Articles | Volume 6, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1267-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1267-2025
Research article
 | 
29 Oct 2025
Research article |  | 29 Oct 2025

Escalating typhoon risks in Shanghai amid shifting tracks driven by urbanization and sea surface temperature warming

Qi Zhuang, Marika Koukoula, Shuguang Liu, Zhengzheng Zhou, and Nadav Peleg

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Short summary
Understanding how projected urbanization and climate change affect typhoons, which may cause the most destructive natural catastrophes, is crucial. Based on numerical simulations of five landfalling typhoons in Shanghai, China, our results highlight that warming sea surface temperatures significantly shift typhoon tracks with intensified structures (increased size, intensity, and affected time) on the big scale. Meanwhile, urbanization further amplifies local rainfall intensity.
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