Articles | Volume 1, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-1-373-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-1-373-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
The role of North Atlantic–European weather regimes in the surface impact of sudden stratospheric warming events
Daniela I. V. Domeisen
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zürich, Zurich, Switzerland
Christian M. Grams
Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research – Department Troposphere Research (IMK-TRO), Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Karlsruhe, Germany
Lukas Papritz
Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zürich, Zurich, Switzerland
Viewed
Total article views: 7,214 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 09 Jan 2020)
HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5,782 | 1,312 | 120 | 7,214 | 123 | 115 |
- HTML: 5,782
- PDF: 1,312
- XML: 120
- Total: 7,214
- BibTeX: 123
- EndNote: 115
Total article views: 6,112 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 11 Aug 2020)
HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5,208 | 842 | 62 | 6,112 | 62 | 56 |
- HTML: 5,208
- PDF: 842
- XML: 62
- Total: 6,112
- BibTeX: 62
- EndNote: 56
Total article views: 1,102 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 09 Jan 2020)
HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
574 | 470 | 58 | 1,102 | 61 | 59 |
- HTML: 574
- PDF: 470
- XML: 58
- Total: 1,102
- BibTeX: 61
- EndNote: 59
Viewed (geographical distribution)
Total article views: 7,214 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 6,479 with geography defined
and 735 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 6,112 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 5,703 with geography defined
and 409 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 1,102 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 776 with geography defined
and 326 with unknown origin.
Country | # | Views | % |
---|
Country | # | Views | % |
---|
Country | # | Views | % |
---|
Total: | 0 |
HTML: | 0 |
PDF: | 0 |
XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
Total: | 0 |
HTML: | 0 |
PDF: | 0 |
XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
Total: | 0 |
HTML: | 0 |
PDF: | 0 |
XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
Cited
44 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Quantifying climate model representation of the wintertime Euro-Atlantic circulation using geopotential-jet regimes J. Dorrington et al. 10.5194/wcd-3-505-2022
- Quantifying stratospheric biases and identifying their potential sources in subseasonal forecast systems Z. Lawrence et al. 10.5194/wcd-3-977-2022
- Climate variability on Fit for 55 European power systems M. De Felice et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0289705
- Tracking the Stratosphere‐to‐Surface Impact of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings R. Hall et al. 10.1029/2020JD033881
- Stratospheric downward wave reflection events modulate North American weather regimes and cold spells G. Messori et al. 10.5194/wcd-3-1215-2022
- Using large ensembles to quantify the impact of sudden stratospheric warmings and their precursors on the North Atlantic Oscillation P. Bett et al. 10.5194/wcd-4-213-2023
- Domino: A new framework for the automated identification of weather event precursors, demonstrated for European extreme rainfall J. Dorrington et al. 10.1002/qj.4622
- How Do Stratospheric Perturbations Influence North American Weather Regime Predictions? S. Lee et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0413.1
- Climatology of Three-Dimensional Eliassen–Palm Wave Activity Fluxes in the Northern Hemisphere Stratosphere from 1981 to 2020 I. Gečaitė 10.3390/cli9080124
- Detection of interannual ensemble forecast signals over the North Atlantic and Europe using atmospheric circulation regimes S. Falkena et al. 10.1002/qj.4213
- Intrinsic predictability limits arising from Indian Ocean Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) heating: effects on tropical and extratropical teleconnections D. Straus et al. 10.5194/wcd-4-1001-2023
- Stratospheric modulation of Arctic Oscillation extremes as represented by extended-range ensemble forecasts J. Spaeth & T. Birner 10.5194/wcd-3-883-2022
- Tropospheric Role in the Predictability of the Surface Impact of the 2018 Sudden Stratospheric Warming Event J. González‐Alemán et al. 10.1029/2021GL095464
- Connection between Winter East Asia Flow Patterns and Stratospheric Polar Vortex Anomalies M. Taguchi 10.3390/atmos15070844
- Tracing North Atlantic Oscillation Forecast Errors to Stratospheric Origins E. Kolstad et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0270.1
- The “Polar Vortex” Winter of 2013/2014 J. Cohen et al. 10.1029/2022JD036493
- Effects of extreme stratospheric polar vortex events on near-surface wind gusts across Europe E. Utrabo-Carazo et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad67f4
- Warm conveyor belt activity over the Pacific: modulation by the Madden–Julian Oscillation and impact on tropical–extratropical teleconnections J. Quinting et al. 10.5194/wcd-5-65-2024
- A Joint Perspective on North American and Euro‐Atlantic Weather Regimes G. Messori & J. Dorrington 10.1029/2023GL104696
- Stratospheric influence on North Atlantic marine cold air outbreaks following sudden stratospheric warming events H. Afargan-Gerstman et al. 10.5194/wcd-1-541-2020
- Extreme stratospheric wave activity as harbingers of cold events over North America X. Ding et al. 10.1038/s43247-023-00845-y
- The role of the timing of sudden stratospheric warmings for precipitation and temperature anomalies in Europe E. Monnin et al. 10.1002/joc.7426
- Stratospheric influence on the winter North Atlantic storm track in subseasonal reforecasts H. Afargan-Gerstman et al. 10.5194/wcd-5-231-2024
- Attribution of NAO Predictive Skill Beyond 2 Weeks in Boreal Winter L. Sun et al. 10.1029/2020GL090451
- Impact of Increased Vertical Resolution in WACCM on the Climatology of Major Sudden Stratospheric Warmings V. Chávez et al. 10.3390/atmos13040546
- The Autumn-winter Response of Air Temperature to the Blocking Frequency in the Atlantic-Eurasian Sector O. Antokhina et al. 10.3103/S1068373923110018
- Stratospheric wave driving events as an alternative to sudden stratospheric warmings T. Reichler & M. Jucker 10.5194/wcd-3-659-2022
- The Linkage of Serial Cyclone Clustering in Western Europe and Weather Regimes in the North Atlantic‐European Region in Boreal Winter S. Hauser et al. 10.1029/2022GL101900
- Downward propagation of the weak stratospheric polar vortex events: the role of the surface arctic oscillation and the quasi-biennial oscillation J. Ma et al. 10.1007/s00382-024-07121-5
- How Well Do We Know the Surface Impact of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings? J. Oehrlein et al. 10.1029/2021GL095493
- Northern winter stratospheric polar vortex regimes and their possible influence on the extratropical troposphere Z. Liang et al. 10.1007/s00382-022-06494-9
- Regional Extreme Precipitation Events in Wintertime Japan Facilitated by East-Asian Large-Scale Flow Patterns T. Matsunobu et al. 10.2151/sola.2023-033
- Opposite spectral properties of Rossby waves during weak and strong stratospheric polar vortex events M. Schutte et al. 10.5194/wcd-5-733-2024
- Modulation of North Atlantic Polar Low Activity and Associated Flow Patterns by Sudden Stratospheric Warmings C. Chang et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0905.1
- Improving seasonal predictions of German Bight storm activity D. Krieger et al. 10.5194/nhess-24-1539-2024
- Multi‐model assessment of sub‐seasonal predictive skill for year‐round Atlantic–European weather regimes M. Osman et al. 10.1002/qj.4512
- A Minimal Model to Diagnose the Contribution of the Stratosphere to Tropospheric Forecast Skill A. Charlton‐Perez et al. 10.1029/2021JD035504
- The data processing and analysis methods for stratospheric ozone and planetary wave study Y. Shi et al. 10.33275/1727-7485.2.2022.698
- HeavyAlpinesnowfall in January 2019 connected to atmospheric blocking K. Yessimbet et al. 10.1002/wea.4020
- Diverse Surface Signatures of Stratospheric Polar Vortex Anomalies E. Kolstad et al. 10.1029/2022JD037422
- An extreme cold event over East Asia during early January 2021 and its links to the deformation of stratospheric polar vortex during sudden stratospheric warming M. Liu et al. 10.1002/joc.7998
- Longitudinal peculiarities of planetary waves-zonal flow interactions and their role in stratosphere-troposphere dynamical coupling K. Wei et al. 10.1007/s00382-021-05842-5
- Dynamic Processes of the Arctic Stratosphere in the 2020–2021 Winter P. Vargin et al. 10.1134/S0001433821060098
- Simulation of Northern Winter Stratospheric Polar Vortex Regimes in CESM2-WACCM D. Guo et al. 10.3390/atmos14020243
44 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Quantifying climate model representation of the wintertime Euro-Atlantic circulation using geopotential-jet regimes J. Dorrington et al. 10.5194/wcd-3-505-2022
- Quantifying stratospheric biases and identifying their potential sources in subseasonal forecast systems Z. Lawrence et al. 10.5194/wcd-3-977-2022
- Climate variability on Fit for 55 European power systems M. De Felice et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0289705
- Tracking the Stratosphere‐to‐Surface Impact of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings R. Hall et al. 10.1029/2020JD033881
- Stratospheric downward wave reflection events modulate North American weather regimes and cold spells G. Messori et al. 10.5194/wcd-3-1215-2022
- Using large ensembles to quantify the impact of sudden stratospheric warmings and their precursors on the North Atlantic Oscillation P. Bett et al. 10.5194/wcd-4-213-2023
- Domino: A new framework for the automated identification of weather event precursors, demonstrated for European extreme rainfall J. Dorrington et al. 10.1002/qj.4622
- How Do Stratospheric Perturbations Influence North American Weather Regime Predictions? S. Lee et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0413.1
- Climatology of Three-Dimensional Eliassen–Palm Wave Activity Fluxes in the Northern Hemisphere Stratosphere from 1981 to 2020 I. Gečaitė 10.3390/cli9080124
- Detection of interannual ensemble forecast signals over the North Atlantic and Europe using atmospheric circulation regimes S. Falkena et al. 10.1002/qj.4213
- Intrinsic predictability limits arising from Indian Ocean Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) heating: effects on tropical and extratropical teleconnections D. Straus et al. 10.5194/wcd-4-1001-2023
- Stratospheric modulation of Arctic Oscillation extremes as represented by extended-range ensemble forecasts J. Spaeth & T. Birner 10.5194/wcd-3-883-2022
- Tropospheric Role in the Predictability of the Surface Impact of the 2018 Sudden Stratospheric Warming Event J. González‐Alemán et al. 10.1029/2021GL095464
- Connection between Winter East Asia Flow Patterns and Stratospheric Polar Vortex Anomalies M. Taguchi 10.3390/atmos15070844
- Tracing North Atlantic Oscillation Forecast Errors to Stratospheric Origins E. Kolstad et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0270.1
- The “Polar Vortex” Winter of 2013/2014 J. Cohen et al. 10.1029/2022JD036493
- Effects of extreme stratospheric polar vortex events on near-surface wind gusts across Europe E. Utrabo-Carazo et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad67f4
- Warm conveyor belt activity over the Pacific: modulation by the Madden–Julian Oscillation and impact on tropical–extratropical teleconnections J. Quinting et al. 10.5194/wcd-5-65-2024
- A Joint Perspective on North American and Euro‐Atlantic Weather Regimes G. Messori & J. Dorrington 10.1029/2023GL104696
- Stratospheric influence on North Atlantic marine cold air outbreaks following sudden stratospheric warming events H. Afargan-Gerstman et al. 10.5194/wcd-1-541-2020
- Extreme stratospheric wave activity as harbingers of cold events over North America X. Ding et al. 10.1038/s43247-023-00845-y
- The role of the timing of sudden stratospheric warmings for precipitation and temperature anomalies in Europe E. Monnin et al. 10.1002/joc.7426
- Stratospheric influence on the winter North Atlantic storm track in subseasonal reforecasts H. Afargan-Gerstman et al. 10.5194/wcd-5-231-2024
- Attribution of NAO Predictive Skill Beyond 2 Weeks in Boreal Winter L. Sun et al. 10.1029/2020GL090451
- Impact of Increased Vertical Resolution in WACCM on the Climatology of Major Sudden Stratospheric Warmings V. Chávez et al. 10.3390/atmos13040546
- The Autumn-winter Response of Air Temperature to the Blocking Frequency in the Atlantic-Eurasian Sector O. Antokhina et al. 10.3103/S1068373923110018
- Stratospheric wave driving events as an alternative to sudden stratospheric warmings T. Reichler & M. Jucker 10.5194/wcd-3-659-2022
- The Linkage of Serial Cyclone Clustering in Western Europe and Weather Regimes in the North Atlantic‐European Region in Boreal Winter S. Hauser et al. 10.1029/2022GL101900
- Downward propagation of the weak stratospheric polar vortex events: the role of the surface arctic oscillation and the quasi-biennial oscillation J. Ma et al. 10.1007/s00382-024-07121-5
- How Well Do We Know the Surface Impact of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings? J. Oehrlein et al. 10.1029/2021GL095493
- Northern winter stratospheric polar vortex regimes and their possible influence on the extratropical troposphere Z. Liang et al. 10.1007/s00382-022-06494-9
- Regional Extreme Precipitation Events in Wintertime Japan Facilitated by East-Asian Large-Scale Flow Patterns T. Matsunobu et al. 10.2151/sola.2023-033
- Opposite spectral properties of Rossby waves during weak and strong stratospheric polar vortex events M. Schutte et al. 10.5194/wcd-5-733-2024
- Modulation of North Atlantic Polar Low Activity and Associated Flow Patterns by Sudden Stratospheric Warmings C. Chang et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0905.1
- Improving seasonal predictions of German Bight storm activity D. Krieger et al. 10.5194/nhess-24-1539-2024
- Multi‐model assessment of sub‐seasonal predictive skill for year‐round Atlantic–European weather regimes M. Osman et al. 10.1002/qj.4512
- A Minimal Model to Diagnose the Contribution of the Stratosphere to Tropospheric Forecast Skill A. Charlton‐Perez et al. 10.1029/2021JD035504
- The data processing and analysis methods for stratospheric ozone and planetary wave study Y. Shi et al. 10.33275/1727-7485.2.2022.698
- HeavyAlpinesnowfall in January 2019 connected to atmospheric blocking K. Yessimbet et al. 10.1002/wea.4020
- Diverse Surface Signatures of Stratospheric Polar Vortex Anomalies E. Kolstad et al. 10.1029/2022JD037422
- An extreme cold event over East Asia during early January 2021 and its links to the deformation of stratospheric polar vortex during sudden stratospheric warming M. Liu et al. 10.1002/joc.7998
- Longitudinal peculiarities of planetary waves-zonal flow interactions and their role in stratosphere-troposphere dynamical coupling K. Wei et al. 10.1007/s00382-021-05842-5
- Dynamic Processes of the Arctic Stratosphere in the 2020–2021 Winter P. Vargin et al. 10.1134/S0001433821060098
- Simulation of Northern Winter Stratospheric Polar Vortex Regimes in CESM2-WACCM D. Guo et al. 10.3390/atmos14020243
Latest update: 11 Oct 2024
Short summary
We cannot currently predict the weather over Europe beyond 2 weeks. The stratosphere provides a promising opportunity to go beyond that limit by providing a change in probability of certain weather regimes at the surface. However, not all stratospheric extreme events are followed by the same surface weather evolution. We show that this weather evolution is related to the tropospheric weather regime around the onset of the stratospheric extreme event for many stratospheric events.
We cannot currently predict the weather over Europe beyond 2 weeks. The stratosphere provides a...