Articles | Volume 2, issue 1
Weather Clim. Dynam., 2, 163–180, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-2-163-2021
Weather Clim. Dynam., 2, 163–180, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-2-163-2021

Research article 10 Mar 2021

Research article | 10 Mar 2021

A regime view of future atmospheric circulation changes in northern mid-latitudes

Federico Fabiano et al.

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Cited articles

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Athanasiadis, P. J., Wallace, J. M., and Wettstein, J. J.: Patterns of wintertime jet stream variability and their relation to the storm tracks, J. Atmos. Sci., 67, 1361–1381, 2010. a
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Barnes, E. A. and Polvani, L. M.: CMIP5 projections of Arctic amplification, of the North American/North Atlantic circulation, and of their relationship, J. Climate, 28, 5254–5271, 2015. a
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Global warming not only affects the mean state of the climate (i.e. a warmer world) but also its variability. Here we analyze a set of future climate scenarios and show how some configurations of the wintertime atmospheric flow will become more frequent and persistent under continued greenhouse forcing. For example, over Europe, models predict an increase in the NAO+ regime which drives intense precipitation in northern Europe and the British Isles and dry conditions over the Mediterranean.