Articles | Volume 5, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-163-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-163-2024
Research article
 | 
08 Feb 2024
Research article |  | 08 Feb 2024

Future changes in North Atlantic winter cyclones in CESM-LE – Part 2: A Lagrangian analysis

Edgar Dolores-Tesillos and Stephan Pfahl

Model code and software

Community Earth System Model (CESM) NCAR https://www.cesm.ucar.edu/models/cesm1.0/

The LAGRANTO Lagrangian analysis tool – version 2.0 (https://iacweb.ethz.ch/staff/sprenger/lagranto/download.html) M. Sprenger and H. Wernli https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-8-2569-2015

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Short summary
In a warmer climate, the winter extratropical cyclones over the North Atlantic basin are expected to have a larger footprint of strong winds. Dynamical changes at different altitudes are responsible for these wind changes. Based on backward trajectories using the CESM-LE simulations, we show that the diabatic processes gain relevance as the planet warms. For instance, changes in the radiative processes will play an important role in the upper-level cyclone dynamics.