Weather and Climate Dynamics
Weather and Climate Dynamics
WCD
Articles | Volume 7, issue 3
Articles | Volume 7, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-7-1173-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-7-1173-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 7, issue 3
Research article
 | 
07 Jul 2026
Research article |  | 07 Jul 2026

A regime-based diagnosis of transition probabilities and changes in frequency and intensity of Indian Summer Monsoon rainfall

Bhupendra A. Raut, Aditi Deshpande, Devyani Kamble, Sandip Ingle, Parmeshwar Naik, Shwetal Walde, P. Pradeep Kumar, and Purnendranath Sen

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Short summary
We present an unsupervised clustering methodology and post-clustering analysis framework that identifies recurring monsoon rainfall patterns and quantifies their transitions. Analysis reveals breaks are prolonged while monsoon depression are transient. The decomposition of frequency and intensity changes quantifies their contributions in long-term rainfall changes.
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