A regime view of future atmospheric circulation  changes in northern mid-latitudes

Fabiano, Federico; Meccia, Virna L.; Davini, Paolo; Ghinassi, Paolo; Corti, Susanna

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-2-163-2021

Articles | Volume 2, issue 1

https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-2-163-2021

© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-2-163-2021

© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 2, issue 1

Research article

|

10 Mar 2021

Research article |

| 10 Mar 2021

A regime view of future atmospheric circulation changes in northern mid-latitudes

Federico Fabiano, Virna L. Meccia, Paolo Davini, Paolo Ghinassi, and Susanna Corti

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Final revised paper (published on 10 Mar 2021)
Supplement to the final revised paper
Preprint (discussion started on 18 Aug 2020)
Supplement to the preprint

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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- Supplement

RC1: 'Review of WCD-2020-37 by Fabiano et al.', Anonymous Referee #1, 10 Sep 2020
- AC1: 'Response to Reviewer 1', Federico Fabiano, 11 Dec 2020
RC2: 'Review of "A regime view of future atmospheric circulation changes in Northern mid-latitudes" by Federico Fabiano et al.', Anonymous Referee #2, 23 Oct 2020
- AC2: 'Response to Reviewer 2', Federico Fabiano, 11 Dec 2020

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

AR by Federico Fabiano on behalf of the Authors (13 Jan 2021) Author's response Manuscript

ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (26 Jan 2021) by Thomas Birner

RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (29 Jan 2021)

RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (02 Feb 2021)

ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (04 Feb 2021) by Thomas Birner

Short summary

Global warming not only affects the mean state of the climate (i.e. a warmer world) but also its variability. Here we analyze a set of future climate scenarios and show how some configurations of the wintertime atmospheric flow will become more frequent and persistent under continued greenhouse forcing. For example, over Europe, models predict an increase in the NAO+ regime which drives intense precipitation in northern Europe and the British Isles and dry conditions over the Mediterranean.