Articles | Volume 7, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-7-89-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-7-89-2026
Research article
 | 
15 Jan 2026
Research article |  | 15 Jan 2026

Considerable yet contrasting regional imprint of circulation change on summer temperature trends across the Northern hemisphere mid-latitudes

Peter Pfleiderer, Anna Merrifield, István Dunkl, Homer Durand, Enora Cariou, Julien Cattiaux, Gustau Camps-Valls, and Sebastian Sippel

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Cited articles

Beyerle, U. and Sippel, S.: Data used in “Considerable yet contrasting regional imprint of circulation change on summer temperature trends across the Northern hemisphere mid-latitudes” (10.5194/egusphere-2025-2397), Zenodo [data set], https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18172330, 2026. a
camdoc: Camdoc Documentation: 9 Physics Modifications via the Namelist, CESM Development Team, https://ncar.github.io/CAM/doc/build/html/users_guide/physics-modifications-via-the-namelist.html#nudging, last access: 21 May 2025. a
Cariou, E., Cattiaux, J., Qasmi, S., Ribes, A., Cassou, C., and Doury, A.: Linking European Temperature Variations to Atmospheric Circulation With a Neural Network: A Pilot Study in a Climate Model, Geophysical Research Letters, 52, e2024GL113540, https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL113540, 2025. a, b, c, d, e
Cattiaux, J., Vautard, R., Cassou, C., Yiou, P., Masson-Delmotte, V., and Codron, F.: Winter 2010 in Europe: A Cold Extreme in a Warming Climate: COLD WINTER 2010 IN EUROPE, Geophysical Research Letters, 37, https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GL044613, 2010. a
Chemke, R. and Coumou, D.: Human Influence on the Recent Weakening of Storm Tracks in Boreal Summer, npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7, 1–8, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00640-2, 2024. a, b, c
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Short summary
Due to changes in atmospheric circulation some regions are warming quicker than others. Statistical methods are used to estimate how much of the local summer temperature changes are due to circulation changes. We evaluate these methods by comparing their estimates to special simulations representing only temperature changes related to circulation changes. By applying the methods to observations of 1979–2023 we find that half of the warming over parts of Europe is related to circulation changes.
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