Linking European droughts to year-round weather regimes

Savary, Onaïa; Ardilouze, Constantin; Cattiaux, Julien

doi:10.5194/wcd-7-223-2026

Articles | Volume 7, issue 1

https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-7-223-2026

© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-7-223-2026

© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 7, issue 1

Research article

|

28 Jan 2026

Research article |

| 28 Jan 2026

Linking European droughts to year-round weather regimes

Onaïa Savary, Constantin Ardilouze, and Julien Cattiaux

Related authors

Assessing the effect of land cover on ISBA snow water equivalent simulations over Europe

Oscar Rojas-Munoz, Constantin Ardilouze, Bertrand Bonan, Diane Tzanos, Darren Ghent, Céline Lamarche, Thomas Nagler, and Jean-Christophe Calvet

EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-65,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2026-65, 2026

This preprint is open for discussion and under review for The Cryosphere (TC).

Short summary

Considerable yet contrasting regional imprint of circulation change on summer temperature trends across the Northern hemisphere mid-latitudes

Peter Pfleiderer, Anna Merrifield, István Dunkl, Homer Durand, Enora Cariou, Julien Cattiaux, Gustau Camps-Valls, and Sebastian Sippel

Weather Clim. Dynam., 7, 89–108, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-7-89-2026,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-7-89-2026, 2026

Short summary

Skilful seasonal streamflow forecasting using a fully coupled global climate model

Gabriel Fernando Narváez-Campo and Constantin Ardilouze

Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 29, 4739–4759, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-4739-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-29-4739-2025, 2025

Short summary

Intercomparison of four algorithms for detecting tropical cyclones using ERA5

Stella Bourdin, Sébastien Fromang, William Dulac, Julien Cattiaux, and Fabrice Chauvin

Geosci. Model Dev., 15, 6759–6786, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-6759-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-6759-2022, 2022

Short summary

Flow dependence of wintertime subseasonal prediction skill over Europe

Constantin Ardilouze, Damien Specq, Lauriane Batté, and Christophe Cassou

Weather Clim. Dynam., 2, 1033–1049, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-2-1033-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-2-1033-2021, 2021

Short summary

Impact of Initialized Land Surface Temperature and Snowpack on Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction Project, Phase I (LS4P-I): organization and experimental design

Yongkang Xue, Tandong Yao, Aaron A. Boone, Ismaila Diallo, Ye Liu, Xubin Zeng, William K. M. Lau, Shiori Sugimoto, Qi Tang, Xiaoduo Pan, Peter J. van Oevelen, Daniel Klocke, Myung-Seo Koo, Tomonori Sato, Zhaohui Lin, Yuhei Takaya, Constantin Ardilouze, Stefano Materia, Subodh K. Saha, Retish Senan, Tetsu Nakamura, Hailan Wang, Jing Yang, Hongliang Zhang, Mei Zhao, Xin-Zhong Liang, J. David Neelin, Frederic Vitart, Xin Li, Ping Zhao, Chunxiang Shi, Weidong Guo, Jianping Tang, Miao Yu, Yun Qian, Samuel S. P. Shen, Yang Zhang, Kun Yang, Ruby Leung, Yuan Qiu, Daniele Peano, Xin Qi, Yanling Zhan, Michael A. Brunke, Sin Chan Chou, Michael Ek, Tianyi Fan, Hong Guan, Hai Lin, Shunlin Liang, Helin Wei, Shaocheng Xie, Haoran Xu, Weiping Li, Xueli Shi, Paulo Nobre, Yan Pan, Yi Qin, Jeff Dozier, Craig R. Ferguson, Gianpaolo Balsamo, Qing Bao, Jinming Feng, Jinkyu Hong, Songyou Hong, Huilin Huang, Duoying Ji, Zhenming Ji, Shichang Kang, Yanluan Lin, Weiguang Liu, Ryan Muncaster, Patricia de Rosnay, Hiroshi G. Takahashi, Guiling Wang, Shuyu Wang, Weicai Wang, Xu Zhou, and Yuejian Zhu

Geosci. Model Dev., 14, 4465–4494, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-4465-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-4465-2021, 2021

Short summary

Cited articles

Agnew, C. T.: Using the SPI to Identify Drought, Drought Netw. News 2000, 12, 6–12, https://digitalcommons.unl.edu/droughtnetnews/1 (last access: 13 July 2025), 2000. a

Bladé, I., Liebmann, B., Fortuny, D., and Van Oldenborgh, G. J.: Observed and simulated impacts of the summer NAO in Europe: implications for projected drying in the Mediterranean region, Clim. Dynam., 39, 709–727, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1195-x, 2012. a

Bloomfield, H. C., Brayshaw, D. J., and Charlton-Perez, A. J.: Characterizing the winter meteorological drivers of the European electricity system using targeted circulation types, Meteorol. Appl., 27, e1858, https://doi.org/10.1002/met.1858, 2020. a

Boé, J.: Modulation of soil moisture–precipitation interactions over France by large scale circulation, Clim. Dynam., 40, 875–892, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-012-1380-6, 2013. a

Boé, J., Terray, L., Cassou, C., and Najac, J.: Uncertainties in European summer precipitation changes: role of large scale circulation, Clim. Dynam., 33, 265–276, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-008-0474-7, 2009. a