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Weather and Climate Dynamics An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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WCD | Articles | Volume 1, issue 2
Weather Clim. Dynam., 1, 373–388, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-1-373-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Weather Clim. Dynam., 1, 373–388, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-1-373-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 11 Aug 2020

Research article | 11 Aug 2020

The role of North Atlantic–European weather regimes in the surface impact of sudden stratospheric warming events

Daniela I. V. Domeisen et al.

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Cited articles

Afargan-Gerstman, H. and Domeisen, D. I. V.: Pacific Modulation of the North Atlantic Storm Track Response to Sudden Stratospheric Warming Events, Geophys. Res. Lett., 47, e2019GL085007, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL085007, 2020. a, b
Andrews, M. B., Knight, J. R., Scaife, A. A., and Lu, Y.: Observed and simulated teleconnections between the stratospheric Quasi-Biennial Oscillation and Northern Hemisphere winter atmospheric circulation, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 124, 1219–1232, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD029368, 2019. a
Attard, H. E., Lang, A. L., Attard, H. E., and Lang, A. L.: The Impact of Tropospheric and Stratospheric Tropical Variability on the Location, Frequency, and Duration of Cool-Season Extratropical Synoptic Events, Mon. Weather Rev., 147, 519–542, 2019. a
Ayarzagüena, B., Barriopedro, D., Perez, J. M. G., Abalos, M., de la Camara, A., Herrera, R. G., Calvo, N., and Ordóñez, C.: Stratospheric Connection to the Abrupt End of the 2016/2017 Iberian Drought, Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, 12639–12646, 2018. a
Baldwin, M. P. and Dunkerton, T. J.: Stratospheric harbingers of anomalous weather regimes, Science, 294, 581–584, 2001. a, b, c
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We cannot currently predict the weather over Europe beyond 2 weeks. The stratosphere provides a promising opportunity to go beyond that limit by providing a change in probability of certain weather regimes at the surface. However, not all stratospheric extreme events are followed by the same surface weather evolution. We show that this weather evolution is related to the tropospheric weather regime around the onset of the stratospheric extreme event for many stratospheric events.
We cannot currently predict the weather over Europe beyond 2 weeks. The stratosphere provides a...
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