Articles | Volume 4, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-823-2023
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-823-2023
Research article
 | 
20 Sep 2023
Research article |  | 20 Sep 2023

Exploiting the signal-to-noise ratio in multi-system predictions of boreal summer precipitation and temperature

Juan Camilo Acosta Navarro and Andrea Toreti

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Cited articles

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Below, R., Grover-Kopec, E., and Dilley, M.: Documenting drought-related disasters, J. Environ. Dev., 16, 328–344, https://doi.org/10.1177/1070496507306222, 2007. 
Bevacqua, E., Zappa, G., Lehner, F., and Zscheischler, J.: Precipitation trends determine future occurrences of compound hot–dry events. Nat. Clim. Change, 12, 350–355, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-022-01309-5, 2022. 
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Short summary
Droughts and heatwaves have become some of the clearest manifestations of a changing climate. Near-term adaptation strategies can benefit from seasonal predictions, but these predictions still have limitations. We found that an intrinsic property of multi-system forecasts can serve to better anticipate extreme high-temperature and low-precipitation events during boreal summer in several regions of the Northern Hemisphere with different levels of predictability.
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