Summary
The authors have revised the manuscript following comments from two reviewers, including myself. The authors made considerable modifications, which improved the manuscript. They have addressed my main comment, regarding the gap between the main subject of the manuscript and the motivation, which didn’t seem to relate well in the previous version. In the current version, the motivation is clearer, and the connection between the new numerical method and the concept of waveguidability is clearer. I think the manuscript could fit for publication in WCD, after another round of revision.
My major comments regard the consistency of the terms used in the paper, some details of the methods that are missing, and issues with the interpretation of the nonlinear simulations. My other comments are minor.
Major comments
1) Consistency of terms.
a. There are 3 types of models used in this study. Their names, according to the legend in figure 2a are: Linear Chebyshev, Linear SHT and Nonlinear SHT, where “SHT” stands for spherical harmonics transform. However, these names are not used consistently throughout the paper. The linear Chebyshev method is often called “linear” (e.g., line 186, caption of figures 1 and 3), which may confuse it with the linear SHT method. The nonlinear SHT method is simply called “nonlinear”. The authors should choose a name for each method and use it consistently.
b. Waveguidability is sometimes called “normalized meridional enstrophy density”, though it is not made clear if these are two terms for the same physical variable. Specifically, is the expression in equation (17) the same as the waveguidability presented in figure 2?
c. The variable phi_0 is sometimes used to denote the latitude of the forcing (line 209) and sometimes – the latitude of the jet (caption of figure 3). The latitude of the forcing is also called “phi_F” (equation 15) and the latitude of the jet is also called “phi_J” (equation 16).
d. The term “temporal coefficient” (e.g, caption of figure 5, line 412) is used interchangeably with the term “principal component” (line 263) or simply “amplitude” (caption of figure 6). Please explain if these are all words to describe the same thing. If so – please be consistent with the terminology. If not – please explain what “temporal coefficient” means.
e. The bar (over-line) is used sometimes to demote the background flow (equation 1) and sometimes to demote the amplitude of a wave mode (line 124).
2) Missing details.
a. For most of the results presented (at least figures 3, 4, 5 and 8), it seems that the authors used the same latitude for the jet and for the forcing, however this is not mentioned explicitly and the reader is left to guess what the latitude of the forcing is. Specifically, it is confusing the phi_0 is initially used for denoting the forcing latitude, while the jet latitude is sometimes called phi_0 and sometimes phi_J (see comment 1c above). Also, it would help if the authors explain why they chose to use the same latitude for the jet and for the forcing (when this is the case).
b. It is not described how the EOF analysis is done exactly. Specifically, I would expect to find an exact explanation for how the “temporal coefficients” shown in the bottom panels of figure 5 were calculated. If these are the same as principle component time series of the EOFs, then it is surprising that the principle component of the first EOF oscillates around 1 and not around 0. Usually, an EOF analysis is performed after removing the trend from the time series. Is that the case here or not? Please explain.
c. According to the caption of figure 8a, the green line marks the “locus beyond which the temporal vorticity variance of the nonlinear simulation becomes 10 times larger than in the stable regimes”. While this is explained in the figure caption, this criterion is not mentioned explicitly in the text, when the “stability” of the nonlinear solution is considered (lines 291-294). I would expect a more detailed description and explanation for this criterion in the text. How is the temporal vorticity variance calculated? Which stable regime is it compared to?
3) Interpretation of the nonlinear simulations.
a. As far as I could understand, the nonlinear simulations solve equation (3). This equation includes wave-mean flow interactions and wave-wave interactions. In contrast, the linear equation (equation 7) includes the effect of the mean flow on the waves, but does not include the effect of the waves on the mean flow, therefore it neglects both the wave-mean flow interactions and the wave-wave interactions. In the discussions in the paper, where the nonlinear simulations are compared with the linear method results, the authors assume that the differences between the solutions arise from the inclusion of wave-wave interactions in the nonlinear model, while ignoring the wave-mean flow interactions (e.g., lines 187-188, 295-296, 387-389). I think this is a very fundamental issue. When wave-mean flow and wave-wave interactions are included, the equilibration occurs due to the combination of stabilization of the mean flow profile by the wave fluxes, and the dissipation by wave-wave interactions. While the authors mention the latter, they ignore the former, which could be very important.
b. The authors interpret the behavior of the nonlinear solution presented in figures 5 and 6 as evidence for a limit cycle (e.g. line 265, 294). I am skeptic about this interpretation. First, because in order to identify a limit cycle, a phase space should be defined and the existence of the limit cycle and its stability need to be shown in this phase space. I don’t see what is the phase space in which the authors find a limit cycle. Second, I disagree that the wave modes shown in figure 5 are not traveling waves. In lines 263-265 the authors argue that “The trajectories… behave as traveling waves: however, the linear stability analysis does not support this interpretation as the waves should grow exponentially in magnitude because they are unstable”. In this argument the authors ignore the fact that in the nonlinear simulation the mean flow is modified by the wave fluxes and therefore it can be stabilized. Additionally, the wave-wave interactions introduce a dissipative effect. So there is no reason to believe that these are not traveling waves (actually figure 6 shows exactly that these are traveling waves).
c. The comparison between the stationary solution of the linear equation and the time-mean solution of the nonlinear equation assumes that we should expect them to be similar (e.g. lines 250-253, 371-373). I think these two solutions capture a fundamentally different phenomenon. The linear stationary solution captures a stationary (i.e. zero-phase speed) wave, forced by the topography. The nonlinear time-mean solution captures a statistically steady state. The paragraph in lines 253-268 (as well as parts of the conclusions section) tries to explain the similarity between the stationary solution of the linear equation and the time-mean solution of the nonlinear equation in an unstable case. They argue that one should expect the nonlinear solution to diverge in the unstable conditions (e.g. lines 236-237). Their interpretation for the lack of instability in the nonlinear case is that the system reaches a limit cycle. I would argue instead that the system reaches a nonlinear statistically steady state, where the mean flow is stabilized by the waves (in the time-mean sense), and the waves are equilibrated in the sense that their life cycles give a net zero growth, when averaged over time. I would definitely expect to find traveling waves in such a solution. These traveling waves don’t necessarily need to be identical to the most unstable modes of the mean flow. They could be neutral modes in the linear sense, but they need to be able to maintain the mean flow in a profile that enables them to go through cycles of growth and decay (see for example DelSole 2004, Lachmy and Harnik 2016).
4) Interpretation of the stability analysis.
Figure 8a shows the maximum of the imaginary part of the linear eigenvalues (i.e., the linear growth rate) normalized by the damping time scale. The dashed line marks the locus where the absolute vorticity gradient changes sign (the Rayleigh stability criterion). The authors argue that the distance between the line where the linear growth rate is zero and the dashed line in figure 8a shows that “the Rayleigh criterion provides a necessary but not sufficient condition for the onset of instability” (lines 282-285). In the conclusions section (lines 382-384) they argue that the Rayleigh criterion was not capable of detecting the onset of barotropic instability. I disagree with this interpretation, because the linear stability criterion could easily be adapted to incorporate the effect of the damping term, by examining the line where the growth rate is equal to minus the damping time scale (i.e. where the growth rate is equal to -1 in figure 8a). Note that this line corresponds to the dashed line, meaning that it is consistent with the Rayleigh criterion of instability. This is not a coincidence. When the wave equation includes a linear damping term, the growth rate is expected to be the same as the linear growth rate of a model without damping, minus the damping time scale. Therefore, the results are consistent with the theory of barotropic instability, where the Rayleigh criterion marks the state where the linear growth rate of a model without damping is zero, and when linear damping is added, the growth rate is reduced by the damping time scale.
5) Section 6
This section doesn’t include a discussion of the implications of the results. I couldn’t understand the motivation for looking at the time-dependent solution and what the conclusions from this analysis are.
Minor comments
1) Line 84: Lambda is defined, but it is not used in equation (1).
2) Line 105: Since equation (9) includes variables with a “hat”, denoting the amplitude of the Fourier components, it would be better to define the Fourier components (Psi_hat(theta, t)exp(imx)) here, before the equation, or at least mention what the hat symbol means.
3) Line 118: Something in the wording is not correct, “achieved at regime” doesn’t sound right. What does it mean?
4) Line 124: The bar (over-line) was used before to denote the time-mean background solution, here it is the amplitude of the Fourier component in time.
5) Lines 137-138: This would be a good place to refer again to the appendix.
6) Line 141-142: The first sentence of this paragraph seems to belong to the previous paragraph.
7) Line 144: Please mention exactly which linear and nonlinear equations the SHT package solves. Are these equations 7 and 3?
8) Line 153: Bar (over-line) was used before to denote the time-mean, but here it is used to denote the zonal wind divided by cosine latitude.
9) Line 167: created by -> forced by.
10) Line 183: Delete the second “for the”.
11) Line 190: “between the forcing the the monitoring sector” – the first “the” after “forcing” should be replaced by “and”.
12) Caption of figure 2: It says that “N” is the number of latitude/longitude grid points for the Chebyshev simulations and the truncation number for the SHT method. Why not define N as the number of latitude grid points for all the cases, to be consistent?
13) Line 239: “…is also not be ruled out” – delete the “be”.
14) The authors use expressions related to time when referring to the behavior of the system as a function of the model parameters (the word “after” in line 299 and the words “started” and “later” in lines 387-388).
15) Line 300: “…the maximum growth rate in Fig.8b…” – figure 8b shows the wavenumber, not the growth rate.
16) Line 310: “jets” – change to “jet”.
17) Line 325: “…equally efficient waveguides” – why do you say they are equally efficient if their waveguidabilities are not equal?
18) Line 338: “…the waveguidability is reduced…”. I assume the authors mean that in the double jet case it is reduced compared to the single jet case. However, this should be mentioned explicitly and not left for the reader to guess.
19) Line 384-385: This sentence is not clear. Specifically, the phrasing of the part: ”…the condition of instability corresponds to a first increase of the…”.
20) Line 388: Please explain what were the signs of barotropic instability in the nonlinear simulations? Why do you consider them to be signs of barotropic instability?
21) Line 401: Delete the “that” after c).
22) Line 410: “these evidences” – change to “this evidence”.
23) Lines 412-413: The sentence “the temporal coefficients could be determined by solving a small set of nonlinear ordinary differential equations” is not clear. What do you mean by “temporal coefficients”? Are these the same as the principle component time series (see major comment 2b)? Which small set of equations are you referring to?
References
DelSole, T. (2004). Stochastic models of quasigeostrophic turbulence. Surveys in Geophysics, 25, 107-149.
Lachmy, O., & Harnik, N. (2016). Wave and jet maintenance in different flow regimes. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 73(6), 2465-2484. |