The following lists the recent preprints posted on EGUsphere with WCD-related topics as well as final revised papers published recently in WCD.
07 Oct 2025
A Promising Downscaling Strategy for Topographic Heavy Rainfalls over the Asian-Australian Monsoon Region by Leveraging Multi-Scale Moisture Dynamical Control
Jia-Xin Guo, Wei-Ting Chen, and Chien-Ming Wu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4831,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4831, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
Short summary
06 Oct 2025
QBOi El Niño–Southern Oscillation experiments: overview of the experimental design and ENSO modulation of the QBO
Yoshio Kawatani, Kevin Hamilton, Shingo Watanabe, Masakazu Taguchi, Federico Serva, James A. Anstey, Jadwiga H. Richter, Neal Butchart, Clara Orbe, Scott M. Osprey, Hiroaki Naoe, Dillon Elsbury, Chih-Chieh Chen, Javier García-Serrano, Anne Glanville, Tobias Kerzenmacher, François Lott, Froila M. Palmeiro, Mijeong Park, Stefan Versick, and Kohei Yoshida
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1045–1073, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1045-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1045-2025, 2025
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05 Oct 2025
Topographic Effects of Svalbard on Warm and Moist Air Intrusions into the Central Arctic
Jan Landwehrs, Sonja Murto, Florian Gebhardt, Ella Gilbert, and Annette Rinke
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4535,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4535, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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04 Oct 2025
Case-to-Case Variability in the Tropospheric Response to Sudden Stratospheric Warmings Revealed by Ensemble Re-Forecasts
Sheena Loeffel, Philip Rupp, Selina Kiefer, Joaquim G. Pinto, Thomas Birner, and Hella Garny
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4164,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4164, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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02 Oct 2025
Austral Summer MJO Forecast Skill in S2S Models: Decadal Shifts and Their Drivers
Raina Roy, Julie M. Arblaster, Matthew C. Wheeler, Eun-Pa Lim, and Jadwiga H. Richter
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4453,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4453, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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29 Sep 2025
How relevant are frequency changes of weather regimes for understanding climate change signals in surface precipitation in the North Atlantic–European sector? A conceptual analysis with CESM1 large ensemble simulations
Luise J. Fischer, David N. Bresch, Dominik Büeler, Christian M. Grams, Robin Noyelle, Matthias Röthlisberger, and Heini Wernli
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1027–1043, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1027-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1027-2025, 2025
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26 Sep 2025
| Highlight paper
Learning predictable and informative dynamical drivers of extreme precipitation using variational autoencoders
Fiona R. Spuler, Marlene Kretschmer, Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda, Yevgeniya Kovalchuk, and Theodore G. Shepherd
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 995–1014, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-995-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-995-2025, 2025
Short summary Executive editor
26 Sep 2025
The impact of tropospheric blocking on the duration of the sudden stratospheric warmings in boreal winter 2023/24
Ekaterina Vorobeva and Yvan Orsolini
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 1015–1026, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1015-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-1015-2025, 2025
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25 Sep 2025
Probabilistic seasonal outlook for the rainy season over India by monitoring the onset dates using GPM IMERG satellite-based precipitation
Chempampadam Balasubramannian Jayasankar and Vasubandhu Misra
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 981–993, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-981-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-981-2025, 2025
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23 Sep 2025
A poleward storm track shift reduces mid-latitude heatwave frequency: insights from an idealized atmospheric model
Wolfgang Wicker, Emmanuele Russo, and Daniela I. V. Domeisen
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 965–979, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-965-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-965-2025, 2025
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23 Sep 2025
Revisiting the Historical Drying of the Mediterranean in the LESFMIP Simulations
David Avisar and Chaim I. Garfinkel
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4287,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4287, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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19 Sep 2025
Observation based precipitation life cycle analysis of heavy rainfall events in the southeastern Alpine forelands
Stephanie J. Haas, Andreas Kvas, and Jürgen Fuchsberger
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 949–963, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-949-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-949-2025, 2025
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18 Sep 2025
Resolution Dependence and Biases in Cold and Warm Frontal Extreme Precipitation over Europe in CMIP6 and EURO-CORDEX Models
Armin Schaffer, Tobias Lichtenegger, Albert Ossó, and Douglas Maraun
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4235,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4235, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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17 Sep 2025
A new index used to characterise the extent of Antarctic marine coastal winds in climate projections
Archie Cable, Thomas Caton Harrison, Elizabeth Kent, Richard Cornes, and Thomas Bracegirdle
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4321,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4321, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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17 Sep 2025
The tropospheric response to zonally asymmetric momentum torques: implications for the downward response to wave reflection and SSW events
Wuhan Ning, Chaim I. Garfinkel, Judah Cohen, Ian P. White, and Jian Rao
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4334,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4334, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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10 Sep 2025
Impacts of Air–sea Coupling on Systematic Errors in Medium-Range Winter Forecasts over the North Pacific and North Atlantic
Tien-Yiao Hsu, Matthew R. Mazloff, Sarah T. Gille, Hai Lin, K. Andrew Peterson, Rui Sun, Aneesh C. Subramanian, and Luca Delle Monache
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4142,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4142, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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09 Sep 2025
Climatology, long-term variability and trend of resolved gravity wave drag in the stratosphere revealed by ERA5
Zuzana Procházková, Radek Zajíček, and Petr Šácha
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 927–947, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-927-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-927-2025, 2025
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09 Sep 2025
Drivers and Variability of Marine Heatwaves in the North Indian Ocean and their Impacts on South Asian Monsoon Rainfall
Ligin Joseph, Nikolaos Skliris, Vishnu S., Dipanjan Dey, and Robert Marsh
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3886,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3886, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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05 Sep 2025
| Highlight paper
CYCLOPs: a Unified Framework for Surface Flux-Driven Cyclones Outside the Tropics
Kerry Emanuel, Tommaso Alberti, Stella Bourdin, Suzana J. Camargo, Davide Faranda, Emmanouil Flaounas, Juan Jesus Gonzalez-Aleman, Chia-Ying Lee, Mario Marcello Miglietta, Claudia Pasquero, Alice Portal, Hamish Ramsay, Marco Reale, and Romualdo Romero
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 901–926, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-901-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-901-2025, 2025
Short summary Executive editor
01 Sep 2025
Physical processes leading to extreme day-to-day temperature change – Part 1: Present-day climate
Kalpana Hamal and Stephan Pfahl
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 879–899, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-879-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-879-2025, 2025
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01 Sep 2025
Benefits of kilometer-scale climate modeling for winds in complex terrain: strong versus weak winds
Danijel Belušić and Petter Lind
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 863–877, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-863-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-863-2025, 2025
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01 Sep 2025
A climatology of atmospheric rivers over Scandinavia and related precipitation
Erik Holmgren and Hans W. Chen
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3992,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3992, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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29 Aug 2025
Assessing stratospheric contributions to subseasonal predictions of precipitation after the 2018 sudden stratospheric warming from the Stratospheric Nudging And Predictable Surface Impacts (SNAPSI) project
Ying Dai, Peter Hitchcock, Amy H. Butler, Chaim I. Garfinkel, and William J. M. Seviour
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 841–862, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-841-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-841-2025, 2025
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29 Aug 2025
Quantifying forecast uncertainty of Mediterranean cyclone-related surface weather extremes in ECMWF ensemble forecasts. Part 1: Method and case studies
Katharina Hartmuth, Dominik Büeler, and Heini Wernli
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4111,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-4111, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 4 comments)
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20 Aug 2025
Environmental Characteristics Associated with the Tropical Transition of Mediterranean Cyclones
Lisa Bernini, Leone Cavicchia, Fabien Desbiolles, Enrico Scoccimarro, and Claudia Pasquero
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3861,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3861, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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19 Aug 2025
Cold air outbreaks drive near-surface baroclinicity variability
Andrea Marcheggiani and Thomas Spengler
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3855,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3855, 2025
Revised manuscript under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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15 Aug 2025
Dynamic Forcing Behind Hurricane Lidia’s Rapid Intensification
Mauricio López-Reyes, María Luisa Martín-Pérez, Carlos Calvo-Sancho, and Juan Jesús González-Alemán
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3109,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3109, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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15 Aug 2025
The impact of synoptic meteorology on observed surface heat fluxes over the Southern Ocean
Sreenath Avaronthan Veettil, Tahereh Alinejadtabrizi, Steven Siems, Peter May, Haifeng Zhang, and Eric Schulz
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3776,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3776, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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15 Aug 2025
The role of the stratospheric state in upward wave flux prior to Sudden Stratospheric Warmings: a SNAPSI analysis
Blanca Ayarzagüena, Amy H. Butler, Peter Hitchcock, Chaim I. Garfinkel, Zac D. Lawrence, Wuhan Ning, Philip Rupp, Zheng Wu, Hilla Afargan-Gerstman, Natalia Calvo, Álvaro de la Cámara, Martin Jucker, Gerbrand Koren, Daniel De Maeseneire, Gloria L. Manney, Marisol Osman, Masakazu Taguchi, Cory Barton, Dong-Chang Hong, Yu-Kyung Hyun, Hera Kim, Jeff Knight, Piero Malguzzi, Daniele Mastrangelo, Jiyoung Oh, Inna Polichtchouk, Jadwiga H. Richter, Isla R. Simpson, Seok-Woo Son, Damien Specq, and Tim Stockdale
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3611,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3611, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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15 Aug 2025
Cold spells induced by slow and amplified atmospheric waves
Morteza Babaei, Rune Grand Graversen, Johannes Patrick Stoll, and Jakub Petříček
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3867,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3867, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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14 Aug 2025
Sea-effect snowfall in the Baltic Sea area in 1998–2018 derived from convection-permitting climate model data
Meri Virman, Taru Olsson, Petter Lind, and Kirsti Jylhä
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3663,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3663, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 0 comments)
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12 Aug 2025
The potential of GNSS radio occultation data for the analysis of the tropical width: a comparison with reanalyses
Annika Reiter, Julia Danzer, and Andrea Karin Steiner
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3745,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3745, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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12 Aug 2025
Constructing Extreme Heatwave Storylines with Differentiable Climate Models
Tim Whittaker and Alejandro Di Luca
External preprint server, https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2506.10660,https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2506.10660, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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11 Aug 2025
Trade wind regimes during the Great Barrier Reef coral bleaching season
Lara S. Richards, Steven T. Siems, Yi Huang, Daniel P. Harrison, and Wenhui Zhao
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3639,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3639, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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11 Aug 2025
A new look at the jet-storm track relationship in the North Pacific and North Atlantic
Nora Zilibotti, Heini Wernli, and Sebastian Schemm
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3605,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3605, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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08 Aug 2025
Storm Boris (2024) in the current and future climate: a dynamics-centered contextualization, and some lessons learnt
Jacopo Riboldi, Robin Noyelle, Ellina Agayar, Hanin Binder, Marc Federer, Katharina Hartmuth, Michael Sprenger, Iris Thurnherr, and Selvakumar Vishnupriya
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3599,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3599, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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08 Aug 2025
Targeted Teleconnections and their Application to the Postprocessing of Climate Predictions
Clementine Dalelane, Andreas Paxian, Martín Senande, Sabela Sanfiz, Estéban Rodríguez Guisado, Jan Wandel, and Abhinav Tyagi
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3664,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3664, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: open, 2 comments)
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07 Aug 2025
Attributing the occurrence and intensity of extreme events with the flow analogue method
Robin Noyelle, Davide Faranda, Yoann Robin, Mathieu Vrac, and Pascal Yiou
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 817–839, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-817-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-817-2025, 2025
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07 Aug 2025
Properties and Characteristics of Atmospheric Deserts over Europe
Fiona Fix-Hewitt, Achim Zeileis, Isabell Stucke, Reto Stauffer, and Georg J. Mayr
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3552,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3552, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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06 Aug 2025
The role of atmospheric circulation changes in Western European warm season heat extremes
Douwe Sierk Noest, Izidine Pinto, Vikki Thompson, and Dim Coumou
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3377,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3377, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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01 Aug 2025
Intensifying precipitation over the Southern Ocean challenges reanalysis-based climate estimates – Insights from Macquarie Island’s 45-year record
Zhaoyang Kong, Andrew Prata, Peter May, Ariaan Purich, Yi Huang, and Steven Siems
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3496,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3496, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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29 Jul 2025
Storylines of extreme summer temperatures in southern South America
Solange Suli, David Barriopedro, Ricardo García-Herrera, Soledad Collazo, Antonello Squintu, and Matilde Rusticucci
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3357,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3357, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 2 comments)
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28 Jul 2025
Linking weather regimes to the variability of warm-season tornado activity over the United States
Matthew Graber, Zhuo Wang, and Robert J. Trapp
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 807–816, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-807-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-807-2025, 2025
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24 Jul 2025
Extreme weather anomalies and surface signatures associated with merged Atlantic–African jets during northern winter
Sohan Suresan, Nili Harnik, and Rodrigo Caballero
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 789–806, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-789-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-789-2025, 2025
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23 Jul 2025
Long vs. short: understanding the dynamics of persistent summer hot spells in Europe
Duncan Pappert, Alexandre Tuel, Dim Coumou, Mathieu Vrac, and Olivia Martius
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 769–788, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-769-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-769-2025, 2025
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22 Jul 2025
Linking European droughts to year-round weather regimes
Onaïa Savary, Constantin Ardilouze, and Julien Cattiaux
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3308,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3308, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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17 Jul 2025
Data-driven discovery of mechanisms underlying present and near-future precipitation changes and variability in Brazil
Márcia Talita A. Marques, Maria Luiza Kovalski, Gabriel M. P. Perez, Thomas C. M. Martin, Edson L. S. Y. Barbosa, Pedro Augusto S. M. Ribeiro, and Roilan H. Valdes
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 757–767, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-757-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-757-2025, 2025
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17 Jul 2025
Entrainment and the tropical tropospheric thermal structure in global climate models
Lucinda Anne Palmer and Martin Simran Singh
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3384,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3384, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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14 Jul 2025
Equatorial wave circulation associated with subseasonal convective variability over the subtropical western North Pacific in boreal summer
Peishan Chen, Katharina M. Holube, Frank Lunkeit, Nedjeljka Žagar, Yuan-Bing Zhao, and Riyu Lu
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2485,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-2485, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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11 Jul 2025
Diverse causes of extreme rainfall in November 2023 over Equatorial Africa
Hermann N. Nana, Masilin Gudoshava, Roméo S. Tanessong, Alain T. Tamoffo, and Derbetini A. Vondou
Weather Clim. Dynam., 6, 741–756, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-741-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-6-741-2025, 2025
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10 Jul 2025
Mediterranean Sea heat uptake variability as a precursor to winter precipitation in the Levant
Ofer Cohen, Assaf Hochman, Ehud Strobach, Dorita Rostkier-Edelstein, Hezi Gildor, and Ori Adam
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3058,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-3058, 2025
Preprint under review for WCD (discussion: final response, 3 comments)
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