Articles | Volume 6, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-841-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-841-2025
Research article
 | 
29 Aug 2025
Research article |  | 29 Aug 2025

Assessing stratospheric contributions to subseasonal predictions of precipitation after the 2018 sudden stratospheric warming from the Stratospheric Nudging And Predictable Surface Impacts (SNAPSI) project

Ying Dai, Peter Hitchcock, Amy H. Butler, Chaim I. Garfinkel, and William J. M. Seviour

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-484', Anonymous Referee #1, 14 Mar 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-484', Anonymous Referee #2, 19 Mar 2025

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
AR by Ying Dai on behalf of the Authors (10 May 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (19 May 2025) by Tim Woollings
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (28 May 2025)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (10 Jun 2025)
ED: Publish as is (16 Jun 2025) by Tim Woollings
AR by Ying Dai on behalf of the Authors (20 Jun 2025)
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Short summary
Using a new database of subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) forecasts, we find that with a successful forecast of the sudden stratospheric warming (SSW), S2S models can capture the European precipitation signals after the 2018 SSW several weeks in advance. The findings indicate that the stratosphere represents an important source of S2S predictability for precipitation over Europe and call for consideration of stratospheric variability in hydrological prediction at S2S timescales.
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