Articles | Volume 5, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-587-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-587-2024
Research article
 | 
24 Apr 2024
Research article |  | 24 Apr 2024

Understanding winter windstorm predictability over Europe

Lisa Degenhardt, Gregor C. Leckebusch, and Adam A. Scaife

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Short summary
This study investigates how dynamical factors that are known to influence cyclone or windstorm development and strengthening also influence the seasonal forecast skill of severe winter windstorms. This study shows which factors are well represented in the seasonal forecast model, the Global Seasonal forecasting system version 5 (GloSea5), and which might need improvement to refine the forecast of severe winter windstorms.