Journal cover Journal topic
Weather and Climate Dynamics An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
Journal topic

Abstracted/indexed

Abstracted/indexed
WCD | Articles | Volume 1, issue 1
Weather Clim. Dynam., 1, 247–259, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-1-247-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Weather Clim. Dynam., 1, 247–259, 2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-1-247-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Research article 07 May 2020

Research article | 07 May 2020

Subseasonal midlatitude prediction skill following Quasi-Biennial Oscillation and Madden–Julian Oscillation activity

Kirsten J. Mayer and Elizabeth A. Barnes

Related authors

Variability of moisture recycling using a precipitationshed framework
P. W. Keys, E. A. Barnes, R. J. van der Ent, and L. J. Gordon
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 3937–3950, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-3937-2014,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-3937-2014, 2014
New-particle formation, growth and climate-relevant particle production in Egbert, Canada: analysis from 1 year of size-distribution observations
J. R. Pierce, D. M. Westervelt, S. A. Atwood, E. A. Barnes, and W. R. Leaitch
Atmos. Chem. Phys., 14, 8647–8663, https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-14-8647-2014,https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-14-8647-2014, 2014

Related subject area

Atmospheric predictability
Large impact of tiny model domain shifts for the Pentecost 2014 mesoscale convective system over Germany
Christian Barthlott and Andrew I. Barrett
Weather Clim. Dynam., 1, 207–224, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-1-207-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-1-207-2020, 2020
Short summary

Cited articles

Abhik, S. and Hendon, H. H.: Influence of the QBO on the MJO during coupled model multiweek forecasts, Geophys. Res. Lett., 46, 9213–9221, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL083152, 2019. a, b
Adames, Á. F. and Kim, D.: The MJO as a Dispersive, Convectively Coupled Moisture Wave: Theory and Observations, J. Atmos. Sci., 73, 913–941, 2016. a
Baggett, C. F., Barnes, E. A., Maloney, E. D., and Mundhenk, B. D.: Advancing atmospheric river forecasts into subseasonal-to-seasonal time scales, Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, 7528—7536, https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL074434, 2017. a, b, c, d, e, f, g
Baldwin, M. P. and Dunkerton, T. J.: Stratospheric harbingers of anomalous weather regimes, Science, 294, 581–584, 2001. a
Boer, G. J. and Hamilton, K.: QBO influence on extratropical predictive skill, Clim. Dynam., 31, 987–1000, 2008. a
Publications Copernicus
Download
Short summary
Tropical storms are key for harnessing midlatitude weather prediction skill 2–8 weeks into the future. Recently, stratospheric activity was shown to impact tropical storminess and thus may also be important for midlatitude prediction skill on these timescales. This work analyzes two forecast systems to assess whether they capture this additional skill. We find there is enhanced prediction out through week 4 when both the tropical and stratospheric phenomena are active.
Tropical storms are key for harnessing midlatitude weather prediction skill 2–8 weeks into the...
Citation