Articles | Volume 4, issue 3
Research article
20 Sep 2023
Research article |  | 20 Sep 2023

Exploiting the signal-to-noise ratio in multi-system predictions of boreal summer precipitation and temperature

Juan Camilo Acosta Navarro and Andrea Toreti

Data sets

Seasonal forecast monthly statistics on pressure levels Copernicus Climate Change Service

Short summary
Droughts and heatwaves have become some of the clearest manifestations of a changing climate. Near-term adaptation strategies can benefit from seasonal predictions, but these predictions still have limitations. We found that an intrinsic property of multi-system forecasts can serve to better anticipate extreme high-temperature and low-precipitation events during boreal summer in several regions of the Northern Hemisphere with different levels of predictability.