Weather and Climate Dynamics
Weather and Climate Dynamics
WCD
Articles | Volume 6, issue 4
Articles | Volume 6, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1461-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1461-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 6, issue 4
Research article
 | 
18 Nov 2025
Research article |  | 18 Nov 2025

Mechanistic insights into tropical circulation and hydroclimate responses to future forest cover change

Nora L. S. Fahrenbach, Robert C. J. Wills, and Steven J. De Hertog

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Short summary
Afforestation is a key strategy for climate change mitigation, yet the impacts on tropical hydroclimate remain uncertain. We find that potential future afforestation would increase evaporation and precipitation in the tropics, especially over Africa. However, it would reduce net precipitation (precipitation minus evaporation), which determines water availability. This happens because trees slow near-surface winds, while their influence on the energy budget would otherwise strengthen convection.
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