Weather and Climate Dynamics
Weather and Climate Dynamics
WCD
Articles | Volume 5, issue 3
Articles | Volume 5, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-943-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-943-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 5, issue 3
Research article
 | 
24 Jul 2024
Research article |  | 24 Jul 2024

Could an extremely cold central European winter such as 1963 happen again despite climate change?

Sebastian Sippel, Clair Barnes, Camille Cadiou, Erich Fischer, Sarah Kew, Marlene Kretschmer, Sjoukje Philip, Theodore G. Shepherd, Jitendra Singh, Robert Vautard, and Pascal Yiou

Viewed

Total article views: 4,430 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total BibTeX EndNote
3,838 511 81 4,430 66 102
  • HTML: 3,838
  • PDF: 511
  • XML: 81
  • Total: 4,430
  • BibTeX: 66
  • EndNote: 102
Views and downloads (calculated since 07 Nov 2023)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 07 Nov 2023)

Viewed (geographical distribution)

Total article views: 4,430 (including HTML, PDF, and XML) Thereof 4,382 with geography defined and 48 with unknown origin.
Country # Views %
  • 1
1
 
 
 
 
Latest update: 08 Nov 2025
Download
Short summary
Winter temperatures in central Europe have increased. But cold winters can still cause problems for energy systems, infrastructure, or human health. Here we tested whether a record-cold winter, such as the one observed in 1963 over central Europe, could still occur despite climate change. The answer is yes: it is possible, but it is very unlikely. Our results rely on climate model simulations and statistical rare event analysis. In conclusion, society must be prepared for such cold winters.
Read more
Share