Future changes in the extratropical storm tracks and cyclone intensity, wind speed, and structure

Matthew D. K. Priestley and Jennifer L. Catto

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Final revised paper (published on 31 Mar 2022)
Supplement to the final revised paper
Preprint (discussion started on 15 Nov 2021)
Supplement to the preprint

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

RC1: 'Comment on wcd-2021-75', Anonymous Referee #1, 03 Dec 2021

The comment was uploaded in the form of a supplement: https://wcd.copernicus.org/preprints/wcd-2021-75/wcd-2021-75-RC1-supplement.pdf

Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-2021-75-RC1
RC2: 'Comment on wcd-2021-75', Anonymous Referee #2, 28 Dec 2021

The comment was uploaded in the form of a supplement: https://wcd.copernicus.org/preprints/wcd-2021-75/wcd-2021-75-RC2-supplement.pdf

Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-2021-75-RC2
AC1: 'Comment on wcd-2021-75', Matthew Priestley, 02 Feb 2022

Please see the attached PDF where we have addressed all comments from reviewers 1 and 2.

Citation: https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-2021-75-AC1

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

AR by Matthew Priestley on behalf of the Authors (02 Feb 2022) Author's response Author's tracked changes Manuscript

ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (10 Feb 2022) by Christian M. Grams

RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (11 Feb 2022)

ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (22 Feb 2022) by Christian M. Grams

Short summary

We use the newest set of climate model experiments from CMIP6 to investigate changes to mid-latitude storm tracks and cyclones from global warming. The overall number of cyclones will decrease. However in winter there will be more of the most intense cyclones, and these intense cyclones are likely to be stronger. Cyclone wind speeds will increase in winter, and as a result the area of strongest wind speeds will increase. By 2100 the area of strong wind speeds may increase by over 30 %.