Articles | Volume 2, issue 4
Research article
 | Highlight paper
25 Oct 2021
Research article | Highlight paper |  | 25 Oct 2021

A dynamical adjustment perspective on extreme event attribution

Laurent Terray

Model code and software

terrayl/Dynamico: Dynamico version v1.0.0 (v1.0.0) terrayl

Short summary
Attribution of the causes of extreme temperature events has become active research due to the wide-ranging impacts of recent heat waves and cold spells. Here we show that a purely observational approach based on atmospheric circulation analogues and resampling provides a robust quantification of the various dynamic and thermodynamic contributions to specific extreme temperature events. The approach can easily be integrated in the toolbox of any real-time extreme event attribution system.