Articles | Volume 7, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-7-1-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-7-1-2026
Research article
 | 
05 Jan 2026
Research article |  | 05 Jan 2026

The multi-year negative Indian Ocean Dipole of 2021–2022

Ankur Srivastava, Gill M. Martin, Maheswar Pradhan, Suryachandra A. Rao, and Sarah Ineson

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Cited articles

Ajayamohan, R. S. and Rao, S. A.: Indian Ocean Dipole Modulates the Number of Extreme Rainfall Events over India in a Warming Environment, J. Meteorol. Soc. Jpn., 86, 245–252, https://doi.org/10.2151/jmsj.86.245, 2008. 
Ajayamohan, R. S., Rao, S. A., and Yamagata, T.: Influence of Indian Ocean Dipole on Poleward Propagation of Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillations, J. Climate, 21, 5437–5454, https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI1758.1, 2008. 
Ajayamohan, R. S., Rao, S. A., Luo, J., and Yamagata, T.: Influence of Indian Ocean Dipole on boreal summer intraseasonal oscillations in a coupled general circulation model, J. Geophys. Res., 114, D06119, https://doi.org/10.1029/2008JD011096, 2009. 
Annamalai, H., Xie, S. P., McCreary, J. P., and Murtugudde, R.: Impact of Indian Ocean Sea surface temperature on developing El Niño, J. Climate, 18, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-3268.1, 2005. 
Ashok, K., Guan, Z., and Yamagata, T.: Impact of the Indian Ocean Dipole on the Relationship between the Indian Monsoon Rainfall and ENSO, Geophys. Res. Lett., 28, 4499–4502, https://doi.org/10.1029/2001GL013294, 2001. 
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This study documents the dynamics behind the first occurrence of a multi-year negative Indian Ocean Dipole since the 1960s, which lasted for an unprecedented 19 months, and co-occurred with the triple-dip La Niña event of 2020–2022. The co-occurrence of such extremes is rare and can exacerbate the associated climate risk. We find that Indian Ocean conditions limited the impact of La Niña on the Indian Summer Monsoon, preventing excessive monsoonal rainfall.
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