Articles | Volume 7, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-7-489-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-7-489-2026
Research article
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12 Mar 2026
Research article | Highlight paper |  | 12 Mar 2026

The impact of Aeolus observations on wind and rainfall predictions

Maurus Borne, Peter Knippertz, Michael Rennie, and Martin Weissmann

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Editorial statement
This study utilised the ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System over an impressively long evaluation period of more than three years to document the impact of assimilating Aeolus wind observations on predictions of wind and precipitation globally. This long-term perspective provides a level of statistical confidence often missing from shorter-term campaign evaluations. Another key aspect of this NWP-oriented study is the consideration of the improvement of precipitation forecasts in different seasons – it is largest during the cold season in the extratropics – with some explanations why effects differ across hemispheres and seasons.
Short summary
This study shows that Aeolus satellite wind lidar observations significantly improve wind forecasts and that these improvements lead to more accurate rainfall predictions, particularly at longer lead times and during winter seasons in the extratropics. The benefits are likely due to better representation of large-scale atmospheric features such as jet streams and Rossby waves, highlighting Aeolus's value for numerical weather prediction.
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