Articles | Volume 2, issue 4
Weather Clim. Dynam., 2, 971–989, 2021
Weather Clim. Dynam., 2, 971–989, 2021
Research article
 | Highlight paper
25 Oct 2021
Research article  | Highlight paper | 25 Oct 2021

A dynamical adjustment perspective on extreme event attribution

Laurent Terray

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Cited articles

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Bulygina, O. N., Razuvaev, V. N., and Korshunova, N. N.: Changes in snow cover over Northern Eurasia in the last few decades, Environ. Res. Lett., 4, 045026, 2009. 
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Caesar, J., Alexander, L., and Vose, R.: Large-scale changes in observed daily maximum and minimum temperatures: Creation and analysis of a new gridded data set, J. Geophys. Res., 111, D05101,, 2006. 
Short summary
Attribution of the causes of extreme temperature events has become active research due to the wide-ranging impacts of recent heat waves and cold spells. Here we show that a purely observational approach based on atmospheric circulation analogues and resampling provides a robust quantification of the various dynamic and thermodynamic contributions to specific extreme temperature events. The approach can easily be integrated in the toolbox of any real-time extreme event attribution system.