Articles | Volume 7, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-7-2087-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-7-2087-2026
Research article
 | 
29 Oct 2026
Research article |  | 29 Oct 2026

Climate change effects on analogues of contrasting extratropical cyclones over the UK, Ireland and France

Farrell Morgan, Ben Harvey, Kevin Hodges, and Oscar Martínez-Alvarado

Data sets

CANARI LE Priority Variables from the HadGEM3.1 large ensemble of climate model simulations for the CANARI project (v1) R. Schiemann and the CANARI team https://doi.org/10.5285/4B62FAFC68AE4C3784FB2819F652C537

ERA5 hourly data on pressure levels from 1940 to present Copernicus Climate Change Service https://doi.org/10.24381/cds.bd0915c6

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Short summary
The socio-economic risk represented by mid-latitude cyclones in Europe is changing in a warming climate, but these changes are not uniform across all cyclones. Here we investigate climate change effects on contrasting historical cyclones that impacted the UK. We show that the changes in likelihood, intensity and causes do depend on each cyclone’s characteristics. This highlights that accounting for cyclone-specific responses is critical for assessing impacts and developing adaptation strategies.
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