Articles | Volume 6, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-317-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
20 Mar 2025
Research article |
| 20 Mar 2025
| 20 Mar 2025
Assessing the skill of high-impact weather forecasts in southern South America: a study on cut-off lows
Related subject area
Other aspects of weather and climate dynamics
ClimaMeter: contextualizing extreme weather in a changing climate
Large-ensemble assessment of the Arctic stratospheric polar vortex morphology and disruptions
Elevation-dependent warming: observations, models, and energetic mechanisms
Meeting summary: Exploring cloud dynamics with Cloud Model 1 and 3D visualization – insights from a university modeling workshop
Waviness of the Southern Hemisphere wintertime polar and subtropical jets
Weather Clim. Dynam., 5, 959–983, 2024
Weather Clim. Dynam., 5, 895–912, 2024
Weather Clim. Dynam., 5, 763–777, 2024
Weather Clim. Dynam., 5, 703–710, 2024
Weather Clim. Dynam., 4, 875–886, 2023
Cited articles
Binder, H., Rivière, G., Arbogast, P., Maynard, K., Bosser, P., Joly, B., and Labadie, C.: Dynamics of forecast-error growth along cut-off Sanchez and its consequence for the prediction of a high-impact weather event over southern France, Q. J. R. Meteorol. Soc., 147, 3263–3285, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4127, 2021.
Bozkurt, D., Rondanelli, R., Garreaud, R., and Arriagada A.: Impact of Warmer Eastern Tropical Pacific SST on the March 2015 Atacama Floods, Mon. Weather Rev., 144, 4441–4460, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-16-0041.1, 2016.
Campetella, C. M. and Possia, N. E.: Upper-level cut-off lows in southern South America, Meteorol. Atmos. Phys., 96, 181–191, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-006-0227-2, 2007.
Choquehuanca, B., Godoy, A., and Saurral, R.: Evaluating cut-off lows forecast from the NCEP Global Ensemble Forecasting System (GEFS) in southern South America. Session 27: Hazards and Extreme events in The WCRP Open Science Conference (Kigali, Rwanda), 23–27 October 2023, https://wcrp-osc2023.org/images/programme/posters/BELEN_CHOQUEHUANCA_abstract.pdf (last access: 10 March 2025), 2023.
Curtis, S., Fair, A., Wistow, J., Val, D., and Over, K.: Impact of extreme weather and climate change for health and social care systems, Environ. Health, 16, 128, https://doi.org/10.1186/s12940-017-0324-3, 2017.
