Weather and Climate Dynamics
Weather and Climate Dynamics
WCD
Articles | Volume 4, issue 1
Articles | Volume 4, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-213-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-213-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 4, issue 1
Research article
 | 
23 Feb 2023
Research article |  | 23 Feb 2023

Using large ensembles to quantify the impact of sudden stratospheric warmings and their precursors on the North Atlantic Oscillation

Philip E. Bett, Adam A. Scaife, Steven C. Hardiman, Hazel E. Thornton, Xiaocen Shen, Lin Wang, and Bo Pang

Viewed

Total article views: 4,119 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total BibTeX EndNote
3,022 1,015 82 4,119 102 167
  • HTML: 3,022
  • PDF: 1,015
  • XML: 82
  • Total: 4,119
  • BibTeX: 102
  • EndNote: 167
Views and downloads (calculated since 21 Jul 2022)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 21 Jul 2022)

Viewed (geographical distribution)

Total article views: 4,119 (including HTML, PDF, and XML) Thereof 3,926 with geography defined and 193 with unknown origin.
Country # Views %
  • 1
1
 
 
 
 

Cited

Saved (final revised paper)

Latest update: 26 Jun 2026
Download
Short summary
Sudden-stratospheric-warming (SSW) events can severely affect the subsequent weather at the surface. We use a large ensemble of climate model hindcasts to investigate features of the climate that make strong impacts more likely through negative NAO conditions. This allows a more robust assessment than using observations alone. Air pressure over the Arctic prior to an SSW and the zonal-mean zonal wind in the lower stratosphere have the strongest relationship with the subsequent NAO response.
Read more
Share