Mauricio López-Reyes,María Luisa Martín,Carlos Calvo-Sancho,and Juan Jesús González-Alemán
Mauricio López-Reyes
Instituto de Astronomía y Meteorología (IAM), Centro Universitario de Ciencias Exactas e Ingenierías (CUCEI), Departamento de Física, Universidad de Guadalajara, Guadalajara, Mexico
Department of Earth Physics and Astrophysics, Faculty of Physics, Complutense University of Madrid, Madrid, Spain
Instituto Frontera A.C., Departamento de Investigación, Tijuana, México
María Luisa Martín
Department of Applied Mathematics, Faculty of Computer Engineering, University of Valladolid, Valladolid, Spain
Institute of Interdisciplinary Mathematics (IMI), Complutense University of Madrid, Madrid, Spain
Department of Applied Mathematics, Faculty of Computer Engineering, University of Valladolid, Valladolid, Spain
Centro de Investigaciones sobre Desertificación, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas (CIDE, CSIC-UV-Generalitat Valenciana), Climate, Atmosphere and Ocean Laboratory (Climatoc-Lab), Moncada, Valencia, Spain
This study reveals that Hurricane Lidia's rapid intensification in the northeastern Pacific was triggered by its interaction with a mid-to-upper-level trough. Using ensemble forecasts, we show that this trough enhanced synoptic-scale ascent and upper-level divergence over the storm. These dynamic forcings preceded the rapid intensification (RI) onset, demonstrating that early dynamical triggers are crucial for anticipating explosive hurricane growth and offer a valuable forecasting tool in data-sparse areas.
This study reveals that Hurricane Lidia's rapid intensification in the northeastern Pacific was...