Articles | Volume 2, issue 4
Weather Clim. Dynam., 2, 971–989, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-2-971-2021
Weather Clim. Dynam., 2, 971–989, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-2-971-2021

Research article 25 Oct 2021

Research article | 25 Oct 2021

A dynamical adjustment perspective on extreme event attribution

Laurent Terray

Model code and software

terrayl/Dynamico: Dynamico version v1.0.0 (v1.0.0) terrayl https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.5584777

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Short summary
Attribution of the causes of extreme temperature events has become active research due to the wide-ranging impacts of recent heat waves and cold spells. Here we show that a purely observational approach based on atmospheric circulation analogues and resampling provides a robust quantification of the various dynamic and thermodynamic contributions to specific extreme temperature events. The approach can easily be integrated in the toolbox of any real-time extreme event attribution system.