Weather and Climate Dynamics
Weather and Climate Dynamics
WCD
Articles | Volume 6, issue 3
Articles | Volume 6, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-817-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-817-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 6, issue 3
Research article
 | 
07 Aug 2025
Research article |  | 07 Aug 2025

Attributing the occurrence and intensity of extreme events with the flow analogue method

Robin Noyelle, Davide Faranda, Yoann Robin, Mathieu Vrac, and Pascal Yiou

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Latest update: 28 Aug 2025
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Short summary
Properties of extreme meteorological and climatological events are changing under human-caused climate change. Extreme event attribution methods seek to estimate the contribution of global warming in the probability and intensity changes of extreme events. Here we propose a procedure to estimate these quantities for the flow analogue method, which compares the observed event to similar events in the past.
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