Weather and Climate Dynamics
Weather and Climate Dynamics
WCD
Articles | Volume 5, issue 4
Articles | Volume 5, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-1561-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-1561-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 5, issue 4
Research article
 | 
20 Dec 2024
Research article |  | 20 Dec 2024

Causal relationships and predictability of the summer East Atlantic teleconnection

Julianna Carvalho-Oliveira, Giorgia Di Capua, Leonard F. Borchert, Reik V. Donner, and Johanna Baehr

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Short summary
We demonstrate with a causal analysis that an important recurrent summer atmospheric pattern, the so-called East Atlantic teleconnection, was influenced by the extratropical North Atlantic in spring during the second half of the 20th century. This causal link is, however, not well represented by our evaluated seasonal climate prediction system. We show that simulations able to reproduce this link show improved surface climate prediction credibility over those that do not.
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