Articles | Volume 7, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-7-1759-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Droughts in western Central Europe and associated atmospheric circulation patterns since 1844
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- Final revised paper (published on 10 Sep 2026)
- Supplement to the final revised paper
- Preprint (discussion started on 02 Dec 2025)
- Supplement to the preprint
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor
| : Report abuse
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RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-5490', Anonymous Referee #1, 03 Feb 2026
- AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Emile Neimry, 26 May 2026
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RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-5490', Anonymous Referee #2, 13 Apr 2026
- AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Emile Neimry, 26 May 2026
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RC3: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-5490', Anonymous Referee #3, 15 Apr 2026
- AC3: 'Reply on RC3', Emile Neimry, 26 May 2026
- EC1: 'Co-editor comment on egusphere-2025-5490', Heini Wernli, 15 Apr 2026
Peer review completion
AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
AR by Emile Neimry on behalf of the Authors (19 Jul 2026)
Author's response
Author's tracked changes
Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (21 Jul 2026) by Heini Wernli
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (08 Aug 2026)
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (10 Aug 2026)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (14 Aug 2026) by Heini Wernli
AR by Emile Neimry on behalf of the Authors (21 Aug 2026)
Author's response
Author's tracked changes
Manuscript
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (31 Aug 2026) by Heini Wernli
AR by Emile Neimry on behalf of the Authors (07 Sep 2026)
Manuscript
Neimry et al. have analysed historical drought trends in western Central Europe (BE,NL,LUX,partFR,partDE). Using three different reanalysis products and four meteorological stations, they calculate SPI3 and SPEI3 and analyse trends and circulation associated with drought events. I find parts of the study interesting, for example the circulation drivers, the long historical perspective and the decadal variability in drought occurrence shown in Figure 5. However, I sometimes got lost in reading the results sections where many statistics are noted and discussed, often in a very lengthy way.
My first point of advise to the authors is thus to make an attempt at shortening the manuscript, by being more direct or where possible leaving out some explanations or moving things to the supplementary materials. An example, at the start of your data section:
“In addition to the identification of droughts, an objective is to connect them to atmospheric circulation. Consequently, reanalyses are pivotal datasets for this study. A reanalysis is a combination of historical weather observations and weather forecasting models, using a method called data assimilation (Slivinski et al., 2019; Valler et al., 2024). This approach provides a comprehensive dataset that represents fields consistent with each other through the application of physical laws within the model and the elimination of spatial and temporal gaps.”
In my opinion this whole bit can go. The objectives are already listed in the introduction, and I think the readers of WCD can be expected to know what reanalyses datasets are. Hopefully by critically assessing the text as a whole, you will be able to achieve a more streamlined and clear manuscript, that better showcases your work and results.
My second point is a hesitation regarding the fact that all analysis (outside Fig 8a/b) is related to SPI or SPEI trends/values, rather than the actual physical input variables of precipitation, temperature and evapotranspiration. I struggle with terms like ‘dryness’, when SPI/SPEI indicate a relative position on the wet/dry spectrum. Please consider performing or adding (in the SI?) Some analysis on the physical variables, and using the language to go with that (related to my point on clarity before). E.g. I believe that when you write about a ‘decline in dryness’ measured by SPI, you in fact mean an increasing precipitation trend. As a physically trained climate scientist that is easier to interpret.
Finally, I miss a critical evaluation in the discussion of the validity of your results and assumptions. Throughout the results section there are quite a few places where the three reanalysis products thoroughly disagree with each other, even when a common period is used. No statements or conclusions are made regarding this, whilst for me this is very important. Furthermore, given your interesting Fig. 5, should you not comment more on the influence of interannual/multidecadal variability on trends in relation to climate change trends (signal to noise discussion)? In a similar matter, I miss a critical discussion on the use of Thornthwaite, which as far as I know is a dated method of calculation PET. I fully understand that when only monthly data is available, this is your only option, but this will influence your computed trends and results, so I expect a critical discussion of implications.
As such, my advise to the editor is to offer the authors a chance to reword, and consider the manuscript again after major revisions have been made.
Major comments
Minor comments:
References