Articles | Volume 4, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-309-2023
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-309-2023
Research article
 | 
11 Apr 2023
Research article |  | 11 Apr 2023

Large spread in the representation of compound long-duration dry and hot spells over Europe in CMIP5

Colin Manning, Martin Widmann, Douglas Maraun, Anne F. Van Loon, and Emanuele Bevacqua

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Cited articles

Addor, N., Rohrer, M., Furrer, R., and Seibert, J.: Propagation of biases in climate models from the synoptic to the regional scale: Implications for bias adjustment, J. Geophys. Res., 121, 2075–2089, https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JD024040, 2016. 
Anstey, J. A., Davini, P., Gray, L. J., Woollings, T. J., Butchart, N., Cagnazzo, C., Christiansen, B., Hardiman, S. C., Osprey, S. M., and Yang, S.: Multi-model analysis of Northern Hemisphere winter blocking: Model biases and the role of resolution, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 118, 3956–3971, https://doi.org/10.1002/jgrd.50231, 2013. 
Barnes, E. A., Slingo, J., and Woollings, T.: A methodology for the comparison of blocking climatologies across indices, models and climate scenarios, Clim. Dynam., 38, 2467–2481, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1243-6, 2012. 
Barriopedro, D., García-Herrera, R., and Trigo, R. M.: Application of blocking diagnosis methods to General Circulation Models. Part I: A novel detection scheme, Clim. Dynam., 35, 1373–1391, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0767-5, 2010. 
Beillouin, D., Schauberger, B., Bastos, A., Ciais, P., and Makowski, D.: Impact of extreme weather conditions on European crop production in 2018, Philos. T. R. Soc. B, 375, 20190510, https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2019.0510, 2020. 
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Short summary
Climate models differ in their representation of dry spells and high temperatures, linked to errors in the simulation of persistent large-scale anticyclones. Models that simulate more persistent anticyclones simulate longer and hotter dry spells, and vice versa. This information is important to consider when assessing the likelihood of such events in current and future climate simulations so that we can assess the plausibility of their future projections.