Articles | Volume 7, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-7-915-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-7-915-2026
Research article
 | 
12 Jun 2026
Research article |  | 12 Jun 2026

Predictability of cyclones associated with heavy precipitation events in the Sahara

Guorong Ling, Hilla Afargan-Gerstman, and Moshe Armon

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-6438', Anonymous Referee #1, 14 Feb 2026
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-6438', Anonymous Referee #2, 07 Mar 2026
  • AC1: 'Reply to the Reviewers’ comments: “Predictability of cyclones associated with heavy precipitation events in the Sahara” by Ling et al.', Moshe Armon, 17 Apr 2026

Peer review completion

AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
AR by Moshe Armon on behalf of the Authors (17 Apr 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (18 Apr 2026) by Silvio Davolio
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (22 Apr 2026)
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (03 May 2026)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (03 May 2026) by Silvio Davolio
AR by Moshe Armon on behalf of the Authors (17 May 2026)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (18 May 2026) by Silvio Davolio
AR by Moshe Armon on behalf of the Authors (23 May 2026)
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Short summary
This research examines how well storms that bring heavy rain to the Sahara can be predicted. Using satellite observations and ensemble weather forecasts, we show that predictability varies by season, location, and circulation pattern, with an upper limit of about ten days. These insights can improve early flood warnings and support better planning for scarce water resources in desert regions.
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