Articles | Volume 2, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-2-163-2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-2-163-2021
Research article
 | 
10 Mar 2021
Research article |  | 10 Mar 2021

A regime view of future atmospheric circulation changes in northern mid-latitudes

Federico Fabiano, Virna L. Meccia, Paolo Davini, Paolo Ghinassi, and Susanna Corti

Model code and software

fedef17/WRtool: WRtool 2.1 (Version v2.1) F. Fabiano and I. Mavilia https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.4590985

Download
Short summary
Global warming not only affects the mean state of the climate (i.e. a warmer world) but also its variability. Here we analyze a set of future climate scenarios and show how some configurations of the wintertime atmospheric flow will become more frequent and persistent under continued greenhouse forcing. For example, over Europe, models predict an increase in the NAO+ regime which drives intense precipitation in northern Europe and the British Isles and dry conditions over the Mediterranean.