Weather and Climate Dynamics
Weather and Climate Dynamics
WCD

Research article

19 Dec 2025
Summer Greenland Blocking in reanalysis and in SEAS5.1 seasonal forecasts: robust trend or natural variability?
Johanna Beckmann, Giorgia Di Capua, and Paolo Davini
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1875–1894, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1875-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1875-2025, 2025
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19 Dec 2025
Summertime Arctic and North Atlantic–Eurasian circulation regimes under climate change
Johannes Max Müller, Oskar Andreas Landgren, and Dörthe Handorf
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1895–1921, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1895-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1895-2025, 2025
Short summary
18 Dec 2025
Physical drivers of the November 2023 heatwave in Rio de Janeiro
Catherine C. Ivanovich, Adam H. Sobel, Radley M. Horton, Ana M. B. Nunes, Rosmeri Porfírio da Rocha, and Suzana J. Camargo
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1857–1874, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1857-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1857-2025, 2025
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18 Dec 2025
Revisiting barotropic instability from the perspective of wave evolution theory
Yaokun Li
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5427,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5427, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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17 Dec 2025
A climatology of atmospheric rivers over Scandinavia and associated precipitation
Erik Holmgren and Hans W. Chen
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1831–1856, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1831-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1831-2025, 2025
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17 Dec 2025
A cyclone phase space dedicated to extratropical cyclones
Myriam Besson, Gwendal Rivière, and Sébastien Fromang
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6174,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6174, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
15 Dec 2025
Resolution dependence and biases in cold and warm frontal heavy precipitation over Europe in CMIP6 and EURO-CORDEX models
Armin Schaffer, Tobias Lichtenegger, Albert Ossó, and Douglas Maraun
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1815–1830, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1815-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1815-2025, 2025
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12 Dec 2025
Dry and moist convective upper bounds for near-surface temperatures
Quentin Nicolas and Belinda Hotz
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6032,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6032, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Dec 2025
Contrasting impact of different Mediterranean cyclones on the hydrological cycle and ocean heat content
Yonatan Givon, Douglas Keller, Philippe Drobinski, and Shira Raveh-Rubin
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6061,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-6061, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 Dec 2025
The impact of synoptic meteorology on observed surface heat fluxes over the Southern Ocean
A. V. Sreenath, Tahereh Alinejadtabrizi, Steven Siems, Peter T. May, Haifeng Zhang, and Eric Schulz
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1797–1813, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1797-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1797-2025, 2025
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09 Dec 2025
Numerical simulation of a rapidly developing bow echo over northeastern Poland on 21 August 2007 using near-grid-scale stochastic convection initiation
Damian K. Wójcik, Michał Z. Ziemiański, and Wojciech W. Grabowski
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1769–1795, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1769-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1769-2025, 2025
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09 Dec 2025
Precipitation, moisture sources and transport pathways associated with summertime North Atlantic deep cyclones
Rikke Stoffels, Imme Benedict, Lukas Papritz, Frank Selten, and Chris Weijenborg
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1743–1768, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1743-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1743-2025, 2025
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09 Dec 2025
A Climatological Perspective on Cyclones and Surface Impacts in the Eastern Mediterranean Using Potential Vorticity-Based Classification
Tali Sarit Gens, Leehi Magaritz-Ronen, and Shira Raveh-Rubin
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5979,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5979, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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08 Dec 2025
The October 2024 Extreme Precipitation Event over Valencia: Storyline Attribution of the Synoptic-Scale Thermodynamic Drivers
Diego A. Campos, Katherine Grayson, Ramiro I. Saurral, Sebastian Beyer, Amal John, Matías Olmo, and Francisco Doblas-Reyes
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5929,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5929, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
Short summary
05 Dec 2025
The role of synoptic circulations in lower-tropospheric dry static energy variability over a South Asian heatwave hotspot
Hardik M. Shah and Joy M. Monteiro
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1699–1721, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1699-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1699-2025, 2025
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05 Dec 2025
Hectometric-scale modelling of the mixed layer in an urban region evaluated with a dense LiDAR-ceilometer network
Russell H. Glazer, Sue Grimmond, Lewis Blunn, Daniel Fenner, Humphrey Lean, Andreas Christen, Will Morrison, Dana Looschelders, and Jonathan K. P. Shonk
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1723–1742, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1723-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1723-2025, 2025
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04 Dec 2025
Signal, noise and skill in sub-seasonal forecasts: the role of teleconnections
Alexey Yu. Karpechko, Amy H. Butler, and Frederic Vitart
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1661–1681, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1661-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1661-2025, 2025
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04 Dec 2025
The potential of GNSS radio occultation data for the analysis of the tropical width: a comparison with reanalyses
Annika Reiter, Julia Danzer, and Andrea K. Steiner
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1683–1698, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1683-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1683-2025, 2025
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03 Dec 2025
Intensifying precipitation over the Southern Ocean challenges reanalysis-based climate estimates – Insights from Macquarie Island's 45-year record
Zhaoyang Kong, Andrew T. Prata, Peter T. May, Ariaan Purich, Yi Huang, and Steven T. Siems
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1643–1660, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1643-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1643-2025, 2025
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02 Dec 2025
Equatorial wave circulation associated with subseasonal convective variability over the subtropical western North Pacific in boreal summer
Peishan Chen, Katharina M. Holube, Frank Lunkeit, Nedjeljka Žagar, Yuan-Bing Zhao, and Riyu Lu
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1629–1642, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1629-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1629-2025, 2025
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02 Dec 2025
Droughts in western Central Europe and associated atmospheric circulation patterns since 1844
Emile Neimry, Hugues Goosse, and Mathieu Jonard
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5490,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5490, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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28 Nov 2025
An extensive investigation of the ability of the ICOLMDZ model to simulate a katabatic wind event in Antarctica
Valentin Wiener, Étienne Vignon, Thomas Caton Harrison, Christophe Genthon, Felipe Toledo, Guylaine Canut-Rocafort, Yann Meurdesoif, and Alexis Berne
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1605–1627, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1605-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1605-2025, 2025
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28 Nov 2025
Stratosphere–Troposphere Exchange and Surface Ozone Pollution over Tropical Regions: A Case Study of Rossby Wave Breaking and Tropopause Folding
Clemente Lopez-Bravo, Ernesto Caetano, and Armenia Franco-Díaz
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5743,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5743, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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27 Nov 2025
| Highlight paper
Clear-air turbulence derived from in situ aircraft observation – a weather feature-based typology using ERA5 reanalysis
Ming Hon Franco Lee and Michael Sprenger
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1583–1604, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1583-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1583-2025, 2025
Short summary Executive editor
26 Nov 2025
Process-based diagnostics using atmospheric budget analysis and nudging technique to identify sources of model systematic errors
Chihiro Matsukawa, José M. Rodríguez, and Sean F. Milton
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1539–1564, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1539-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1539-2025, 2025
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26 Nov 2025
Entrainment and the tropical tropospheric thermal structure in global climate models
Lucinda A. Palmer and Martin S. Singh
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1565–1582, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1565-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1565-2025, 2025
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24 Nov 2025
Dynamics, predictability, impacts and climate change considerations of the catastrophic Mediterranean Storm Daniel (2023)
Emmanouil Flaounas, Stavros Dafis, Silvio Davolio, Davide Faranda, Christian Ferrarin, Katharina Hartmuth, Assaf Hochman, Aristeidis Koutroulis, Samira Khodayar, Mario Marcello Miglietta, Florian Pantillon, Platon Patlakas, Michael Sprenger, and Iris Thurnherr
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1515–1538, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1515-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1515-2025, 2025
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20 Nov 2025
Non-zonal gravity wave forcing of the Northern Hemisphere winter circulation and effects on middle atmosphere dynamics
Sina Mehrdad, Sajedeh Marjani, Dörthe Handorf, and Christoph Jacobi
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1491–1514, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1491-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1491-2025, 2025
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20 Nov 2025
Cold air outbreaks drive near-surface baroclinicity variability over storm track entrance regions in the Northern Hemisphere
Andrea Marcheggiani and Thomas Spengler
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1479–1489, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1479-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1479-2025, 2025
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19 Nov 2025
Quantifying atmospheric and land drivers of hot temperature extremes through explainable Artificial Intelligence
Arnau Garcia Mesa, Lluís Palma, Markus Donat, Stefano Materia, and Raül Marcos Matamoros
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5392,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5392, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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18 Nov 2025
Seasonal Predictability of Vapor Pressure Deficit in the western United States
Melissa L. Breeden, Andrew Hoell, Rochelle P. Worsnop, John R. Albers, Mike Hobbins, Rachel M. Robinson, and Daniel J. Vimont
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1443–1459, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1443-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1443-2025, 2025
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18 Nov 2025
Mechanistic insights into tropical circulation and hydroclimate responses to future forest cover change
Nora L. S. Fahrenbach, Robert C. J. Wills, and Steven J. De Hertog
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1461–1477, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1461-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1461-2025, 2025
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17 Nov 2025
QBOi El Niño–Southern Oscillation experiments: teleconnections of the QBO
Hiroaki Naoe, Jorge L. García-Franco, Chang-Hyun Park, Mario Rodrigo, Froila M. Palmeiro, Federico Serva, Masakazu Taguchi, Kohei Yoshida, James A. Anstey, Javier García-Serrano, Seok-Woo Son, Yoshio Kawatani, Neal Butchart, Kevin Hamilton, Chih-Chieh Chen, Anne Glanville, Tobias Kerzenmacher, François Lott, Clara Orbe, Scott Osprey, Mijeong Park, Jadwiga H. Richter, Stefan Versick, and Shingo Watanabe
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1419–1442, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1419-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1419-2025, 2025
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14 Nov 2025
Physical drivers and trends of the recent delayed withdrawal of the Southwest Monsoon over Mainland Indochina
Kyaw Than Oo, Chen Haishan, Kazora Jonah, and Du Xinguan
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1399–1417, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1399-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1399-2025, 2025
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11 Nov 2025
The impact of Aeolus observations on wind and rainfall predictions
Maurus Borne, Peter Knippertz, Michael Rennie, and Martin Weissmann
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5219,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5219, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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10 Nov 2025
The impacts of climate change on tropical-to-extratropical transitions in the North Atlantic Basin
Aude Garin, Francesco S. R. Pausata, Mathieu Boudreault, and Roberto Ingrosso
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1379–1397, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1379-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1379-2025, 2025
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07 Nov 2025
Anthropogenic climate change has increased severity of mid-latitude storms and impacted airport operations
Lia Rapella, Tommaso Alberti, Davide Faranda, and Philippe Drobinski
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1339–1363, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1339-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1339-2025, 2025
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07 Nov 2025
Large-scale drivers of compounding hot and dry events in three breadbasket regions
Natalia Castillo Bautista, Marco Gaetani, Leonard F. Borchert, Benjamin Poschlod, Lukas Brunner, Jana Sillmann, and Mario L. V. Martina
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5073,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5073, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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06 Nov 2025
| Highlight paper
Drivers and impacts of westerly moisture transport events in East Africa
Robert Peal and Emily Collier
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1365–1378, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1365-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1365-2025, 2025
Short summary Executive editor
06 Nov 2025
Rainfall regimes, their transitions, and long-term changes during Indian summer monsoon
Bhupendra Raut, Aditi Deshpande, Devyani Kamble, Sandip Ingle, Parmeshwar Naik, Shwetal Walde, P. Pradeep Kumar, and Purnendranath Sen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4585,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4585, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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04 Nov 2025
Mean state and day-to-day variability of tropospheric circulation in planetary-scale barotropic Rossby waves during Eurasian heat extremes in CMIP5 models
Iana Strigunova, Frank Lunkeit, Nedjeljka Žagar, and Damjan Jelić
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1283–1297, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1283-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1283-2025, 2025
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04 Nov 2025
Case study of a long-lived Siberian summer cyclone that evolved from a heat low into an Arctic cyclone
Franziska Schnyder, Ming Hon Franco Lee, and Heini Wernli
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1319–1337, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1319-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1319-2025, 2025
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04 Nov 2025
Response of Northern Hemisphere Rossby wave breaking to changes in sea surface temperature and sea ice cover
Sara Tahvonen, Daniel Köhler, Petri Räisänen, and Victoria A. Sinclair
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1299–1317, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1299-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1299-2025, 2025
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30 Oct 2025
The role of radiation in the Northern Hemisphere troposphere-to-stratosphere transport
Tuule Müürsepp, Michael Sprenger, Heini Wernli, and Hanna Joos
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5224,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5224, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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30 Oct 2025
Identifying the diabatic processes driving the evolution of a sting jet: the case of Storm Ciarán
Ambrogio Volonté, Hanna Joos, Ming Hon Franco Lee, Richard M. Forbes, and Rémi Bouffet-Klein
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5225,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5225, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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29 Oct 2025
Escalating typhoon risks in Shanghai amid shifting tracks driven by urbanization and sea surface temperature warming
Qi Zhuang, Marika Koukoula, Shuguang Liu, Zhengzheng Zhou, and Nadav Peleg
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1267–1281, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1267-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1267-2025, 2025
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27 Oct 2025
Arctic temperature and precipitation extremes in present-day and future storyline-based variable resolution Community Earth System Model simulations
René R. Wijngaard, Willem Jan van de Berg, Christiaan T. van Dalum, Adam R. Herrington, and Xavier J. Levine
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1241–1266, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1241-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1241-2025, 2025
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27 Oct 2025
A combined storyline-statistical approach for conditional extreme event attribution
Dalena León-FonFay, Alexander Lemburg, Andreas H. Fink, Joaquim G. Pinto, and Frauke Feser
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4976,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4976, 2025
Revised manuscript under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
Short summary
24 Oct 2025
Advective, adiabatic and diabatic contributions to heat extremes simulated with the Community Earth System Model version 2
Matthias Röthlisberger, Michael Sprenger, Urs Beyerle, Erich M. Fischer, and Heini Wernli
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5146,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5146, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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23 Oct 2025
A spread-versus-error framework to reliably quantify the potential for subseasonal windows of forecast opportunity
Philip Rupp, Jonas Spaeth, and Thomas Birner
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4925,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4925, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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22 Oct 2025
A methodology for tracking cold spells in space and time: development, evaluation and applications
Weronika Osmolska, Charles Chemel, Amanda Maycock, and Paul Field
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1221–1240, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1221-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1221-2025, 2025
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22 Oct 2025
The interaction of warm conveyor belt outflows with the upper-level waveguide: a four-type climatological classification
Selvakumar Vishnupriya, Michael Sprenger, Hanna Joos, and Heini Wernli
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1195–1219, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1195-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1195-2025, 2025
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21 Oct 2025
| Highlight paper
Estimating return periods for extreme events in climate models through Ensemble Boosting
Luna Bloin-Wibe, Robin Noyelle, Vincent Humphrey, Urs Beyerle, Reto Knutti, and Erich Fischer
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1147–1177, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1147-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1147-2025, 2025
Short summary Executive editor
21 Oct 2025
Southern Annular Mode persistence and westerly jet: a reassessment using high-resolution global models
Ting-Chen Chen, Hugues Goosse, Cécile Davrinche, Stephy Libera, Christopher Roberts, Matthias Aengenheyster, Kristian Strommen, Malcolm Roberts, Rohit Ghosh, and Jin-Song von Storch
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1179–1193, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1179-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1179-2025, 2025
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21 Oct 2025
Impacts of orography and urbanization on extreme precipitation event in Beijing during 2023
Haobo Cui, Hongyong Yu, Xingshuo Zuo, and Guocan Wu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4746,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4746, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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20 Oct 2025
Asymmetric response of Northern Hemisphere near-surface wind speed to CO2 removal
Zhi-Bo Li, Chao Liu, Cesar Azorin-Molina, Soon-Il An, Yang Zhao, Yang Xu, Jongsoo Shin, Deliang Chen, and Cheng Shen
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1107–1117, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1107-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1107-2025, 2025
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20 Oct 2025
The role of topography, land and sea surface temperature on quasi-stationary waves in Northern Hemisphere winter: insights from CAM6 simulations
Cuiyi Fei and Rachel H. White
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1119–1146, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1119-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1119-2025, 2025
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20 Oct 2025
A pan-European analysis of large-scale drivers of severe convective outbreaks
Monika Feldmann, Daniela I. V. Domeisen, and Olivia Martius
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1089–1106, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1089-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1089-2025, 2025
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17 Oct 2025
Deficient ocean–atmosphere feedbacks constrain seasonal NAO prediction
Erik W. Kolstad
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5075,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-5075, 2025
Revised manuscript under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 5 comments)
Short summary
16 Oct 2025
Storm-Resolving Models Advance Atmospheric Blocking Simulations and Climate Change Insights
Edgar Dolores-Tesillos, Olivia Martius, and Stephan Pfahl
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4969,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4969, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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15 Oct 2025
Understanding biases and changes in European heavy precipitation using dynamical flow precursors
Joshua Oldham-Dorrington, Camille Li, Stefan Sobolowski, and Robin Guillaume-Castel
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4977,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4977, 2025
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07 Oct 2025
The role of large-scale atmospheric patterns for recent warming periods in Greenland from 1900–2015
Florina Roana Schalamon, Sebastian Scher, Andreas Trügler, Lea Hartl, Wolfgang Schöner, and Jakob Abermann
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1075–1088, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1075-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1075-2025, 2025
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07 Oct 2025
A Promising Downscaling Strategy for Topographic Heavy Rainfalls over the Asian-Australian Monsoon Region by Leveraging Multi-Scale Moisture Dynamical Control
Jia-Xin Guo, Wei-Ting Chen, and Chien-Ming Wu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4831,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4831, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
Short summary
06 Oct 2025
QBOi El Niño–Southern Oscillation experiments: overview of the experimental design and ENSO modulation of the QBO
Yoshio Kawatani, Kevin Hamilton, Shingo Watanabe, Masakazu Taguchi, Federico Serva, James A. Anstey, Jadwiga H. Richter, Neal Butchart, Clara Orbe, Scott M. Osprey, Hiroaki Naoe, Dillon Elsbury, Chih-Chieh Chen, Javier García-Serrano, Anne Glanville, Tobias Kerzenmacher, François Lott, Froila M. Palmeiro, Mijeong Park, Stefan Versick, and Kohei Yoshida
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1045–1073, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1045-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1045-2025, 2025
Short summary
05 Oct 2025
Topographic Effects of Svalbard on Warm and Moist Air Intrusions into the Central Arctic
Jan Landwehrs, Sonja Murto, Florian Gebhardt, Ella Gilbert, and Annette Rinke
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4535,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4535, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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04 Oct 2025
Case-to-Case Variability in the Tropospheric Response to Sudden Stratospheric Warmings Revealed by Ensemble Re-Forecasts
Sheena Loeffel, Philip Rupp, Selina Kiefer, Joaquim G. Pinto, Thomas Birner, and Hella Garny
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4164,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4164, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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02 Oct 2025
Austral Summer MJO Forecast Skill in S2S Models: Decadal Shifts and Their Drivers
Raina Roy, Julie M. Arblaster, Matthew C. Wheeler, Eun-Pa Lim, and Jadwiga H. Richter
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4453,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4453, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 5 comments)
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29 Sep 2025
How relevant are frequency changes of weather regimes for understanding climate change signals in surface precipitation in the North Atlantic–European sector? A conceptual analysis with CESM1 large ensemble simulations
Luise J. Fischer, David N. Bresch, Dominik Büeler, Christian M. Grams, Robin Noyelle, Matthias Röthlisberger, and Heini Wernli
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1027–1043, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1027-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1027-2025, 2025
Short summary
26 Sep 2025
| Highlight paper
Learning predictable and informative dynamical drivers of extreme precipitation using variational autoencoders
Fiona R. Spuler, Marlene Kretschmer, Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda, Yevgeniya Kovalchuk, and Theodore G. Shepherd
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 995–1014, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-995-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-995-2025, 2025
Short summary Executive editor
26 Sep 2025
The impact of tropospheric blocking on the duration of the sudden stratospheric warmings in boreal winter 2023/24
Ekaterina Vorobeva and Yvan Orsolini
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1015–1026, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1015-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1015-2025, 2025
Short summary
25 Sep 2025
Probabilistic seasonal outlook for the rainy season over India by monitoring the onset dates using GPM IMERG satellite-based precipitation
Chempampadam Balasubramannian Jayasankar and Vasubandhu Misra
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 981–993, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-981-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-981-2025, 2025
Short summary
23 Sep 2025
A poleward storm track shift reduces mid-latitude heatwave frequency: insights from an idealized atmospheric model
Wolfgang Wicker, Emmanuele Russo, and Daniela I. V. Domeisen
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 965–979, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-965-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-965-2025, 2025
Short summary
23 Sep 2025
Revisiting the Historical Drying of the Mediterranean in the LESFMIP Simulations
David Avisar and Chaim I. Garfinkel
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4287,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4287, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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19 Sep 2025
Observation based precipitation life cycle analysis of heavy rainfall events in the southeastern Alpine forelands
Stephanie J. Haas, Andreas Kvas, and Jürgen Fuchsberger
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 949–963, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-949-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-949-2025, 2025
Short summary
17 Sep 2025
A new index used to characterise the extent of Antarctic marine coastal winds in climate projections
Archie Cable, Thomas Caton Harrison, Elizabeth Kent, Richard Cornes, and Thomas Bracegirdle
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4321,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4321, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
Short summary
17 Sep 2025
The tropospheric response to zonally asymmetric momentum torques: implications for the downward response to wave reflection and SSW events
Wuhan Ning, Chaim I. Garfinkel, Judah Cohen, Ian P. White, and Jian Rao
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4334,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4334, 2025
Revised manuscript accepted for WCD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
Short summary
10 Sep 2025
Impacts of Air–sea Coupling on Systematic Errors in Medium-Range Winter Forecasts over the North Pacific and North Atlantic
Tien-Yiao Hsu, Matthew R. Mazloff, Sarah T. Gille, Hai Lin, K. Andrew Peterson, Rui Sun, Aneesh C. Subramanian, and Luca Delle Monache
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4142,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4142, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 5 comments)
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09 Sep 2025
Climatology, long-term variability and trend of resolved gravity wave drag in the stratosphere revealed by ERA5
Zuzana Procházková, Radek Zajíček, and Petr Šácha
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 927–947, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-927-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-927-2025, 2025
Short summary
05 Sep 2025
| Highlight paper
CYCLOPs: a Unified Framework for Surface Flux-Driven Cyclones Outside the Tropics
Kerry Emanuel, Tommaso Alberti, Stella Bourdin, Suzana J. Camargo, Davide Faranda, Emmanouil Flaounas, Juan Jesus Gonzalez-Aleman, Chia-Ying Lee, Mario Marcello Miglietta, Claudia Pasquero, Alice Portal, Hamish Ramsay, Marco Reale, and Romualdo Romero
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 901–926, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-901-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-901-2025, 2025
Short summary Executive editor
01 Sep 2025
Physical processes leading to extreme day-to-day temperature change – Part 1: Present-day climate
Kalpana Hamal and Stephan Pfahl
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 879–899, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-879-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-879-2025, 2025
Short summary
01 Sep 2025
Benefits of kilometer-scale climate modeling for winds in complex terrain: strong versus weak winds
Danijel Belušić and Petter Lind
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 863–877, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-863-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-863-2025, 2025
Short summary
29 Aug 2025
Assessing stratospheric contributions to subseasonal predictions of precipitation after the 2018 sudden stratospheric warming from the Stratospheric Nudging And Predictable Surface Impacts (SNAPSI) project
Ying Dai, Peter Hitchcock, Amy H. Butler, Chaim I. Garfinkel, and William J. M. Seviour
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 841–862, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-841-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-841-2025, 2025
Short summary
29 Aug 2025
Quantifying forecast uncertainty of Mediterranean cyclone-related surface weather extremes in ECMWF ensemble forecasts. Part 1: Method and case studies
Katharina Hartmuth, Dominik Büeler, and Heini Wernli
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4111,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4111, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 5 comments)
Short summary
20 Aug 2025
Environmental Characteristics Associated with the Tropical Transition of Mediterranean Cyclones
Lisa Bernini, Leone Cavicchia, Fabien Desbiolles, Enrico Scoccimarro, and Claudia Pasquero
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3861,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3861, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
Short summary
15 Aug 2025
Dynamic Forcing Behind Hurricane Lidia’s Rapid Intensification
Mauricio López-Reyes, María Luisa Martín-Pérez, Carlos Calvo-Sancho, and Juan Jesús González-Alemán
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3109,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3109, 2025
Revised manuscript under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
Short summary
15 Aug 2025
The role of the stratospheric state in upward wave flux prior to Sudden Stratospheric Warmings: a SNAPSI analysis
Blanca Ayarzagüena, Amy H. Butler, Peter Hitchcock, Chaim I. Garfinkel, Zac D. Lawrence, Wuhan Ning, Philip Rupp, Zheng Wu, Hilla Afargan-Gerstman, Natalia Calvo, Álvaro de la Cámara, Martin Jucker, Gerbrand Koren, Daniel De Maeseneire, Gloria L. Manney, Marisol Osman, Masakazu Taguchi, Cory Barton, Dong-Chang Hong, Yu-Kyung Hyun, Hera Kim, Jeff Knight, Piero Malguzzi, Daniele Mastrangelo, Jiyoung Oh, Inna Polichtchouk, Jadwiga H. Richter, Isla R. Simpson, Seok-Woo Son, Damien Specq, and Tim Stockdale
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3611,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3611, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
Short summary
15 Aug 2025
Cold spells induced by slow and amplified atmospheric waves
Morteza Babaei, Rune Grand Graversen, Johannes Patrick Stoll, and Jakub Petříček
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3867,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3867, 2025
Revised manuscript under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
Short summary
14 Aug 2025
Sea-effect snowfall in the Baltic Sea area in 1998–2018 derived from convection-permitting climate model data
Meri Virman, Taru Olsson, Petter Lind, and Kirsti Jylhä
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3663,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3663, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
Short summary
12 Aug 2025
Constructing Extreme Heatwave Storylines with Differentiable Climate Models
Tim Whittaker and Alejandro Di Luca
External preprint server, https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2506.10660,https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2506.10660, 2025
Revised manuscript under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
Short summary
11 Aug 2025
Trade wind regimes during the Great Barrier Reef coral bleaching season
Lara S. Richards, Steven T. Siems, Yi Huang, Daniel P. Harrison, and Wenhui Zhao
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3639,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3639, 2025
Revised manuscript accepted for WCD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
Short summary
11 Aug 2025
A new look at the jet-storm track relationship in the North Pacific and North Atlantic
Nora Zilibotti, Heini Wernli, and Sebastian Schemm
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3605,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3605, 2025
Revised manuscript under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
Short summary
08 Aug 2025
Storm Boris (2024) in the current and future climate: a dynamics-centered contextualization, and some lessons learnt
Jacopo Riboldi, Robin Noyelle, Ellina Agayar, Hanin Binder, Marc Federer, Katharina Hartmuth, Michael Sprenger, Iris Thurnherr, and Selvakumar Vishnupriya
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3599,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3599, 2025
Revised manuscript accepted for WCD (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
Short summary
08 Aug 2025
Targeted Teleconnections and their Application to the Postprocessing of Climate Predictions
Clementine Dalelane, Andreas Paxian, Martín Senande, Sabela Sanfiz, Estéban Rodríguez Guisado, Jan Wandel, and Abhinav Tyagi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3664,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3664, 2025
Revised manuscript under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
Short summary
07 Aug 2025
Attributing the occurrence and intensity of extreme events with the flow analogue method
Robin Noyelle, Davide Faranda, Yoann Robin, Mathieu Vrac, and Pascal Yiou
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 817–839, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-817-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-817-2025, 2025
Short summary
07 Aug 2025
Properties and Characteristics of Atmospheric Deserts over Europe
Fiona Fix-Hewitt, Achim Zeileis, Isabell Stucke, Reto Stauffer, and Georg J. Mayr
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3552,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3552, 2025
Revised manuscript accepted for WCD (discussion: final response, 5 comments)
Short summary
06 Aug 2025
The role of atmospheric circulation changes in Western European warm season heat extremes
Douwe Sierk Noest, Izidine Pinto, Vikki Thompson, and Dim Coumou
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3377,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3377, 2025
Revised manuscript under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
Short summary
29 Jul 2025
Storylines of extreme summer temperatures in southern South America
Solange Suli, David Barriopedro, Ricardo García-Herrera, Soledad Collazo, Antonello Squintu, and Matilde Rusticucci
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3357,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3357, 2025
Revised manuscript under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
Short summary
28 Jul 2025
Linking weather regimes to the variability of warm-season tornado activity over the United States
Matthew Graber, Zhuo Wang, and Robert J. Trapp
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 807–816, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-807-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-807-2025, 2025
Short summary
24 Jul 2025
Extreme weather anomalies and surface signatures associated with merged Atlantic–African jets during northern winter
Sohan Suresan, Nili Harnik, and Rodrigo Caballero
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 789–806, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-789-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-789-2025, 2025
Short summary
23 Jul 2025
Long vs. short: understanding the dynamics of persistent summer hot spells in Europe
Duncan Pappert, Alexandre Tuel, Dim Coumou, Mathieu Vrac, and Olivia Martius
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 769–788, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-769-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-769-2025, 2025
Short summary
22 Jul 2025
Linking European droughts to year-round weather regimes
Onaïa Savary, Constantin Ardilouze, and Julien Cattiaux
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3308,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3308, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 7 comments)
Short summary
17 Jul 2025
Data-driven discovery of mechanisms underlying present and near-future precipitation changes and variability in Brazil
Márcia Talita A. Marques, Maria Luiza Kovalski, Gabriel M. P. Perez, Thomas C. M. Martin, Edson L. S. Y. Barbosa, Pedro Augusto S. M. Ribeiro, and Roilan H. Valdes
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 757–767, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-757-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-757-2025, 2025
Short summary
11 Jul 2025
Diverse causes of extreme rainfall in November 2023 over Equatorial Africa
Hermann N. Nana, Masilin Gudoshava, Roméo S. Tanessong, Alain T. Tamoffo, and Derbetini A. Vondou
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 741–756, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-741-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-741-2025, 2025
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10 Jul 2025
Mediterranean Sea heat uptake variability as a precursor to winter precipitation in the Levant
Ofer Cohen, Assaf Hochman, Ehud Strobach, Dorita Rostkier-Edelstein, Hezi Gildor, and Ori Adam
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3058,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3058, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
Short summary
08 Jul 2025
Transient Flow Patterns of an Annular-like Stratospheric Polar Vortex
Huw Davies and Michael Sprenger
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3017,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3017, 2025
Revised manuscript under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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