Articles | Volume 1, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-1-519-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-1-519-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
15 Oct 2020
Research article |
| 15 Oct 2020
| 15 Oct 2020
Dominant patterns of interaction between the tropics and mid-latitudes in boreal summer: causal relationships and the role of timescales
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany
VU University of Amsterdam, Institute for Environmental Studies,
Amsterdam, the Netherlands
Jakob Runge
German Aerospace Centre, Institute of Data Science, Jena, Germany
Reik V. Donner
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany
Department of Water, Environment, Construction and Safety, Magdeburg-Stendal University of Applied Sciences, Magdeburg, Germany
Bart van den Hurk
VU University of Amsterdam, Institute for Environmental Studies,
Amsterdam, the Netherlands
Deltares, Delft, the Netherlands
Andrew G. Turner
Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, United
Kingdom
National Centre for Atmospheric Science, University of Reading,
Reading, United Kingdom
Ramesh Vellore
Indian Institute for Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India
Raghavan Krishnan
Indian Institute for Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India
Dim Coumou
Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany
VU University of Amsterdam, Institute for Environmental Studies,
Amsterdam, the Netherlands
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- The role of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and ocean-atmosphere interactions in driving US temperature predictability S. Vijverberg & D. Coumou 10.1038/s41612-022-00237-7
- Subseasonal Great Plains Rainfall via Remote Extratropical Teleconnections: Regional Application of Theory‐Guided Causal Networks K. Malloy & B. Kirtman 10.1029/2022JD037795
- Accelerated western European heatwave trends linked to more-persistent double jets over Eurasia E. Rousi et al. 10.1038/s41467-022-31432-y
- The insight of why: Causal inference in Earth system science J. Su et al. 10.1007/s11430-023-1148-7
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- A spatiotemporal stochastic climate model for benchmarking causal discovery methods for teleconnections X. Tibau et al. 10.1017/eds.2022.11
- Dynamic Bayesian Networks for Evaluation of Granger Causal Relationships in Climate Reanalyses D. Harries & T. O'Kane 10.1029/2020MS002442
- 追索为什么? 地球系统科学中的因果推理 建. 苏 et al. 10.1360/SSTe-2023-0005
- Strengthening gradients in the tropical west Pacific connect to European summer temperatures on sub-seasonal timescales C. van Straaten et al. 10.5194/wcd-4-887-2023
- Evaluating Causal Arctic‐Midlatitude Teleconnections in CMIP6 E. Galytska et al. 10.1029/2022JD037978
- Asymmetric Dependence in Hydrological Extremes C. Deidda et al. 10.1029/2023WR034512
- Early warning of the Indian Ocean Dipole using climate network analysis Z. Lu et al. 10.1073/pnas.2109089119
- Multi-faceted analyses of seasonal trends and drivers of land surface variables in Indo-Gangetic river basins S. Uereyen et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.157515
- Predictability of South-Asian monsoon rainfall beyond the legacy of Tropical Ocean Global Atmosphere program (TOGA) B. Goswami et al. 10.1038/s41612-022-00281-3
- Large‐Scale Drivers of Persistent Extreme Weather During Early Summer 2021 in Europe A. Tuel et al. 10.1029/2022GL099624
- Maximum covariance analysis of the sea surface backscatter signal models N. Pyko et al. 10.1088/1742-6596/2052/1/012034
18 citations as recorded by crossref.
- A comparison of two causal methods in the context of climate analyses D. Docquier et al. 10.5194/npg-31-115-2024
- Prediction and projection of heatwaves D. Domeisen et al. 10.1038/s43017-022-00371-z
- The role of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and ocean-atmosphere interactions in driving US temperature predictability S. Vijverberg & D. Coumou 10.1038/s41612-022-00237-7
- Subseasonal Great Plains Rainfall via Remote Extratropical Teleconnections: Regional Application of Theory‐Guided Causal Networks K. Malloy & B. Kirtman 10.1029/2022JD037795
- Accelerated western European heatwave trends linked to more-persistent double jets over Eurasia E. Rousi et al. 10.1038/s41467-022-31432-y
- The insight of why: Causal inference in Earth system science J. Su et al. 10.1007/s11430-023-1148-7
- Validation of boreal summer tropical–extratropical causal links in seasonal forecasts G. Di Capua et al. 10.5194/wcd-4-701-2023
- A spatiotemporal stochastic climate model for benchmarking causal discovery methods for teleconnections X. Tibau et al. 10.1017/eds.2022.11
- Dynamic Bayesian Networks for Evaluation of Granger Causal Relationships in Climate Reanalyses D. Harries & T. O'Kane 10.1029/2020MS002442
- 追索为什么? 地球系统科学中的因果推理 建. 苏 et al. 10.1360/SSTe-2023-0005
- Strengthening gradients in the tropical west Pacific connect to European summer temperatures on sub-seasonal timescales C. van Straaten et al. 10.5194/wcd-4-887-2023
- Evaluating Causal Arctic‐Midlatitude Teleconnections in CMIP6 E. Galytska et al. 10.1029/2022JD037978
- Asymmetric Dependence in Hydrological Extremes C. Deidda et al. 10.1029/2023WR034512
- Early warning of the Indian Ocean Dipole using climate network analysis Z. Lu et al. 10.1073/pnas.2109089119
- Multi-faceted analyses of seasonal trends and drivers of land surface variables in Indo-Gangetic river basins S. Uereyen et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.157515
- Predictability of South-Asian monsoon rainfall beyond the legacy of Tropical Ocean Global Atmosphere program (TOGA) B. Goswami et al. 10.1038/s41612-022-00281-3
- Large‐Scale Drivers of Persistent Extreme Weather During Early Summer 2021 in Europe A. Tuel et al. 10.1029/2022GL099624
- Maximum covariance analysis of the sea surface backscatter signal models N. Pyko et al. 10.1088/1742-6596/2052/1/012034
Discussed (final revised paper)
Latest update: 25 Apr 2024
Short summary
We study the interactions between the tropical convective activity and the mid-latitude circulation in the Northern Hemisphere during boreal summer. We identify two circumglobal wave patterns with phase shifts corresponding to the South Asian and the western North Pacific monsoon systems at an intra-seasonal timescale. These patterns show two-way interactions in a causal framework at a weekly timescale and assess how El Niño affects these interactions.
We study the interactions between the tropical convective activity and the mid-latitude...
