Articles | Volume 5, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-1561-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-1561-2024
Research article
 | 
20 Dec 2024
Research article |  | 20 Dec 2024

Causal relationships and predictability of the summer East Atlantic teleconnection

Julianna Carvalho-Oliveira, Giorgia Di Capua, Leonard F. Borchert, Reik V. Donner, and Johanna Baehr

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-1412', Anonymous Referee #1, 10 Oct 2023
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Julianna Carvalho Oliveira, 06 May 2024
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-1412', Anonymous Referee #2, 31 Oct 2023
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Julianna Carvalho Oliveira, 06 May 2024

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
AR by Julianna Carvalho Oliveira on behalf of the Authors (06 May 2024)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (16 May 2024) by Thomas Birner
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (10 Jun 2024)
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (22 Jul 2024)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (29 Jul 2024) by Thomas Birner
AR by Julianna Carvalho Oliveira on behalf of the Authors (09 Oct 2024)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes 
EF by Polina Shvedko (11 Oct 2024)  Manuscript 
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (29 Oct 2024) by Thomas Birner
AR by Julianna Carvalho Oliveira on behalf of the Authors (01 Nov 2024)  Author's response   Manuscript 
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Short summary
We demonstrate with a causal analysis that an important recurrent summer atmospheric pattern, the so-called East Atlantic teleconnection, was influenced by the extratropical North Atlantic in spring during the second half of the 20th century. This causal link is, however, not well represented by our evaluated seasonal climate prediction system. We show that simulations able to reproduce this link show improved surface climate prediction credibility over those that do not.