Articles | Volume 4, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-39-2023
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-39-2023
Research article
 | 
10 Jan 2023
Research article |  | 10 Jan 2023

Revisiting the wintertime emergent constraint of the southern hemispheric midlatitude jet response to global warming

Philipp Breul, Paulo Ceppi, and Theodore G. Shepherd

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Latest update: 14 Jul 2024
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Short summary
Accurately predicting the response of the midlatitude jet stream to climate change is very important, but models show a variety of possible scenarios. Previous work identified a relationship between climatological jet latitude and future jet shift in the southern hemispheric winter. We show that the relationship does not hold in separate sectors and propose that zonal asymmetries are the ultimate cause in the zonal mean. This questions the usefulness of the relationship.