Articles | Volume 3, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-3-713-2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-3-713-2022
Research article
 | 
08 Jul 2022
Research article |  | 08 Jul 2022

Benefits and challenges of dynamic sea ice for weather forecasts

Jonathan J. Day, Sarah Keeley, Gabriele Arduini, Linus Magnusson, Kristian Mogensen, Mark Rodwell, Irina Sandu, and Steffen Tietsche

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Latest update: 30 Oct 2024
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Short summary
A recent drive to develop seamless forecasting systems has culminated in the development of weather forecasting systems that include a coupled representation of the atmosphere, ocean and sea ice. Before this, sea ice and sea surface temperature anomalies were typically fixed throughout a given forecast. We show that the dynamic coupling is most beneficial during periods of rapid ice advance, where persistence is a poor forecast of the sea ice and leads to large errors in the uncoupled system.