Articles | Volume 4, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-265-2023
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-265-2023
Research article
 | 
04 Apr 2023
Research article |  | 04 Apr 2023

Similarity and variability of blocked weather-regime dynamics in the Atlantic–European region

Franziska Teubler, Michael Riemer, Christopher Polster, Christian M. Grams, Seraphine Hauser, and Volkmar Wirth

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Cited articles

Baumgart, M., Riemer, M., Wirth, V., Teubler, F., and Lang, S. T. K.: Potential Vorticity Dynamics of Forecast Errors: A Quantitative Case Study, Mon. Weather Rev., 146, 1405–1425, https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-17-0196.1, 2018. a
Benedict, J. J., Lee, S., and Feldstein, S. B.: Synoptic View of the North Atlantic Oscillation, J. Atmos. Sci., 61, 121–144, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0469(2004)061<0121:SVOTNA>2.0.CO;2, 2004. a, b, c
Bishop, C. M.: Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning, in: vol. 4, Springer, New York, ISBN 78-1493938438, 2006. a
Büeler, D., Ferranti, L., Magnusson, L., Quinting, J. F., and Grams, C. M.: Year-Round Sub-Seasonal Forecast Skill for Atlantic–European Weather Regimes, Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 147, 4283–4309, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.4178, 2021. a, b, c, d, e, f
Buizza, R. and Leutbecher, M.: The Forecast Skill Horizon, Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 141, 3366–3382, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2619, 2015. a
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Short summary
Weather regimes govern an important part of the sub-seasonal variability of the mid-latitude circulation. The year-round dynamics of blocked regimes in the Atlantic European region are investigated in over 40 years of data. We show that the dynamics between the regimes are on average very similar. Within the regimes, the main variability – starting from the characteristics of dynamical processes alone – dominates and transcends the variability in season and types of transitions.