Articles | Volume 5, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-1489-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-1489-2024
Research article
 | 
06 Dec 2024
Research article |  | 06 Dec 2024

Role of the quasi-biennial oscillation in alleviating biases in the semi-annual oscillation

Aleena M. Jaison, Lesley J. Gray, Scott M. Osprey, Jeff R. Knight, and Martin B. Andrews

Data sets

MERRA-2 tavg3_3d_asm_Nv: 3d,3-Hourly,Time-Averaged,Model-Level,Assimilation,Assimilated Meteorological Fields V5.12.4 Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) https://doi.org/10.5067/SUOQESM06LPK

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Short summary
Models have biases in semi-annual oscillation (SAO) representation, mainly due to insufficient eastward wave forcing. We examined if the bias is from increased wave absorption due to circulation biases in the low–middle stratosphere. Alleviating biases at lower altitudes improves the SAO, but substantial bias remains. Alternative methods like gravity wave parameterization changes should be explored to enhance the modelled SAO, potentially improving sudden stratospheric warming predictability.