Articles | Volume 6, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1479-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1479-2025
Research article
 | 
20 Nov 2025
Research article |  | 20 Nov 2025

Cold air outbreaks drive near-surface baroclinicity variability over storm track entrance regions in the Northern Hemisphere

Andrea Marcheggiani and Thomas Spengler

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Short summary
Cold air outbreaks, where cold polar air flows over warmer oceans, help restore midlatitude atmospheric temperature gradients near strong ocean currents, supporting storm formation. Using a novel method, we show that moderate outbreaks cover less than 15 % of the Gulf Stream region but explain up to 40 % of near-surface variability. In the North Pacific, they are more extensive and still account for a large share of variability, highlighting their key role in shaping storm tracks.
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