Articles | Volume 7, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-7-1173-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-7-1173-2026
Research article
 | 
07 Jul 2026
Research article |  | 07 Jul 2026

A regime-based diagnosis of transition probabilities and changes in frequency and intensity of Indian Summer Monsoon rainfall

Bhupendra A. Raut, Aditi Deshpande, Devyani Kamble, Sandip Ingle, Parmeshwar Naik, Shwetal Walde, P. Pradeep Kumar, and Purnendranath Sen

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • CC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-4585', Nima Zafarmomen, 03 Dec 2025
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-4585', Adway Mitra, 09 Dec 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-4585', Anonymous Referee #2, 18 Jan 2026

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
AR by Bhupendra Raut on behalf of the Authors (31 Mar 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (11 Apr 2026) by Nili Harnik
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (26 Apr 2026)
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (26 Apr 2026)
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (01 May 2026)
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (03 May 2026) by Nili Harnik
AR by Bhupendra Raut on behalf of the Authors (12 Jun 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (18 Jun 2026) by Nili Harnik
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (20 Jun 2026)
ED: Publish as is (20 Jun 2026) by Nili Harnik
AR by Bhupendra Raut on behalf of the Authors (21 Jun 2026)  Manuscript 
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Short summary
We present an unsupervised clustering methodology and post-clustering analysis framework that identifies recurring monsoon rainfall patterns and quantifies their transitions. Analysis reveals breaks are prolonged while monsoon depression are transient. The decomposition of frequency and intensity changes quantifies their contributions in long-term rainfall changes.
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