Articles | Volume 6, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1027-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1027-2025
Research article
 | 
29 Sep 2025
Research article |  | 29 Sep 2025

How relevant are frequency changes of weather regimes for understanding climate change signals in surface precipitation in the North Atlantic–European sector? A conceptual analysis with CESM1 large ensemble simulations

Luise J. Fischer, David N. Bresch, Dominik Büeler, Christian M. Grams, Robin Noyelle, Matthias Röthlisberger, and Heini Wernli

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-1253', Anonymous Referee #1, 10 Jun 2024
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-1253', Anonymous Referee #2, 19 Aug 2024
  • AC1: 'final author comments', Heini Wernli, 26 Sep 2024

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
AR by Heini Wernli on behalf of the Authors (28 Nov 2024)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (05 Dec 2024) by Camille Li
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (09 Dec 2024)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (04 Feb 2025)
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (05 Dec 2024) by Camille Li
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (09 Dec 2024)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (04 Feb 2025)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (18 Feb 2025) by Camille Li
AR by Heini Wernli on behalf of the Authors (24 Jun 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (11 Jul 2025) by Camille Li
AR by Heini Wernli on behalf of the Authors (14 Jul 2025)
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Short summary
Atmospheric flows over the North Atlantic can be meaningfully classified into weather regimes, and climate simulations suggest that the regime frequencies might change in the future. We provide a quantitative framework that helps assess whether these regime frequency changes are relevant to understanding climate change signals in precipitation. At least in our example application, in most regions, regime frequency changes explain little of the projected precipitation changes.
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