Articles | Volume 6, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1283-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1283-2025
Research article
 | 
04 Nov 2025
Research article |  | 04 Nov 2025

Mean state and day-to-day variability of tropospheric circulation in planetary-scale barotropic Rossby waves during Eurasian heat extremes in CMIP5 models

Iana Strigunova, Frank Lunkeit, Nedjeljka Žagar, and Damjan Jelić

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Short summary
Our study builds on previous research by examining how climate models simulate the large-scale Rossby wave circulation during present-day Eurasian heat waves (EHWs) and how it alters in the future. We find no increase in future frequency for EHWs defined with respect to the simulated mean climate. The models capture the averaged atmospheric circulation during EHWs but struggle with daily variability. Our results highlight the need for improvements to enhance predictions of extreme weather.
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