Articles | Volume 5, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-913-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-913-2024
Research article
 | 
19 Jul 2024
Research article |  | 19 Jul 2024

Model spread in multidecadal North Atlantic Oscillation variability connected to stratosphere–troposphere coupling

Rémy Bonnet, Christine M. McKenna, and Amanda C. Maycock

Data sets

20th Century Reanalysis (V3) data NOAA/CIRES/DOE https://www.psl.noaa.gov/data/gridded/data.20thC_ReanV3.html

Extended Reconstructed SST V5 data NOAA https://psl.noaa.gov/data/gridded/data.noaa.ersst.v5.html

HadSLP2r Met Office Hadley Centre observations https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadslp2/

HadISST Met Office Hadley Centre observations https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/hadobs/hadisst/

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Short summary
Climate models underestimate multidecadal winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) variability. Understanding the origin of this weak variability is important for making reliable climate projections. We use multi-model climate simulations to explore statistical relationships with drivers that may contribute to NAO variability. We find a relationship between modelled stratosphere–troposphere coupling and multidecadal NAO variability, offering an avenue to improve the simulation of NAO variability.