Weather and Climate Dynamics
Weather and Climate Dynamics
WCD
Articles | Volume 5, issue 2
Articles | Volume 5, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-587-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-587-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 5, issue 2
Research article
 | 
24 Apr 2024
Research article |  | 24 Apr 2024

Understanding winter windstorm predictability over Europe

Lisa Degenhardt, Gregor C. Leckebusch, and Adam A. Scaife

Data sets

Seasonal forecast subdaily data on pressure levels Copernicus Climate Change Service, Climate Data Store https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.50ed0a73

Seasonal forecast daily and subdaily data on single levels Copernicus Climate Change Service, Climate Data Store https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.181d637e

Complete ERA5 from 1940: Fifth generation of ECMWF atmospheric reanalyses of the global climate H. Hersbach et al. https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.143582cf

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Short summary
This study investigates how dynamical factors that are known to influence cyclone or windstorm development and strengthening also influence the seasonal forecast skill of severe winter windstorms. This study shows which factors are well represented in the seasonal forecast model, the Global Seasonal forecasting system version 5 (GloSea5), and which might need improvement to refine the forecast of severe winter windstorms.
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