Articles | Volume 7, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-7-1899-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-7-1899-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
29 Sep 2026
Research article |
| 29 Sep 2026
| 29 Sep 2026
Mediterranean cyclones from pre-industrial to future climate: changes in extreme wind, precipitation and compound precipitation–wind events
Climate and Environmental Physics, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Martina Messmer
Geoscience and Remote Sensing, Faculty of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Delft University of Technology, Delft, the Netherlands
Edgar Dolores-Tesillos
Faculty of Geosciences and Environment, University of Lausanne, Lausanne, Switzerland
Christoph C. Raible
Climate and Environmental Physics, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
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Short summary
This study finds that while the total number of Mediterranean cyclones is set to decrease by the end of the century, the most extreme cyclones become more intense. Heavy precipitation cyclones intensify mainly in the western Mediterranean, while strong wind cyclones increase across the whole Mediterranean. These changes are partially driven by an increased moisture availability and more favourable dynamics.
This study finds that while the total number of Mediterranean cyclones is set to decrease by the...
