Articles | Volume 4, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-823-2023
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-823-2023
Research article
 | 
20 Sep 2023
Research article |  | 20 Sep 2023

Exploiting the signal-to-noise ratio in multi-system predictions of boreal summer precipitation and temperature

Juan Camilo Acosta Navarro and Andrea Toreti

Data sets

Seasonal forecast monthly statistics on pressure levels Copernicus Climate Change Service https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.0b79e7c5

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Short summary
Droughts and heatwaves have become some of the clearest manifestations of a changing climate. Near-term adaptation strategies can benefit from seasonal predictions, but these predictions still have limitations. We found that an intrinsic property of multi-system forecasts can serve to better anticipate extreme high-temperature and low-precipitation events during boreal summer in several regions of the Northern Hemisphere with different levels of predictability.