Articles | Volume 5, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-1429-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-1429-2024
Research article
 | 
05 Nov 2024
Research article |  | 05 Nov 2024

The impact of preceding convection on the development of Medicane Ianos and the sensitivity to sea surface temperature

Claudio Sánchez, Suzanne Gray, Ambrogio Volonté, Florian Pantillon, Ségolène Berthou, and Silvio Davolio

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Short summary
Medicane Ianos was a very intense cyclone that led to harmful impacts over Greece. We explore what processes are important for the forecasting of Medicane Ianos, with the use of the Met Office weather model. There was a preceding precipitation event before Ianos’s birth, whose energetics generated a bubble in the tropopause. This bubble created the necessary conditions for Ianos to emerge and strengthen, and the processes are enhanced in simulations with a warmer Mediterranean Sea.