings to
previous studies. In this context, we will bring together the perspectives combined as a novel diagnostic framework for selected regime life cycle
stages.</p>
      <p id="d1e8069">The PVAs that compose the EuBL regime pattern are advected into the region and do not build up locally over Europe. From the Eulerian perspective, the
quasi-barotropic PV tendency term is the dominant contributor in the regime onset phase. The term contains two distinct processes that describe
(i) the downstream PV advection by the background flow and (ii) the propagation and advection into the region by intrinsic phase velocity. In this
case, the downstream PV advection by the background flow is of greater importance. This result is in line with <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx39" id="text.86"/>, who investigate the
processes associated with transitions between different weather regimes using a stream function tendency equation. Similarly to our case, they
highlight the importance of the propagation of low-frequency anomalies for the transition from a zonal to a blocked regime. In the quasi-Lagrangian
perspective, the term describing the advection of anomalies is eliminated as we follow the main <inline-formula><mml:math id="M446" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> associated with the regime
life cycle. However, the track of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M447" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> indirectly informs about advection and provides important complementary spatial
information which reveals that the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M448" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> migrates from the US East Coast into the European region from upstream.</p>
      <p id="d1e8117">All three perspectives identify an amplifying role of moist dynamics in the onset of the EuBL regime life cycle. From the quasi-Lagrangian
perspective, pulse-like amplification phases are associated with the divergent PV tendency term in the period from the onset of the
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M449" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to the regime onset, representing a strong indirect moist contribution. This is confirmed by the results of the Lagrangian
perspective, which show that a high fraction of the backward trajectories have a diabatic history in which air parcels ending in the
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M450" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> were heated in the days before. Our insights into the processes at the regime onset fit well with the results of
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx48" id="text.87"/> and <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx57" id="text.88"/>, who investigate the role of latent heat release in atmospheric blocking. They find that
moist-diabatic processes play an important role during the onset of blocking, which we can confirm for our case study. In contrast, the divergent
indirect moist processes do not emerge quite as prominently in the Eulerian low-frequency perspective. Even when the regime pattern is split into
negative and positive PVAs, the divergent term indicates a reinforcing contribution but does not stand out as a major contributing process. While the
low-pass filtering in the Eulerian framework may contribute to these differences, the main reason, however, is that the Eulerian perspective
quantifies the in situ evolution of the regime pattern over Europe such that moist dynamics occurring upstream are missing and only indirectly
captured by the quasi-barotropic PV tendency term. Overall, the importance of processes on different scales fits well with the findings of
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx65" id="text.89"/>, who point to the interplay of processes on planetary and synoptic scales in blocking onset.</p>
      <?pagebreak page419?><p id="d1e8157">The <italic>maintenance</italic> of the regime, concerning the anticyclonic anomaly, is caused, among other things, by moist synoptic activity upstream that
contributes to the maintenance or even further amplification of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M451" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. A high fraction of the backward trajectories from the
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M452" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> have a diabatic history from a Lagrangian perspective, and divergent PV tendencies contribute to an amplification of the
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M453" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> from a quasi-Lagrangian perspective. Heating appears as an indirect effect that leads to an increase in transport of
low-tropospheric, low-PV air up the WCB into the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M454" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, consistent with <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx38" id="text.90"/>. The moist processes that now occur
locally near the regime mask compared to the onset (where they occur further upstream outside of the regime mask) are reflected in peaks of the
divergent PV tendencies in the Eulerian perspective. These results are in good agreement with the climatological study of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx57" id="text.91"/>,
who point to multiple episodes of latent heating “bursts” that lead to the re-intensification and growth of an existing block during the maintenance
stage of its life cycle.  Baroclinic PV tendencies play a positive but subordinate role during regime onset but become more important for the
maintenance.  In an energy framework, and on average over many winter cases, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx36" id="text.92"/> found that baroclinic energy conversion makes a
leading-order contribution to the energetics of Greenland blocks. Individual tendency terms in an energy framework and a PV framework are not directly
comparable <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx64" id="paren.93"><named-content content-type="pre">e.g., see discussion in Sect. 3f of</named-content></xref>, and a single case study cannot be compared to the mean results of many
cases. It is worth pointing out, however, that our analysis focuses on the upper troposphere, whereas <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx36" id="text.94"/> find the strongest signal
in the low to middle troposphere. In addition, we stress that our analysis demonstrates the importance of moist-baroclinic growth for the
amplification of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M455" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> before and during onset. It is the divergent outflow associated with moist processes below, however,
that is most effective in amplifying the upper-level anomaly in our case study. We thus consider our results to be consistent with those of
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx36" id="text.95"/>.  The attraction and absorption of a synoptic-scale anticyclonic eddy by the block as a maintenance mechanism is a well-known
concept <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx66" id="paren.96"/> and is here investigated in the quasi-Lagrangian perspective.  The tracking algorithm that considers splitting and
merging events detects several merging <inline-formula><mml:math id="M456" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>'s from the southwest that amplify the existent main <inline-formula><mml:math id="M457" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> over
Europe. More than 50 % of the merging events identified around the EuBL occur within the regime life cycle and provide evidence that these merging
events are important for maintaining or re-intensifying the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M458" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> strength. However, a few splitting events in the maintenance
stage are associated with noteworthy effects on the amplitude and area of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M459" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and dominate the net effect on the
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M460" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> amplitude for the active life cycle stage. Nevertheless, with the novel tracking algorithm, it is possible for the first time to quantify the well-known concept of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx66" id="text.97"/>.</p>
      <p id="d1e8333">The decay of the EuBL regime pattern is associated with the advection of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M461" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> out of the region and the absence of
moist processes that could maintain the anticyclonic part of the regime. Slow amplitude reduction of the traced <inline-formula><mml:math id="M462" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in the
quasi-Lagrangian perspective starts in the second half of the regime life cycle. Here, the quasi-barotropic tendency term has the key role and leads
the decay. We further assume that nonlinear processes (which are included in the eddy term in the Eulerian perspective) make a non-negligible
contribution to the decay of the regime. This is in good agreement with the results of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx39" id="text.98"/>, which pointed to the importance of
nonlinear processes in the transition stage from blocking over the eastern North Atlantic to a blocked regime more towards the west, as we see in
the case here that transitions towards an Atlantic Ridge regime. Large deformations, which can occur in the context of nonlinear processes, are often
associated with splitting events. And indeed, the impacts of splitting events dominate over the merging events around the decay stage and provide an
important contribution to the degradation of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M463" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. Both the Eulerian and quasi-Lagrangian perspectives show that the
divergent PV tendency term plays a more minor role in the decay phase. The absence of moist processes is visible in the Lagrangian perspective by the
low fraction of heated backward trajectories and matches very well with <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx57" id="text.99"/>, who point to reduced moist processes during the
decay phase of a block. Overall, both fit the hypothesis of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx26" id="text.100"/> that the disruption by the advection of other systems and the lack of
a maintenance process can be associated with the decay of a block.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S6" sec-type="conclusions">
  <label>6</label><title>Concluding remarks</title>
      <p id="d1e8396">The present study introduces three different perspectives on how to quantify the PV dynamics of blocked weather regime life cycles in the North
Atlantic–European region based on ERA5 reanalysis data. The Eulerian, quasi-Lagrangian, and Lagrangian perspectives on regime dynamics are applied to a
EuBL regime life cycle that occurred from 9–18 March 2016. This case is motivated by the fact that its onset was associated with a forecast bust at
ECMWF. We show that each of the perspectives can stand alone but that a combined usage can provide a much more complete picture of the dynamics. A
particularly novel aspect is the quasi-Lagrangian perspective, which helps to bridge the gap between the Lagrangian and Eulerian perspectives through
the tracking of negative, upper-tropospheric PVAs (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M464" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) and the use of the Eulerian PV tendencies to investigate the amplitude
evolution of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M465" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>'s. These PV tendencies enable us to distinguish the importance of dry and moist processes in the different life
cycle stages and thus provide a deeper insight into the dynamics.</p>
      <p id="d1e8432">The Eulerian perspective shows that the onset and maintenance of the EuBL pattern in March 2016 can be described predominantly by barotropic wave
propagation, namely the advection of PVAs by the upper-tropospheric flow into the region where the block is established. A split-up into anticyclonic and
cyclonic PVAs of the full patterns demonstrates the importance of the divergent PV tendency as the second-largest contribution to the establishment of
anticyclonic PVAs, indicating the potential relevance of moist processes. Since the Eulerian perspective only considers the processes that occur within
a specified region, it misses the<?pagebreak page420?> processes that cause the formation of the PVAs upstream. This information is obtained from the quasi-Lagrangian
perspective that identifies and follows <inline-formula><mml:math id="M466" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>'s. The traced <inline-formula><mml:math id="M467" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> that occupies the anticyclonic part of the
regime pattern originates near the US East Coast 5 d prior to the regime onset and migrates northeastward. An analysis of the
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M468" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> amplitude evolution shows the pulse-like amplification before and during the EuBL life cycle, which results almost
exclusively from divergent and quasi-barotropic PV tendencies. Using the Lagrangian perspective with backward air parcel trajectories emerging from
the traced <inline-formula><mml:math id="M469" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, we confirm the relationship between the divergent PV tendency and the diabatic contributions to the
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M470" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> amplitude evolution. When pulse-like <inline-formula><mml:math id="M471" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> amplitude amplification occurs mainly due to the divergent
PV tendency, we find a high fraction of heated trajectories ending in the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M472" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> at the same time. In addition, it is shown that
the pulse-like amplifications of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M473" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> are related to WCBs, which can lead to a strong divergent outflow and the modification
of the upper-tropospheric PV distribution. Hence, our results provide evidence that the divergent PV tendency term in the PV framework of
<xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx58" id="text.101"/> can indeed be interpreted as an indirect diabatic effect.</p>
      <p id="d1e8551">The Eulerian perspective has the advantage that it directly quantifies the processes leading to the weather regime index. Although it misses the
synoptic activity upstream of the regime pattern, it takes into account the evolution of the full pattern, which is in contrast with the quasi-Lagrangian
and Lagrangian perspectives that focus exclusively on the dominant anticyclonic regime anomaly. Hence, the multi-perspective analysis is important to
understand the full regime evolution. If not considered together, some kind of consideration of the cyclonic part of the regime pattern should be
included from a pure quasi-Lagrangian perspective, as it helps to obstruct the westerly flow and is therefore related to the impact of blocked regimes.</p>
      <p id="d1e8554">However, by unifying the three perspectives on blocked regime dynamics within the theoretical concept of PV thinking, our novel framework enables –
for the first time – a holistic view of the dynamics of blocked weather regimes, in particular including a quantification of the contribution of moist
processes in different life cycle stages. The perspectives introduced here form a foundation for a systematic analysis of blocked regime dynamics. The
next step will be a climatological investigation of blocked regime life cycles in ERA5 which addresses the dynamics of the three different life cycle
stages (onset, maximum stage, decay) from the quasi-Lagrangian perspective. Once a few adjustments have been made to the framework (such as developing
a year-round threshold and sensitivity tests of the chosen parameters), it can be systematically applied to all blocked regime life cycles in ERA5. It
is of interest to study which processes are important in the buildup of the negative PVA of the blocked regime and by which processes the block is
maintained and kept stationary. Furthermore, we plan to address the dynamics of the decay process of blocked regime life cycle patterns. The
quasi-Lagrangian perspective developed here could be the key tool to test and verify many theories of blocking dynamics (e.g., the eddy-straining idea
of <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx54" id="altparen.102"/>) for a variety of blocked regime life cycles.</p>
</sec>

      
      </body>
    <back><app-group>

<app id="App1.Ch1.S1">
  <?xmltex \currentcnt{A}?><label>Appendix A</label><title>Details on the tracking algorithm in the quasi-Lagrangian perspective</title>
      <p id="d1e8571">This novel contour overlap tracking algorithm traces 2D structures and captures the full life cycle of the identified <inline-formula><mml:math id="M474" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>'s (in
the quasi-Lagrangian perspective), considering the splitting and merging that occurs during the life cycle. Here the algorithm determines the number of
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M475" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>'s that spatially overlap the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M476" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> object identified in the time step before. A count of zero indicates
the end of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M477" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> life cycle (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="App1.Ch1.S1.F14"/>a). A simple continuation of the track takes place if only one single
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M478" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> shows an overlap (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="App1.Ch1.S1.F14"/>b). A splitting event is diagnosed when the count is greater than one
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="App1.Ch1.S1.F14"/>c). A merging event takes place if multiple <inline-formula><mml:math id="M479" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>'s show a spatial overlap with the same
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M480" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> object one time step later (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="App1.Ch1.S1.F14"/>d). Since the life cycle of a <inline-formula><mml:math id="M481" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> should not
end automatically due to these splitting and merging events, the integrated <inline-formula><mml:math id="M482" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> amplitude of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M483" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>'s
decides which <inline-formula><mml:math id="M484" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> object continues the tracking ID. The other involved <inline-formula><mml:math id="M485" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> objects get new tracking IDs
(in case of splitting), or the track of a smaller, weaker <inline-formula><mml:math id="M486" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> feeding into a larger, stronger <inline-formula><mml:math id="M487" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> ends
with the merging event. Simultaneous splitting and merging events are also detected by the algorithm and evaluated accordingly. The output of the
tracking algorithm contains the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M488" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> tracks and additionally saves the information on splitting and merging events occurring
along the track. This also makes it possible to determine not only the beginning of the track but also the local origin of
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M489" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>'s.</p><?xmltex \hack{\clearpage}?><?xmltex \floatpos{h!}?><fig id="App1.Ch1.S1.F14"><?xmltex \currentcnt{A1}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure A1</label><caption><p id="d1e8811">Schematic of the 2D-tracking algorithm applied to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M490" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>'s in the quasi-Lagrangian perspective. The sketch demonstrates the development of a <inline-formula><mml:math id="M491" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> object (blue shading) from one time step (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M492" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) to the next (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M493" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) upwards for different situations: <bold>(a)</bold> start and end of a track, <bold>(b)</bold> one-option continuation, <bold>(c)</bold> splitting, and <bold>(d)</bold> merging. The thin gray lines in the upper row at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M494" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> indicate the position and amplitude of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M495" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> object at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M496" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>t</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> to show the overlap more visually. Yellow dots in panels <bold>(c)</bold> and <bold>(d)</bold> indicate which tracking ID is continued between the time steps, which means that one <inline-formula><mml:math id="M497" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> object gets a new tracking ID (in the case of splitting) or a tracking ID ends (in the case of merging).</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \hack{\hsize\textwidth}?>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=483.69685pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://wcd.copernicus.org/articles/4/399/2023/wcd-4-399-2023-f14.png"/>

      </fig>

</app>

<?pagebreak page421?><app id="App1.Ch1.S2">
  <?xmltex \currentcnt{B}?><label>Appendix B</label><?xmltex \opttitle{Computation of the boundary term and comparison of the diagnosed and observed ${\protect\chem{PVA}}_{{p}}^{{-}}$ amplitude evolution in the quasi-Lagrangian perspective}?><title>Computation of the boundary term and comparison of the diagnosed and observed <inline-formula><mml:math id="M498" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> amplitude evolution in the quasi-Lagrangian perspective</title>
      <p id="d1e8965">The second term in <inline-formula><mml:math id="M499" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">BND</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> in Eq. (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E9"/>) is very difficult to evaluate accurately. The movement of the boundary
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M500" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is essentially unknown, and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M501" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>|</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>|</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> becomes very large when merging or splitting occurs. To estimate this term, we
note that <inline-formula><mml:math id="M502" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">∇</mml:mi><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> signifies a change of area <inline-formula><mml:math id="M503" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="script">A</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M504" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.  Assuming a
constant value <inline-formula><mml:math id="M505" display="inline"><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:math></inline-formula> of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M506" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> at the boundary, we can estimate <inline-formula><mml:math id="M507" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mo>∫</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="script">A</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold">∇</mml:mi><mml:mo>⋅</mml:mo><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup><mml:msub><mml:mi mathvariant="bold-italic">v</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">s</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mi>d</mml:mi><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="script">A</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.  We choose <inline-formula><mml:math id="M508" display="inline"><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover></mml:math></inline-formula> as the average of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M509" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> along the boundary. The value for <inline-formula><mml:math id="M510" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi><mml:mi mathvariant="script">A</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is taken from the observed area change of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M511" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.</p>
      <p id="d1e9156">By taking into account the sum of all tendency terms on the RHS of Eq. (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E9"/>) and comparing it with the observed amplitude
change, we can close our <inline-formula><mml:math id="M512" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msup><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mo>′</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> budget to a very high degree (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="App1.Ch1.S2.F15"/>). Note that the missing tendency terms that are not
displayed in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F10"/> are shown for the sake of completeness in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="App1.Ch1.S2.F15"/>b. It appears that <inline-formula><mml:math id="M513" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">BND</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
dominates the overall change in PVA amplitude (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="App1.Ch1.S2.F15"/>a) due to the prominent spikes in <inline-formula><mml:math id="M514" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">BND</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>
(Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="App1.Ch1.S2.F15"/>a). These spikes indicate abrupt changes in the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M515" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> area, which we can assign more accurately to
splitting and merging events identified by the novel quasi-Lagrangian tracking algorithm discussed in detail in Sects. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S4.SS2"/>
and <xref ref-type="sec" rid="App1.Ch1.S1"/>.</p><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?>
      <p id="d1e9219"><?xmltex \hack{~\\[88mm]}?>Occasionally, the diagnosed PV tendencies do not reproduce the observed evolution sufficiently well (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="App1.Ch1.S2.F15"/>a). This can occur,
for example, around 7–8 March and 12–14 March when the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M516" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> extends northwards of 80<inline-formula><mml:math id="M517" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> N and is partly located outside
the domain to which we restrict our piecewise PV tendency diagnostic. Furthermore, splitting and merging events in quick succession make it hard to
fully diagnose the amplitude change. From 23–24 March, the diagnosed tendencies systematically underestimate the decay of the
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M518" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. The area of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M519" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> is very small at this time (not shown), which may make the spatial integration
particularly sensitive to the precise location of the boundary. Overall, however, we conclude that the accuracy of our budget evaluation is sufficient
and that the diagnosed tendencies presented in the main text reliably represent the relative importance of the different dynamical mechanisms.</p><?xmltex \hack{\clearpage}?><?xmltex \floatpos{h!}?><fig id="App1.Ch1.S2.F15"><?xmltex \currentcnt{B1}?><?xmltex \def\figurename{Figure}?><label>Figure B1</label><caption><p id="d1e9279">Comparison of observed and diagnosed <inline-formula><mml:math id="M520" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> amplitude change and temporal evolution of remaining PV tendency terms as an addition to Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F10"/>. <bold>(a)</bold> Observed amplitude change of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M521" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msubsup><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">PVA</mml:mi></mml:mrow><mml:mtext>qL</mml:mtext><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:msubsup></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> (OBS, gray), full diagnosed amplitude change as of Eq. (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E9"/>) (DIAG, black), and the boundary term (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M522" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="chem"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">BND</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, dark red). <bold>(b)</bold> Remaining terms of Eq. (<xref ref-type="disp-formula" rid="Ch1.E9"/>) that are not contained in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F10"/>: advection of background PV by background wind (BGA, dark blue), advection of background PV by the residual wind field (RES, yellow-green), and the local change in the background PV within the 3 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M523" display="inline"><mml:mrow class="unit"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">h</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> window (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M524" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>q</mml:mi><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0</mml:mn></mml:msub><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mo>∂</mml:mo><mml:mi>t</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, violet). The gray shading points to the active EuBL regime life cycle, and the vertical line in black indicates where the active EuBL life cycle is divided into two for the investigation of the net effect of the tendency terms in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="Ch1.F11"/>. Note the different <inline-formula><mml:math id="M525" display="inline"><mml:mi>y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>-axis extents between the panels.</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \hack{\hsize\textwidth}?>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=455.244094pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://wcd.copernicus.org/articles/4/399/2023/wcd-4-399-2023-f15.png"/>

      </fig>

</app>
  </app-group><notes notes-type="codedataavailability"><title>Code and data availability</title>

      <p id="d1e9382">The data are
referenced in Sect. 2.1. ERA5 data are freely available at
<ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.bd0915c6" ext-link-type="DOI">10.24381/cds.bd0915c6</ext-link> <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx23" id="paren.103"/>. The codes and data from this study can be
provided by the authors upon request.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="authorcontribution"><title>Author contributions</title>

      <p id="d1e9394">SH developed the quasi-Lagrangian perspective, analyzed the PV dynamics from a quasi-Lagrangian and Lagrangian perspective, and wrote the paper. FT calculated and provided the piecewise PV tendencies, developed the Eulerian perspective on the PV dynamics of blocked weather regimes, and contributed to the writing of the paper. CMG provided the year-round North Atlantic–European weather regime data based on ERA5. MR contributed to the writing. CMG, MR, and PK gave important guidance during the project and provided feedback on the paper.</p>
  </notes><?xmltex \hack{\newpage}?><?xmltex \hack{~\\[133mm]}?><notes notes-type="competinginterests"><title>Competing interests</title>

      <p id="d1e9402">At least one of the (co-)authors is a member of the editorial board of <italic>Weather and Climate Dynamics</italic>. The peer-review process was guided by an independent editor, and the authors also have no other competing interests to declare.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="disclaimer"><title>Disclaimer</title>

      <p id="d1e9411">Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.</p>
  </notes><ack><title>Acknowledgements</title><p id="d1e9418">We thank the three anonymous
referees for the effort and time they put into the review of this paper. All of the
valuable comments and suggestions, which helped to improve the quality of the
paper, are highly appreciated. ECMWF is acknowledged for granting access to the
reanalysis data sets. We are grateful to the atmospheric dynamics group
of ETH Zurich for providing LAGRANTO. The research leading to these results
has been done within the sub-project “Dynamics and predictability of blocked
regimes in the Atlantic-European region (A8)” of the Transregional<?pagebreak page423?> Collaborative
Research Center SFB/TRR 165 “Waves to Weather”
(<uri>https://www.wavestoweather.de</uri>, last access: 28 April 2023).</p></ack><notes notes-type="financialsupport"><title>Financial support</title>

      <p id="d1e9426">This research has been supported
by the German Research Foundation (DFG) (grant no. SFB/TRR 165, Waves to
Weather). The contribution of Christian M. Grams  is funded by the Helmholtz Association as part of
the Young Investigator Group “Sub-seasonal Predictability: Understanding the Role
of Diabatic Outflow” (SPREADOUT, grant VH-NG-1243).</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="reviewstatement"><title>Review statement</title>

      <p id="d1e9432">This paper was edited by Juerg Schmidli and reviewed by three anonymous referees.</p>
  </notes><ref-list>
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